Month: October 2019

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October 31st 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Thursday. I guess we can officially call Halloween a white Halloween! Please be careful driving to work this morning. I’ve heard reports of ice on roadways and bridges. I will be praying for all of safe passage to and from work this morning tonight.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Observed temperature 24.9°. We had a high of 34 and a low of 24.9. Relative humidity 97%. Barometric pressure 1020 and steady. Winds at 0 gusting to 2 out of the West Northwest. Dew point temperature 24°. Feels like 24°. Skies are mostly clear. We had 1.8 inches snow. Liquid equivalent is .20 inches with a pH of 7.

FORECAST

Halloween, temperature in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 1%. Dew point temperature in the low twenties. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

Halloween night, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the low twenties. Skies will be clear.

Friday, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of precipitation 5%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear to mostly clear.

Friday night, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation is 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

Saturday night, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Looking at models our next chance of precipitation will be Monday evening November 4th approximately 10pm. The form of precipitation is just rain. The next round will be Wednesday November 6th at about 1am in the morning, with just rain. Another round of precipitation in the form of rain on Saturday November 9th at about 4pm.

A warm front will pass through Monday November 4th making temperatures in the upper 50s possibly into the 60s by 4pm. Another warm front on Monday November 11th. Temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s and it will continue into November 12th. Don’t bank on this as models change often.

Other than that this weekend should be pretty quiet. Halloween should be business as usual, just make sure you bundle up your kids.

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October 30th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs. Happy Wednesday! One day till Halloween. It is a crisp morning. We had .01 inches of snow. It is currently cloudy. And we are still receiving some light drizzle / snow.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 32.0°. We had a high of 35.9 and a low of 31.9. Relative humidity 97%. Barometric pressure 1021(30.15 inches) and falling. Winds at 0 gusting to 9 out of the South. Dew point temperature is 31°. Feels like 26°. Skies are cloudy. We received .01 inches of snow with a liquid equivalent of .13 inches of precipitation.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 86%. Dew point temperature in the low thirties to Upper 20s. Skies will be cloudy. Rain amounts .16 inches possible. Snow amounts .03 inches possible.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 20s. chance of precipitation 80%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be cloudy. Rain amounts .04 inches possible. Snow amounts .5 inches possible.

Halloween, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 5%. Dew point temperature in the low twenties. Skies will be clear to mostly clear.

Halloween night, temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s. Chance of precipitation 1%. Dew point temperature in the low twenties. Skies will be clear.

Friday, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s to low 30s. Skies will be clear to mostly clear.

Friday night, temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly clear.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Looking at models for today, looks like we will have a wet day as rain continues throughout the day into the evening. Looks like models are predicting .3 inches of snow by evening as well. Whether or not that will stick is questionable with temperatures. Rapid refresh model shows a measurement of 1.2 inches buy Halloween, but after yesterday’s Fiasco I doubt it will be. We should start to dry out by early tomorrow morning at 4 am. We should be good weather wise through the weekend. Highs for the weekend will be in the forties to upper 40s and lows in the 30s.

That is about it for today, be safe driving to work and from work to home tonight.

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October 29th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Tuesday. First round of snow has gone and passed with no snow accumulation. We had a mix of snow sleet and rain all at one time. We had a total of .27 inches of precipitation.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is sitting just barely above freezing at 32.6°. We had high of 41.0 and a low of 32.4. Relative humidity 97%. Barometric pressure 1021(30.15 inches) and rising. Winds at 2 gusting to 2 out of the West Northwest. Dew point temperature is 31°. Feels like 27°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 15%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 84%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Snow amount predictions for tonight by the NWS is approximately .6 inches.

Wednesday, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 77%. Dew point temperature low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Snow amount predictions for tonight by the NWS approximately .3 inches.

Wednesday night, temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 67%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be cloudy.

Thursday, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 14%. Dew point temperature in the low 20s. Skies will be partly cloudy but mostly clear by 4pm.

Thursday night, temperatures in the low 20s. Chance of precipitation 5%. Dew point temperature in the low 20s. Skies will be clear.

SNOW PROBABLILITY

The weather prediction center currently predicts the probability of snow at least 4 inches or more at a 10% probability in our area for Wednesday into Thursday.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models are showing a possible chance for Trace precipitation (rain) off and on throughout the day with no major accumulations. According to the rapid refresh(RAP) model, it shows snow starting in about midnight Wednesday and ending by 1am Thursday October 31st. Snow amounts are still questionable. They’re showing snow amounts from 3 to 4.6 inches. I am not sure where the National Weather Service gets their information. It could be the European model at this time, but I am not sure.

That is pretty much it for today. Hopefully by this afternoon late we will get a pretty good idea of what’s going to happen. Hopefully models will start to cooperate. So far I have not been impressed.

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October 28th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Monday. I hope and pray that your weekend was blessed and free of all drama. Hope you got those winter coats dust It Off and those gloves and stocking caps pulled out ready for this week’s winter temperatures. I don’t see any rain as of right now. I will have to check before 6am report time for the National Weather Service.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Current temperature 42.1°. We had a high of 59.8 and a low of 39.5 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 81%. Barometric pressure 1017(30.03 inches) and steady. Winds at 2 gusting to 5 out of the West Northwest. Dew point temperature at 35°. Feels like 36°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the low 40s possibly into the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 55%. Dew point temperature in the mid-to-low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Rain possible.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s. Chance of precipitation 13%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s to upper 20s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy.

Tuesday, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 10%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly cloudy with parts being partly cloudy.

Tuesday night, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 67%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

Wednesday, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 66%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

Wednesday night, temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s. Chance of precipitation 26%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be cloudy.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Current models show a misty drizzly day today. With measurable amounts happening around 3pm or so. Rain will continue into the evening hours. By about 10pm we will receive rain snow mix. The system should be out by midnight or so. Snow amounts overnight about 1 in according to the models. Snow will start back up by 4am on Halloween, increasing snow amounts to 1.9 inches total over those couple of days. That would be a more accurate reading 12 inches that GFS is predicting. Regardless we will have some measurable amount of snow. As we draw closer to Halloween we will get a more favorable amount of snow totals. As for the ice possibilities looks like we may get a trace in Jackson County area, not sure if it will be in Blue Springs or not around 10am Tuesday.

That is about it for today, be safe driving to and from work. Till next time.

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October 27th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Sunday.Heavy dew on the rain gauge this morning. We had the fireplace cleaned out and the chimney checked over yesterday. Change my wife’s oil. Got the generator out and tested it, added some fuel stabilizer to the fuel. Put up a few Halloween decorations. Though I think they will be buried in the snow on the 31st. We may end up with candy left over, if we ever get any trick-or-treaters. It is going to be a very cold day on the 31st.

CURRENT TEMPERATURE

Current temperature 40.8°. We had a high of 58 and a low of 35.8 over the past 24 hours. Barometric pressure is 1009 and Rising. Relative humidity 99%. Winds are at 0 gusting to 2 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature 38°. Feels like 36°. No precipitation to report.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Chance of precipitation 3%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 17%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s to upper 30s. Skies will shift to mostly cloudy to cloudy.

Monday, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 33%. Dew point temperature low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

Monday night, temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 52%. Possible rain snow mix. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to partly cloudy by morning.

Tuesday, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 16%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy.

Tuesday evening, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 49%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Lots of things going on in the models this coming week. Starting with tonight we have a small system that will be coming in by about 9pm bringing some Trace rain, increasing throughout the day Monday and into Tuesday morning. There could be a possible rain snow mix around 10pm Monday. The entire system should end by about 4am Tuesday morning. Another system kicks back up about 1am Wednesday morning, with a possible mix of rain and snow starting off. Then a bout of ice at about 10pm Wednesday night then shifting over to snow throughout the day Halloween. It also looks like temperatures will not reach above upper thirties throughout the day. Temperatures really start to tank as the sun goes down, with temperatures dipping to the low 20s. Snow accumulations are still pretty weird and I don’t trust them. Once again they are showing 6 to 7 inches of snow in our area. It is still really too far out anyways. models are staying pretty consistent that we are going to get some snow.

I would at least have some calcium chloride and your snow shovel and or snowblower ready and easily accessed. If you have a fireplace make sure you got plenty of wood, because it looks like we will be in winter temperatures sooner than expected.

have a great day of worship if that’s what you do. Enjoy your day today and be careful.

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October 26th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Beautiful sky. If you go outside this morning, look to the north high in the sky you will see Orion. If you turn around to the South, look high in the sky and you will see the Big Dipper. It is chilly this morning. There is heavy dew on the rain gauge.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 35.4°. We had a high of 52.7 and a low of 35.4. Relative humidity 97%. Barometric pressure 1014(29.94 inches) and falling. Winds are at 0 gusting to 1 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature is 33°. Feels like 30°. No precipitation to report.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 4%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Sunday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of raining 2%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be mostly clear shifting to mostly cloudy by 1am.

Monday, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 37%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

Monday night temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 50%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy to mostly cloudy.

MODEL DISCISSION

Current model show rain after 7pm Sunday night continuing into the morning around 7am Monday. Another round starting Monday between 7 and 10pm and rolling out by about 7am Tuesday morning. Our snow chances I’ve been pushed forward a little, with snow starting about 1 am Wednesday morning and continuing true Halloween and ending by early Friday morning. Snow amounts will be measurable. I just don’t trust the amounts that the models are talking about. Regardless I am pretty sure trick or treaters are going to be in snow boots and heavy coats and gloves. Temperatures for Halloween will be in the 20s in the evening at this time.

As for the cold front, it will arrive by 10am Monday morning. Temperatures will continue to fall throughout the week next week. By Friday morning, temperatures will be in the upper teens. Looks like average temperatures will be in the low 40s at the beginning of November as we progress into winter.

That is pretty much it for today. Enjoy your weekend. You may want to get prepared for snow by getting your shovels ready and ice melt.

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October 25th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs and all who follow. I hope everyone had a good night sleep. We currently have some rain in areas. Just an FYI I am no longer going to put in the convective Outlook unless something comes up. I will start that back up in Spring next year.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature 40.6°. We had a high of 46.3 and a low of 40.0 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 88%. Barometric pressure 1026(30.30 inches) and steady. Skies are cloudy. Winds are at 0 gusting to 2 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature 35°. Feels like 36°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 6%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 8%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 26%. Dew point temperature in the forties. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy.

Saturday night temperature in the low 40s. Chance of rain 9%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Sunday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear.

Sunday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 3%. Dew point temperature in the 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Rain should be on its way out by now, if it hasn’t already stopped. Looks like the snow was still hanging on. It should start moving in by 10pm Sunday in the form of rain. It will continue throughout the day Monday. Snow is shifted by about 1pm. Accumulations at this time are over an inch. Models are predicting 1.4 to 1.8 inches of snow.

Monday and Tuesday will be heavy coat weather as temperatures will continue to drop Monday morning at 7am into the low 20s by 7am Tuesday.

Halloween night will be a cold one as well. Temperatures will be in the upper 30s and dropping by 7pm on Thursday.

That’s pretty much it for today. I will continue to keep an eye on the models for next week’s possible snow. Have a safe trip to work and back and may God bless you.

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October 24th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs. Happy Thursday. Hope and pray everyone had a blessed evening and woke up this morning refreshed full of energy.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 42°. We had a high of 69 and a low of 42 over the past 24 hours. Skies are mostly cloudy. No precipitation report. Relative humidity 83%. Barometric pressure 1023( 30.21 inches) and rising. Winds at 2 gusting to 4 out of the north-northwest. Dew point temperature 36°. Feels like 37°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures will struggle to get to the upper 40s. Chance of rain 17%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s by 4pm. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain possible.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 18%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain possible.

Friday, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 4%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

Friday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 27%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s to low 40s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Saturday night temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 15%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of non severe or severe thunderstorms over the next three days.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Model show rain possible after 10pm tonight, ending by 7 or 8am Friday morning. Another round of rain possible by 7am Saturday morning, Ending by 4pm that afternoon. Rain amounts for both days are less than a .10 inches over a 6 hour accumulation time frame, which tells me it’s not going to be too heavy. Sunday morning at 10am has a trace of rain possible. As for snow, there is still a possible chance around 7pm or there after on Monday evening. Snow amounts have been reduced to a Trace to even no snow at all depending on which method you use. If you have been following my page for any length of time you notice that the initial amounts were huge and then it reduces down and stabilizes to a more accurate amount. This was why we should never go crazy when the weather media says something is going to happen a week out and they say it’s going to be terrible. Always wait within a 24-hour time span and you should get a good idea of what’s going to happen. Even then, it could change at a moment’s notice. Especially in the winter time and the fall. I am not sure why, but it seems that weather changes more frequently than it does in the summer and spring.

That is about it. Have a safe trip to and from work, and enjoy your day. As always, I’m available to chat if you are having a bad day I actually enjoy talking with you all.

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October 23rd 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Hope this blog post finds you well.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature 46.2°. We had a high of 58.7 and a low of 42.4 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 71%. Barometric pressure 1011(29.85 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0 gusting to 6 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature 35°. Skies are clear. No precipitation to report. Feels like 40°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s the low 40s by 4pm. Skies will be mostly clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 6%. Dew point temperature low 40s. Skies will be partly cloudy 2 mostly cloudy by 4am.

Thursday, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 28%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Rain possible.

Thursday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 25%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Rain possible.

Friday, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear to clear by 4pm.

Friday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 5%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of severe thunderstorms or non severe thunderstorms over the next three days.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Thursday October 24th at about noon or 1pm we have a system moving in bringing some rain. Looks like to be out of the area by Friday morning. We will find out more probably by tomorrow afternoon.

Snow is still in the forecast for Monday October 28th starting about 10pm. Snow amounts look to be one to two tenths of an inch at this time from the 4 to 5 inches that popped up a couple of days ago. Every now and then that snow prediction disappears but then comes back in the next round of forecast data.

That is pretty much it for today. Have a great day today and be safe driving to and from work.

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October 22nd 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Tuesday. Beautiful morning this morning. Skies are clear. I stood outside for a few minutes to see if I could see any orionid meteors, but got too cold and came in. We still have snow in the forecast. It did disappear one run, but came back. Snow amounts are starting to reduce substantially.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 44.6°. We had a high of 56.7 and 44.2 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 70%. Barometric pressure 1010(29.83 inches) and steady. Winds at 4 gusting to 9 out of the Southwest. Dew point temperature 33°. Feels like 38°. Skies are clear. No precipitation to report.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.Tonight, temperatures in the low to mid 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear to mostly clear.Wednesday, temperatures in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy.Wednesday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 6%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s to upper 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy.Thursday, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 27%. Dew point temperature in the upper to lower 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Rain possible.Thursday night, temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s. Chance of rain 12%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy partly cloudy by 1am.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms over the next three days.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Our next system for rain will be Thursday morning possibly. Start time approximately 7am continuing through the evening till about 7am Friday morning. Not sure about rain amounts at this time. It does look like we might get a trace at this time but that may change over the next 48 hours. The snow is still in the forecast at this time. It starts off as rain and then shifts over to snow about 4am Wednesday morning October 30th. It ends about 10am Wednesday morning. Depending on which method you use for the model snow amounts equal to .9 to 1.7 inches.That is pretty much it for today. Hope you have a great day and be careful driving to and from work. Until next time!