Author: Michael

Posted on

October 13th Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Sunday. Another cool crisp morning this morning. As I walked out to check the rain gauge, the Moon is high in the West. It is peaceful and quiet outside the winds are at a dead standstill.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 39.3°. We had high of 64.8 in a low of 30.6. Relative humidity 87%. Barometric pressure 1011(29.85 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0 gusting to 2 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature is 34°. Skies are clear. No precipitation report. Feels like 34°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature low 30s. Skies will be clear.Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.Columbus Day, temperature will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s to low 50s. Skies will be clear.Monday night, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 13%. Dew point temperature in the mid-50s. Skies will be mostly clear turning partly cloudy by 4am Tuesday morningTuesday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 10%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s by 4pm. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to clear by 4pm.Tuesday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms today. Tomorrow and Tuesday show a chance of non severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models are showing possible precipitation Tuesday morning around 7am. The next system will be Friday October 18th, starting around 4pm ending on Saturday morning early. Another larger system Sunday morning starting around 1am, lasting throughout the day an ending Tuesday morning around 1am. Our next cold front will arrive on Wednesday October 23rd with temperatures in the mid to upper 30s by 7am.That is pretty much it for today folks. Enjoy your time of worship today if that is what you do on Sundays.

Tuesday Morning 10am
Friday 10pm
Sunday October 20th into Monday
Posted on

October 12th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs, it is cold outside. Had to crank on the Heat this morning. Walked outside to check the Gage and there was frost on it. I hope everyone had quiet evening yesterday.

CURRENT WEATHER

Temperature is 33.3°. We had a high of 49.2 and a low of 30.6. Relative humidity 82%. Barometric pressure 1018(30.06 inches) and falling. Winds are at 0 gusting to 5 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature is 27°. Skies are clear. Feels like 26°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s by 4pm. Skies will be clear.

Tonight, temperatures will be in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday, temperatures will be in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday night, temperatures will be in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

Monday, temperatures in the 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 50s by 4pm. Skies will be clear.

Monday night, temperatures will be in the mid to Upper 50s. Chance of rain 15%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 50s. Skies will be partly cloudy.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective outlook for today and tomorrow shows no severe or non severe thunderstorms in our forecast. Monday into Tuesday shows a chance of non severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

I see a small system showing up in our area about 1am Tuesday morning. It does not look like it will bring forth much rain. It looks like it may last throughout the day on Tuesday ending about 1pm. A larger system will be producing on Friday October 18th around 10am. The system will last through Saturday and into Sunday morning about 10am. As for temperatures, looks like we will have a former weekend was October 19th and 20th with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s. Another cold front follows behind that on October 25th where temperatures will be in the low 30s again at 7am.

Not a whole lot going on this weekend weather wise. Looks like it’s going to be clear. We can get our grass mowed. It’ll be pretty nice outside to do some activities.

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October 11th 2019 Forecast

As I sit here, waiting for my coffee to be made, I was thinking about how impressive it was last night to watch the temperature fall a tenth of a degree every 30 seconds. The temperature is still falling, and will continue till about 8 a.m. give or take. I find it funny that we, as people, are ecstatic about the temperatures being cool and cold. Wait until March, when people are tired of the cold and cool and ready for warm temperatures LOL. As for me, I can’t stand fall and winter and my attitude doesn’t change about that. I like seeing the green leaves on the trees. I like not having to wear a coat, and if I’m too hot I can always find a pool. Some say you can only take off so many layers clothing, but I say you can only put on so many. I would like to live in a desert. At least it is nice and warm during the day, and cool evening.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Current temperature 39.7 degrees. We had a high of 70.6 and a low of 39.7. What a temperature span. Relative humidity 77%. Barometric pressure 1016(30.00 inches) and rising. Winds are at 5 gusting to 9 out of the West. Dew point temperatures at 32 degrees. In the past 48 hours we had 246 lightning strikes. We had .17 inches of rain. Skies are cloudy. Feels like 33 degrees.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 7%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to clear by 4pm.

Tonight, temperatures will be in the low 30s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

Saturday, temperatures will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s by 4pm. Skies will be clear.

Saturday night, temperatures will be in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday, temperatures will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday evening, temperatures will be in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of severe thunderstorms or non severe storms over the next three days.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models don’t show a whole lot until about October 19th to the 21st which will be our next significant weather system. Not a whole lot of information on it we just know that it’s going to have some significant rain. I do not see anything out of the ordinary as far as significant temperatures just concerned. Looks like just your average October month up to October 25th.

That is pretty much yet. Pretty boring week when it comes to weather. Be safe driving to work today. It is Friday! Be safe coming home and enjoy your weekend.

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October 10th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Thursday. It is a little wet currently. We are in a break area and the rain will be starting back up here soon hopefully after 6 a.m. because I don’t want to have to go out and measure another round of precipitation for my morning post for the National Weather Service. Don’t let this warm weather fool you, by 4pm, temperatures will drop from 69 and really start tanking after dark. It will be about 39 degrees or so by 5am Friday. Temperatures will only reach up into the upper to mid 40s. Friday evening into Saturday reaching low 30s by 7am.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 59.9°. We had a high of 61.8 and a low of 52.4 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity is 99%. Barometric pressure is 1005(29.68 inches) and falling. Dew point temperature is 58 degrees. Winds are at 4 gusting to 10 out of the east Southeast. We have had 235 lightning strikes today from that system. Skies are cloudy. We have had .78 inches since yesterday. We had .25 inches yesterday. The pH was 8. Today was .53 inches with a pH of 9.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 74%. Dew point temperature in the upper 60s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy.

Tonight, temperature will be in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 31%. Dew point temperature will drop to upper 30s by 4am Friday morning. Skies will shift from Cloudy to partly cloudy.

Friday, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 23%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 20s by 4pm. Skies will shift from mostly cloudy to partly cloudy to mostly clear.

Friday night, temperatures will be in the low 30s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper twenties. Skies will be clear.

Saturday temperatures will be in the 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s by 4pm. Skies will be clear.

Saturday night, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the mid to upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Today’s convective Outlook, shows most of Jackson County under a marginal chance of severe weather. The southeast corner will be under a slight chance severe weather. Day 2 and day 3 have no chance of severe or non severe weather.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Today’s models show rain throughout the day today off and on. Systems should move out by 4pm tonight. Interesting to note, looks like Kansas make it a little bit of snow. I don’t think this system will be long-lived enough to reach into Jackson County, but it is something to watch. It is still about a day or two out. Pretty sure it will change quite a bit as we approach Friday.

That is pretty much it for today. Have a safe have a safe trip to work. You may. You may want a light jacket for tonight for tonight. Be safe driving home.

Posted on

October 9th 2019 Forecast

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Happy Wednesday Blue Springs! It’s hump day! Temperature at 52.6°. We had a high of 75 and a low of 44.1. Relative humidity 84%. Barometric pressure 1012 and steady. Winds at 2 gusting to 4 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature at 45°. Skies are clear. No precipitation to report. Feels like 47°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 54%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 50s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain likely after 10am.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 83%. Dew point temperatures in the upper 50s. Skies will be mostly cloudy. Rain likely.

Thursday, temperatures in the low 70s. Chance of rain 80%. Dew point temperature in the low 60s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain likely.

Thursday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 56%. Dew point temperatures in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain likely.

Friday, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 24%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy shifting to mostly clear by 4pm.

Friday night, temperatures in the low 30s. Cold. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Today, convective Outlook shows a marginal chance of severe weather for our area. Tomorrow shows the marginal chance of severe weather for our area. Day 3 shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models of changed since yesterday. Start time for rain will be around 1 to 2pm. Looks like simulated reflectivity and precipitation accumulation are just slightly off that is why I’m putting a range. Another model shows the start time about 4pm rain and thunderstorms will continue off and on throughout the evening , Thursday, and part of Friday. Temperature will drop substantially by 7pm Thursday. No will hit about 35 maybe a little lower, give or take by 4am Friday morning. Saturday morning by 7am, temperatures will be in the low 30s.

That’s pretty much it. Take your rain gear with you, be safe driving to and from work.

Posted on

October 8th 2019 Forecast

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Good morning Blue Springs! Another crisp morning this morning. Skies look beautiful, the stars are bright in the sky. Current temperature is 46.2°. We had a high of 71.8 and a low of 45.1. Relative humidity 93%. Barometric pressure 1018(30.06 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0. Dew point temperature at 42°. No precipitation to report. Feels like 42°.

FORECAST

Today, we will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature upper 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tonight, temperatures will be in the low 50s. Chance of rain 4%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear shifting to partly cloudy by 4am Wednesday morning.

Wednesday, temperatures in the low 70s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s ending in low 50s by 4pm. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to partly cloudy by 4pm.

Wednesday night, temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 61%. Rain likely. Dew point temperature in the low 50s shifting to Upper 50s by 4am Thursday morning. Skies will be partly cloudy shifting to mostly cloudy.

Thursday, temperatures will be in the low-to-mid 70s. Chance of rain 71%. Rain likely. Dew point temperature increasing from the upper 50s to the low 60s by 4pm. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy.

Thursday evening, temperatures will be in the mid-40s. Chance of rain 66%. Rain likely. Dew point temperature in the low 60s shifting to the low 50s by 1am Friday morning. Skies will be cloudy.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective outlook for today shows no chance of severe weather or non severe weather. Tomorrow convective Outlook shows a chance of non severe thunderstorms. Thursday we have a marginal chance of severe thunderstorms in the Jackson County area.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Current models for Today Show a system moving in about 4pm on Wednesday. The system will continue through Thursday and Friday bringing rain. This system will bring a cold front through by Friday morning at 7am bringing the temperatures to approximately 36 degrees. This cold front will cause temperatures to struggle. High temperatures for Friday will be in the upper 40s to low 50s give or take. Saturday morning will be in the low 30s. Temperatures will reach back into the upper 50s to low 60s. Sunday morning will be in the upper 30s to low 40s by 7am. Looks like the snow is going to stay Way north of us. In fact, I wouldn’t even count on it being in our state let alone Kansas, unless something changes.

That’s pretty much it for today. Have a safe trip to work, and enjoy your day.

Posted on

Monday October 7th 2019 Forecast

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Good morning Blue Springs, happy Monday. It crisp, clear, heavy dew, and fall is moving along. You can see Orion constellation high in the sky this morning. It is cold enough that you can see your breath. Current temperature is 46.9°. We had a high of 61.4 and a low of 45.1. Relative humidity is 99%. Dew point temperature is 44°. Barometric pressure is 1022(30.18 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0 gusting to 2 out of the South. We had Trace precipitation over the past 24 hours. Skies are clear. Feels like 43°.

FORECAST

Temperature today will reach into the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s to low 40s by 4 a.m. Tuesday. Skies will be clear.

Tuesday, temperatures will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low to mid 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tuesday night, temperatures will be in the low 50s. Chance of rain 4%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

Wednesday, temperatures in the low 70s. Chance of rain 14%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be partly cloudy.

Wednesday night, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 68%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be partly cloudy.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective outlook for today and tomorrow shows no severe or non-severe thunderstorms in our area. Wednesday, however, our area has a chance of non severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Looks like Wednesday will bring us another round of rain and the afternoon to evening hours. I am not really sure about a start time because both the simulated reflectivity and the precipitation accumulation on the same model are not jiving. I will get a more accurate time frame as we draw closer to Wednesday. Another round of rain will approaches early Thursday morning around 1am and continuing into the late morning at this time. Friday morning we’ll start our cold front moving in. By 7am. We will have temperatures in the upper 30s. As we progress through the weekend, Saturday morning at 7am we will be in the low 30s. Sunday will start increasing temperature back up to the upper 30s by 7am. Will dip again into the upper 30s Wednesday morning October 16th by 7am. Again on October 22nd we will be in the upper 30s by 7am.

That is pretty much it for today, enjoy your day today, be safe. We are pretty uneventful at least until Wednesday.

Posted on

Sunday October 6th 2019 Forecast

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Good morning Blue Springs! Crisp morning this morning. Definitely like jacket weather at least in the morning. The only precipitation that we had was yesterday . We had 3 tenths of an inch . Some of you may have had more and various other locations since it was heavier in areas. Current temperature is 46.6°. We had a high of 69.6 and a low of 46.6 as of right now. Relative humidity is 98%. Barometric pressure is 1016(30.00 inches) and Rising. Winds are at 0. Dew point temperature is 44°. Skies are clear. Feels like 45°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 5%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy by 4pm today.

Tonight, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Shifting to the low forties by 4am Monday morning. Skies will be clear.

Monday, temperatures will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperatures will be in the low 40s by 4pm. Skies will be clear.

Monday night, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 40s by 4am Tuesday morning. Skies will be clear.

Tuesday temperatures will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tuesday night, temperatures will be in the low 50s. Chance of rain 6%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of thunderstorms or severe weather over the next three days.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Looking at models, are next chance of weather will be Thursday evening October 10th. Start time looks to be about 7pm right on top of us. We’ll find out more about it as the week progresses. That system will bring in colder temperatures on Saturday morning to the upper 30s. There is a insignificant chance of Trace precipitation at around 10am today and 10am tomorrow. I would not count on it, but it is just something to know as you go about your day today.

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Saturday October 5th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Southside of Blue Springs receive no precipitation. Some of you have probably received some rain that ran for about 5 to 10 minutes. Currently the system that I have been talking about over the week is approaching our area. It will be a few more hours. Start time was pushed later.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Current temperature is 57.8°. We had a high of 61 and a low of 49.3 overnight. Relative humidity is 81%. Barometric pressure is 1014(29.94 inches) and falling. Wind’s are gusting to 5 out of the east Southeast. Dew point temperature is 51°. Feels like 56°.

MODEL DISCUSSION

I’m looking at models first, because I know some of you are interested about today with your activities. Unfortunately, it looks like the start time moved up to 10 am and ending by 4 pm. Sunday has changed as well and we may end up with scattered showers throughout our county and the area. Does not look like it will amount to much. May not happen at all since the amounts are so small.

THREE DAY FORECAST

Today, temperatures will be in the low-to-mid 70s. Chance of rain 84%. Dew point temperatures will be in the low 60s. This will start to fall at 4 pm. Skies will be cloudy most of the day turning partly cloudy by 4 pm.

Tonight, temperature will be in the upper 40s give or take. Chance of rain 3%. Dew point temperature will continue to fall this evening and be in the upper 40s by 4am Sunday morning. Clouds will disappear becoming clear throughout the night.

Sunday, temperatures will be in the mid to Upper 60s. Chance of rain 5%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly clear shifting to mostly cloudy by 1pm roughly.

Sunday night temperatures will be in the mid-40s give or take. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature will continue to fall to the low 40s by 4am Monday morning. Skies will shift from mostly cloudy to mostly clear by Monday morning.

Monday, temperatures will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperatures will stay in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

Monday evening, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows today with a Chance of non severe thunderstorms. The next two days show no chance of thunderstorms severe or otherwise.

COLD TEMPS

Looking at temperatures ahead, Friday October 11th is something to watch has temperatures are going to be in the low 30s by 7 a.m. as a cold front moves in. Saturday October 12th around 4 a.m. we will hit a low of about 38 or so. Further on ahead on Saturday October 19th our temperature will be a low of about 37 degrees by 7 am. Those forecasts are pretty far out, so those temperatures could increase as we press forward towards those days.

Have a great day Blue Springs and all who follow. Make sure you bring a rain jacket or an umbrella.

Posted on

Friday October 4th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs. It is 51.3°. We had a 59.1 high and a 50.5 low over the past 24 hours. Skies are mostly cloudy. Trace precipitation. relative humidity 90%. Barometric pressure 1024 and steady. Dew point temperature 47°. Winds at 1 gusting to 5 out of the southeast. Feels like 48°.
Today, temperature will be in low to mid 60s. chance of rain 14%. Dew point will be in the upper 40s. Mostly cloudy.

Tonight, temperature in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 44%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s to low 50s. Sky is mostly cloudy to cloudy.

Saturday, temperature in the low-to-mid 70s. Chance of rain 84%. Dew point temperature in the low 60s. Skies cloudy becoming mostly clear by 4 pm.

Saturday night, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 3%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s becoming upper 40s by 4 am. Skies will be clear.

Sunday, temperatures in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly clear to mostly cloudy.
Sunday night, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

Convective Outlook shows a chance of non severe thunderstorms today. Tomorrow we have a marginal chance of severe weather. Sunday has no chance of thunderstorm severe or non-severe.

Model show the possibility of rain this evening anywhere between 6pm to 9pm Jackson County area. I say this because Blue Springs may or may not receive any precipitation overnight. Saturday morning is still set for a rainy start with a start time of 7 a.m. and an end time of about 1 p.m. or so. The National Weather Service predicts about a 3/10 of an inch maybe a little more. The NAM model shows a little less precipitation.

If you are out tonight you might want to consider an umbrella close by. If you have any events scheduled for Saturday morning you may want to schedule it for the afternoon. Depending on what time I wake up in the morning the depend on whether or not I will get a forecast out to you. I am involved in the Jackson County Amateur Radio Emergency Services (JCARES) group, and we will be doing a simulated terrorist attack on the Chiefs football stadium between 8am and 1pm. We will be Manning stations throughout the Jackson County area. More than likely I will be up early. I normally am. Have a great day folks and enjoy your weekend. Be safe driving to work and be safe coming home this evening.