Tuesday January 9, 2024 – Winter Weather Update

Good morning. This Winter Weather Update is from the morning of January 6, 2024. If you are reading this a day later, it is old data and you need to go to my Facebook page or my most recent blog post if I have one.

I have been watching the models, and we may have some snow that can hinder driving and make roads slightly dangerous. The key to a safe drive is TIRES with GOOD tread! You will have issues getting around if your tires do not have good tread

Looking at the Weather Prediction Center we are looking at up to 40% change of snow accumulations at 4 inches or greater for the Jackson County area. The break down of snow amounts for Tuesday January 9, 2024 is this:

Precipitation Chances
1″ or greater of snow accumulation – 90%
2″ or greater of snow accumulation – 60%
4″ or greater of snow accumulation – 30%

Looking at the NAM model for snow amounts is the perfect esample why I don’t like snow amounts for the usual models I use for severe weather. They are shows 5+ inches of snow and all it does is give me a good belly laugh. These are the things that the Media are going to EAT up instead of heading over to the Weather Prediction Center and getting the correct model for snow amounts.

Winter Weather Snow amounts from NAM Model

Severity will be minor according to the Severity index. But that ALL depends on your tire condition. I am sure the NWS will kick off a winter weather advisory / watch soon.

That is pretty much it for today. Stay away from the media for a bit. They are really going nuts out there with this stuff. I would go with the one that is less dramatic on their posts and television forecasts. Take care everyone and enjoy your weekend. I will keep you posted on social media or do another blog post if there are any more changes to this forecast.

Breaking: Wet Weekend. Wet Christmas. No Snow.

Good evening. It looks like rain throughout the evening and well into Christmas. Even though the GFS shows snow, the Weather Prediction Center shows nothing is expected. Temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s until about Sunday evening, about 6 pm, when the temperature will tank. The temperature will be around 36° F by noon.

Winter Weather Outlook for Christmas
Winter Weather Outlook for Christmas

The sun is pretty active, according to the Space Weather Live website. We had a fairly large earthquake in China at 6.3 magnitude and it killed 191 people. We also had a Volcanic eruption the day before the earthquake in Iceland. Caused by the Coronal hole that passed in front of us a few days before.

That is about it for today. Take care. MP

Will Blue Springs Weather Have a Beautiful White Christmas?

White Christmas

I know some of you Blue Springs weather snow lovers are itching to find out if we will see a white Christmas. I can tell you this. I am thrilled to announce that the models are showing some incredible spring-like temperatures and rain that morning and coudy skies all day as of today. As I have mentioned on my Facebook page, the solar maximum for this year would cause this winter to be warm. It has nothing to do with anything else. This warm weather has a simple and basic explanation. It is God and a very active Sun we have been dealing with.

According to the GFS Temperature model from the College of DuPage, it looks like we will be starting off at 54° F at 6 am in the morning on December 25th. As the day progesses we will be seeing a high of 58° F give or take by 3 pm. As of right now we will be dealing with rain and no snow from Christmas Eve to Christmas morning,

That is about it for now. If anything changes I will make sure I post an update on Facebook. MP

Blue Springs Weather Privacy Policy

Privacy Policy

Last updated: December 10, 2023

This Privacy Policy describes Our policies and procedures on the collection, use and disclosure of Your information when You use the Service and tells You about Your privacy rights and how the law protects You.

We use Your Personal data to provide and improve the Service. By using the Service, You agree to the collection and use of information in accordance with this Privacy Policy. This Privacy Policy has been created with the help of the Privacy Policy Generator.

Interpretation and Definitions

Interpretation

The words of which the initial letter is capitalized have meanings defined under the following conditions. The following definitions shall have the same meaning regardless of whether they appear in singular or in plural.

Definitions

For the purposes of this Privacy Policy:

  • Account means a unique account created for You to access our Service or parts of our Service.
  • Affiliate means an entity that controls, is controlled by or is under common control with a party, where “control” means ownership of 50% or more of the shares, equity interest or other securities entitled to vote for election of directors or other managing authority.
  • Application refers to Blue Springs Weather, the software program provided by the Company.
  • Company (referred to as either “the Company”, “We”, “Us” or “Our” in this Agreement) refers to Blue Springs Weather.
  • Country refers to: Missouri, United States
  • Device means any device that can access the Service such as a computer, a cellphone or a digital tablet.
  • Personal Data is any information that relates to an identified or identifiable individual.
  • Service refers to the Application.
  • Service Provider means any natural or legal person who processes the data on behalf of the Company. It refers to third-party companies or individuals employed by the Company to facilitate the Service, to provide the Service on behalf of the Company, to perform services related to the Service or to assist the Company in analyzing how the Service is used.
  • Usage Data refers to data collected automatically, either generated by the use of the Service or from the Service infrastructure itself (for example, the duration of a page visit).
  • You means the individual accessing or using the Service, or the company, or other legal entity on behalf of which such individual is accessing or using the Service, as applicable.

Collecting and Using Your Personal Data

Types of Data Collected

Personal Data

While using Our Service, We may ask You to provide Us with certain personally identifiable information that can be used to contact or identify You. Personally identifiable information may include, but is not limited to:

  • Email address
  • First name and last name
  • Usage Data

Usage Data

Usage Data is collected automatically when using the Service.

Usage Data may include information such as Your Device’s Internet Protocol address (e.g. IP address), browser type, browser version, the pages of our Service that You visit, the time and date of Your visit, the time spent on those pages, unique device identifiers and other diagnostic data.

When You access the Service by or through a mobile device, We may collect certain information automatically, including, but not limited to, the type of mobile device You use, Your mobile device unique ID, the IP address of Your mobile device, Your mobile operating system, the type of mobile Internet browser You use, unique device identifiers and other diagnostic data.

We may also collect information that Your browser sends whenever You visit our Service or when You access the Service by or through a mobile device.

Use of Your Personal Data

The Company may use Personal Data for the following purposes:

  • To provide and maintain our Service, including to monitor the usage of our Service.
  • To manage Your Account: to manage Your registration as a user of the Service. The Personal Data You provide can give You access to different functionalities of the Service that are available to You as a registered user.
  • For the performance of a contract: the development, compliance and undertaking of the purchase contract for the products, items or services You have purchased or of any other contract with Us through the Service.
  • To contact You: To contact You by email, telephone calls, SMS, or other equivalent forms of electronic communication, such as a mobile application’s push notifications regarding updates or informative communications related to the functionalities, products or contracted services, including the security updates, when necessary or reasonable for their implementation.
  • To provide You with news, special offers and general information about other goods, services and events which we offer that are similar to those that you have already purchased or enquired about unless You have opted not to receive such information.
  • To manage Your requests: To attend and manage Your requests to Us.
  • For business transfers: We may use Your information to evaluate or conduct a merger, divestiture, restructuring, reorganization, dissolution, or other sale or transfer of some or all of Our assets, whether as a going concern or as part of bankruptcy, liquidation, or similar proceeding, in which Personal Data held by Us about our Service users is among the assets transferred.
  • For other purposes: We may use Your information for other purposes, such as data analysis, identifying usage trends, determining the effectiveness of our promotional campaigns and to evaluate and improve our Service, products, services, marketing and your experience.

We may share Your personal information in the following situations:

  • With Service Providers: We may share Your personal information with Service Providers to monitor and analyze the use of our Service, to contact You.
  • For business transfers: We may share or transfer Your personal information in connection with, or during negotiations of, any merger, sale of Company assets, financing, or acquisition of all or a portion of Our business to another company.
  • With Affiliates: We may share Your information with Our affiliates, in which case we will require those affiliates to honor this Privacy Policy. Affiliates include Our parent company and any other subsidiaries, joint venture partners or other companies that We control or that are under common control with Us.
  • With business partners: We may share Your information with Our business partners to offer You certain products, services or promotions.
  • With other users: when You share personal information or otherwise interact in the public areas with other users, such information may be viewed by all users and may be publicly distributed outside.
  • With Your consent: We may disclose Your personal information for any other purpose with Your consent.

Retention of Your Personal Data

The Company will retain Your Personal Data only for as long as is necessary for the purposes set out in this Privacy Policy. We will retain and use Your Personal Data to the extent necessary to comply with our legal obligations (for example, if we are required to retain your data to comply with applicable laws), resolve disputes, and enforce our legal agreements and policies.

The Company will also retain Usage Data for internal analysis purposes. Usage Data is generally retained for a shorter period of time, except when this data is used to strengthen the security or to improve the functionality of Our Service, or We are legally obligated to retain this data for longer time periods.

Transfer of Your Personal Data

Your information, including Personal Data, is processed at the Company’s operating offices and in any other places where the parties involved in the processing are located. It means that this information may be transferred to — and maintained on — computers located outside of Your state, province, country or other governmental jurisdiction where the data protection laws may differ than those from Your jurisdiction.

Your consent to this Privacy Policy followed by Your submission of such information represents Your agreement to that transfer.

The Company will take all steps reasonably necessary to ensure that Your data is treated securely and in accordance with this Privacy Policy and no transfer of Your Personal Data will take place to an organization or a country unless there are adequate controls in place including the security of Your data and other personal information.

Delete Your Personal Data

You have the right to delete or request that We assist in deleting the Personal Data that We have collected about You.

Our Service may give You the ability to delete certain information about You from within the Service.

You may update, amend, or delete Your information at any time by signing in to Your Account, if you have one, and visiting the account settings section that allows you to manage Your personal information. You may also contact Us to request access to, correct, or delete any personal information that You have provided to Us.

Please note, however, that We may need to retain certain information when we have a legal obligation or lawful basis to do so.

Disclosure of Your Personal Data

Business Transactions

If the Company is involved in a merger, acquisition or asset sale, Your Personal Data may be transferred. We will provide notice before Your Personal Data is transferred and becomes subject to a different Privacy Policy.

Law enforcement

Under certain circumstances, the Company may be required to disclose Your Personal Data if required to do so by law or in response to valid requests by public authorities (e.g. a court or a government agency).

Other legal requirements

The Company may disclose Your Personal Data in the good faith belief that such action is necessary to:

  • Comply with a legal obligation
  • Protect and defend the rights or property of the Company
  • Prevent or investigate possible wrongdoing in connection with the Service
  • Protect the personal safety of Users of the Service or the public
  • Protect against legal liability

Security of Your Personal Data

The security of Your Personal Data is important to Us, but remember that no method of transmission over the Internet, or method of electronic storage is 100% secure. While We strive to use commercially acceptable means to protect Your Personal Data, We cannot guarantee its absolute security.

Children’s Privacy

Our Service does not address anyone under the age of 13. We do not knowingly collect personally identifiable information from anyone under the age of 13. If You are a parent or guardian and You are aware that Your child has provided Us with Personal Data, please contact Us. If We become aware that We have collected Personal Data from anyone under the age of 13 without verification of parental consent, We take steps to remove that information from Our servers.

If We need to rely on consent as a legal basis for processing Your information and Your country requires consent from a parent, We may require Your parent’s consent before We collect and use that information.

Links to Other Websites

Our Service may contain links to other websites that are not operated by Us. If You click on a third party link, You will be directed to that third party’s site. We strongly advise You to review the Privacy Policy of every site You visit.

We have no control over and assume no responsibility for the content, privacy policies or practices of any third party sites or services.

Changes to this Privacy Policy

We may update Our Privacy Policy from time to time. We will notify You of any changes by posting the new Privacy Policy on this page.

We will let You know via email and/or a prominent notice on Our Service, prior to the change becoming effective and update the “Last updated” date at the top of this Privacy Policy.

You are advised to review this Privacy Policy periodically for any changes. Changes to this Privacy Policy are effective when they are posted on this page.

Contact Us

If you have any questions about this Privacy Policy, You can contact us:

Get Ready for Wet Weather! Will Blue Springs Be Soaked?

Make sure you bring your rain jacket. Wet weather is on the horizon starting Friday, December 15, 2023, at about noon. This forecast will be short, sweet, and to the point.

Wet Weather in Blue Springs
HRRR Precipitation Type for 6 pm UTC or noon CST

The Weather Prediction Center shows rain throughout the day tomorrow. When the rain starts it looks like it may be about 51° F by the time it starts.

National Forecast Chart

That is about it for tonight. MP

Sunday Blue Springs Weather Forecast

Here is the latest Blue Springs weather and forecast. Good morning. The weather for Blue Springs Saturday snow did not happen like it was discussed on my previous post. Enjoy the sunshine. We will shift to an overcast starting at 1 pm. Winds will be a little calmer today. We will have a peak wind gust at 18 miles per hour by 10 am.

We are not expecting any precipitation at this time. The temperature will hit a high of 45° F.

There’s not a whole lot going on today. Enjoy your Sunday! MP

National Weather Service of Pleasent Hill

Breaking: Blue Springs Weather: Snow Possible Saturday

Good evening. Here is this weekend’s latest Blue Springs weather Forecast; enjoy the nice warm weather while it lasts. After Friday, temperatures will tank, and a possible frigid cold front will blast through the area by noon on Saturday. Temperatures will go from 57° F at midnight Saturday morning to 46° F by 3 am and 34° F by noon. Sunday, we may see 30° F by 9 am.

Snow amounts look to be pretty minimal. We still have a few days for these models to change.

GFS 10:1 Snow amounts

Sunspot activity looks to be an average sunspot distribution. We are still waiting on the sunspot count for November. Currently, October hit a count of 99 sunspots.

That is about it for this evening. Take care.

Sunday Weather Forecast, Earthquakes, and Volcanic Eruptions

HRRR Precipitation model

Good morning. Here is the Sunday weather forecast, but first, our current weather conditions. I hope everyone has had a great weekend. We had some rain over the past 24 hours. It measured at 0.08 inches of rain. The temperature was at 32° F this morning at 6 am. It is now 30° F. Skies are cloudy, and winds are calm as I look out at the windmill in our backyard. The most breeze we have dealt with is nine miles per hour out of the WSW. Pressure is sitting at 29.91 inches of mercury.

Current Weather

Here is the latest Sunday weather forecast. I was looking at the HRRR Precipitation type. I see a small low-pressure system that will be moving through the area. It will bring some possible rain. The pressure will dip to about 29.70 inches of mercury by 8 pm this evening. We may get a few sprinkles or two in the evening, but our chances will increase by midnight tonight into Monday.

Sunday weather forecast from HRRR Precipitation Type
HRRR Precipitation Type for 2 am UTC or 8 pm CST

Sunday Weather Forecast

Our Temperature will reach a high of 46° F by 2 pm. We may get some peak throughs of sunshine, but overcast will prevail later today.

HRRR Temperature Model for Sunday's weather forecast
HRRR Temperature model at 2 pm CST or 8 pm UTC

The coronal hole is on its way to the eastern hemisphere, and so far, it has produced an earthquake in the Philippines at 7.6 and a volcanic eruption of Mount Etna in Europe.

Coronal Hole

Sunspot activity has declined since my last post about this on November 26th.

Space weather for Sunday weather forecast.
Space Weather Live Sunspot Count

Lots of exciting events have occurred from our active sun. I don’t downplay that people got hurt from a 7.6 magnitude earthquake. I prayed yesterday for quick recovery and safety in the Philippines. The sun has a tremendous impact on our planet’s environment and weather. Just like the sun is a type of Christ in the Bible, which affects our climate, God controls our temperature and environment, and it is God that provides the signs from heaven to reveal the events. That is about it. Take care. MP

Tuesday Weather Forecast – Next Weather Event on Thursday

HRRR Temperature model November 28, 2023

Here is the latest Tuesday Weather Forecast. Looking at the long-range GFS models, our next event is Thursday. The start time is about noon and ends at 6 pm on Thursday. Precipitation amounts are minimal, according to the GFS. It shows 0.39 inches of rain when all is said and done.

GFS model for Tuesday weather forecast
GFS Precipitation Type model for Thursday, November 30, 2023
GFS Precipitation model after rain event on Thursday.

Today, we will hit a high of about 42° F by 3 pm. Skies will be mostly clear to clear and there may be a point in the day we encounter an overcast.

HRRR Temperature model at 3pm CST.

That is about it for today. MP

Sunday Forecast and Significant Amount of Sunspots for November 26, 2023

Good morning. Here is the Sunday Forecast, but first, the measurements and current weather. I am ready for the summer now—enough of this white stuff. I walked out to get the Stratus and get measurements. We ended with 2.4 inches of snow with a liquid equivalent of .27 inches. That makes the ratio 8.9 inches of snow to 1 inch of liquid. The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) was off by about an inch. God said, “Here is a little more to grow on.” He is in control. The WPC is still a more accurate source than the snow amounts for others.

The current temperature is 25° F. Skies are mostly cloudy, and winds are three miles per hour out of the northwest. The relative humidity is at 92%. The barometric pressure is at 29.83 inches of mercury. The radar is pretty clear, and the atmosphere is pretty dry now.

Radar
Radar
Water Vapor Loop for Sunday Forecast
Water Vapor Loop

Here is the Sunday Forecast for today. We will hit a high of 36° F, give or take, by 3 pm. It will be a bit breezy today, with wind gusts peaking at about 27-28 miles per hour by noon today. Winds should begin to calm down at about 6 pm tonight.

Lots of activity on the sun’s surface. There are still lots of sunspots. The sun is trying to hold on to that solar maximum before it goes back to sleep and becomes dormant again.

That is all I have to talk about today. Take care. MP