What happened? What happened to the 4 to 6 inches of snow that was predicted and hyped up like it was the end of the world? What was the deal with the prediction? Where in the world did they get this prediction? I have yet to get an answer by our fearless professional weather folks. Hopefully someone from the NWS will answer this question. Where are you getting a model that is not found anywhere? Is this a wild guess based on the models or is this some sort of tactic to cause fear. I see it all the time. From this point forward I will make it my duty to compare my predictions with the predictions of the professionals whether I am right or wrong because I truly want to know why the predicted measurements were way off?
As I watched this storm and used several different resources to include the smart phone application called Windy you can see the PC version here. The next three images are what the Windy application predicted based on all 4 different models. You will noticed that ALL THREE of these models are fairly close in their predictions. So what gives?
So let’s take a look at another prediction taken from the Weather Prediction Center and the probability of snow up to 4 inches. Notice the 40% chance of precipitation up to 4 inches.
March 3rd prediction on measurements from the Weather Prediction Center.
So these numbers from looking at the predictions and the charts and maps myself I was able to predict with fairly accurate numbers what we would get in precipitation and we ended up getting 2.75″ measuring from a white snowboard as CoCoRaHS recommends.
Hopefully a NWS professional can comment and enlighten me on the questions I have on this past weekends snow storm. Till next time!