Winter Snow Spring Temperatures

Good evening. Here I sit, checking out the weather to see when we will be out of this crazy Arctic freeze. I was encouraged to see that the last half of next week will be spring-like weather. We will talk about that here in a few moments. For now, let’s take a look at our current conditions.

Current Conditions

Tonight’s observation as of 9:27 pm shows the current temperature of 6 degrees with a pressure of 30.45 inches and steady. Likely some of you may be dealing with some pain. Winds are at 15 mph NNW and breezy. The relative humidity is 64%, with a dew point of -2 degrees. The air is very dry. In fact, the static is ridiculous in my home. The skies are clear.

[wunderground location=”Blue Springs, MO”]

We have a chance of snow on Monday at midnight. Snow amounts, according to GFS, may be up to 0.4 inches of accumulation

We will soon begin to thaw out finally. I am about tired of the snow and cold weather. We will begin to warm up on Wednesday with temps about 51 degrees. Thursday is the warmest, with the temperature in the week at 66 degrees, give or take by 3 pm. Winds should begin to die down over the next couple of hours.

That is about it for now. Take care. MP

Morning Observations / Forecast December 18 2022

Good morning. We have winter weather approaching us over the next 24 hours or so. Today’s observation as of 07:24 am shows the current temperature of 12 degrees with a pressure of 30.31 inches and steady. Winds are at zero. The relative humidity is 82%, with a dew point of 10 degrees. The air is arid. The skies are clear. I reported a trace of snow from the very light spitting of flurries yesterday with no accumulation.

Today’s Forecast is pretty uneventful. The temperature today will be a high of 37 degrees, give or take, by 3 pm. Winds will be calm today and less than ten miles per hour. Skies will clear up until about 4 pm and shift to overcast.

Here is an update on the winter weather approaching us this week. It looks like there may be two rounds of snow this week. The first round looks to arrive around 6 am for GFS, 7 am for RAP, and 9 am for NAM Monday, and it seems like straight snow with no transitions. Snow amounts show about a 50 percent chance of 1 inch or greater. Based on the WPC and the model’s accuracy, my determination is that it will be less than an inch unless something changes. The National Weather Service says 1 inch for the Blue Springs area. Some parts of Jackson County may see 1 inch of snow. The start time depends on which long-range model you look at. We will find a better accurate start time this evening as HRRR comes into view for tomorrow morning.

The temperature looks to reach about 38 degrees by 3 pm Monday. So there is a good chance that the snow will be mostly melted by the end of the day on Monday if it holds out. The GFS model shows a slightly lower temperature at 34 degrees. Again, we will get a better and more accurate reading this evening. Keep watching Facebook.

Morning Observations / Forecast December 16 2022

Good morning. Today’s observation as of 6:21 am shows the current temperature of 22 degrees with a pressure of 29.87 inches. Winds are out of the NW at 10 mph. Relative humidity at 67% with a dew point of 16 degrees. Skies are clear.

For today’s forcast the wind gusts will peak to about 26 knots or about 30 mph give or take by noon today.

Dress accordingly and no I am not going to post anything about wind chill or feels like temperature. It is way over rated and it is a relative “calculation”. One of these days I am going to write a post on why you should not rely on Wind Chill and Feels Like Temperatures. Believe it or knot the National Weather Service had to “modify” the formula for wind chill because it was too high. Well how does one know that a feels like temperature or a wind chill calculation is too high? I have read that there were several research articles on this particular topic that forced this to be changed. I have not been able to find those articles just yet. I have not thoroughly searched the web either. I just need to set aside some time one morning to do some searching. I know these were done before 2001 according to what I have found.

The temperature will be around 31 degrees give or take for a high today by 11am this morning so again, dress accordingly.

As for cloud cover, we will begin to shift to overcast by 11am today give or take. Temperatures will begin to drop about that time and by 10 pm, temperatures will be around 26 degrees or so and falling.

That is pretty much it for today. Not a whole lot going on. Happy Friday everyone. MP