Weather Forecast - Blue Springs Weather

January 9, 2023January 9, 2023

Blue Springs Weather Weather Update and Forecast

Good evening. Here is the latest for Blue Springs Weather. We will encounter spring-like weather again tomorrow. It looks like, at this time, we will hit about 60 degrees, give or take, by 2 pm tomorrow. Why have our temperatures shot up all of a sudden? We had several solar flares over the past few days and a class X solar flare at noon today.

As we progress toward spring, the solar light intensity is beginning to increase. The trendline is leveling and beginning to trend back up. The temperature is beginning to follow. The daylight is getting longer every day.

We will have mostly overcast starting about 4 am in the morning and get a bout of sunlight between 7 am and 10 am and then back to overcast. According to the SPC, we have a chance of nonsevere thunderstorms by Wednesday.

That is pretty much it for tonight’s Blue Springs weather forecast. Take care, everyone. MP.

January 6, 2023January 6, 2023

Nasty Precipitation. What is The ConditionsTomorrow?

What will be Blue Springs weather tomorrow? We will start a little wet, about 8 am; then we may see a little freezing rain. It should not be a hindrance. According to the WPC, there is a 20-30% chance of ice accumulations to about 0.01 inches or greater. The system then shifts to snow by about 1 pm, give or take. According to the WPC, there is no accumulation expected for snow. We will start at 32 degrees at about 7 am in the morning. The temperature will reach about 34 degrees, give or take, by 1 pm but then will begin to take a deep dive towards the evening hours.

Driving conditions should be okay for tomorrow. Just be careful driving, as there may be some slick spots. Bridges may be slick in spots too.

That is it for today; take care and be safe tomorrow. I will update you with Blue Springs Weather if anything should change. MP

January 2, 2023January 2, 2023

Current Weather Observations and Forecast, Severe Storms Likely

Good morning. I hope those of you that are off in observance of the New Year is doing well. Here is the latest Blue Springs Weather to include Jackson County Weather. It is pretty foggy out. According to the HRRR, visibility will begin to open up by about 4 pm this afternoon. According to the National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill, we are under a dense fog until noon today.

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* WHAT...Visibility one quarter to one half mile in dense fog.

* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and
  central, north central, northeast, northwest and west central
  Missouri.

* WHEN...Until noon CST today.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

Here is the latest reading from my Acurite Atlas for Blue Springs Weather. Current temperature 41.5 degrees. He have had a low of 37.9 degrees today. Barometric pressure at 29.95 inches and steady. Relative humidity at 98%. Winds are at 6 mph from the NE. Dew point at 43 degrees. Skies are cloudy. Foggy with a visual range of 0.10 miles. We had some drizzle early this morning about 5am from the fog moving into the area.

Looking at today’s forecast, we are still under a marginal chance of severe weather today according to the Storm Prediction Center. According to all the convective models. I would say that the critical time range for severe weather is between 7 pm and 2 am Wednesday morning. CAPEs seem to be just above 1000. Looking at sounding models for our area, they show the possiblity of a marginal tornado, though the Storm Prediction Center shows a very low chance of this. Tornados can happen at any time of the year and any point, it is just that they are less likly in the winter and fall time frame. Dew points will be around 60 and below during that window so there is some moisture in the air that will provide plenty of moisture for possbile severe thunderstorms.

That is about it for today. God should make it somewhat interesting this evening. I will keep an eye on things and update you with Blue Springs Weather as I see any changes. Take care everyone and be safe this evening. MP

January 1, 2023January 2, 2023

Current Weather Conditions, Upcoming Rain, and Possible Strong Storms.

Good evening. Here is the current Blue Springs Weather. Rain is on the horizon, but here is the current weather. According to my AcuRite Atlas, The current temperature is 49 degrees. Relative humidity 76%. Dew point at 45 degrees. Barometric pressure 29.92 inches. Winds are NE at 6 mph. We had a high of 55 and a low of 32. The skies are mostly cloudy.

Monday will be a Low of 44 by 6 am and a high of 59 by 9 pm. Rain is likely to start about noon tomorrow, according to the HRRR. It will continue into the evening off and on. It looks like the heavier rain will be towards the end of the day. Rain amounts are around half an inch to three-quarters of an inch.

The SPC shows a marginal chance of severe weather and thunderstorms tomorrow. We have a 5% chance of damaging winds and large hail. Tornados are less than 2%. Looking at the convective most unstable (MU) convective available potential energy (CAPE), it does not look like the system will be too awful strong. We may hear some thunder and see some lightning, but from what I see, this system is not going to be too bad. I would not be surprised if they downgrade us.

Here is the latest on temperatures through out the week.
Tuesday Low of 47 by 9 am and high of 51 by noon.
Wednesday’s Low of 31 by 6 am, and the high of 41 by 3 pm.
Thursday Low of 26 by 6 am and a high of 37 by 3 pm.
Friday Low of 29 by 6 am and a high of 44 by 3 pm

December 23, 2022December 23, 2022

Winter Snow Spring Temperatures

Good evening. Here I sit, checking out the weather to see when we will be out of this crazy Arctic freeze. I was encouraged to see that the last half of next week will be spring-like weather. We will talk about that here in a few moments. For now, let’s take a look at our current conditions.

Current Conditions

Tonight’s observation as of 9:27 pm shows the current temperature of 6 degrees with a pressure of 30.45 inches and steady. Likely some of you may be dealing with some pain. Winds are at 15 mph NNW and breezy. The relative humidity is 64%, with a dew point of -2 degrees. The air is very dry. In fact, the static is ridiculous in my home. The skies are clear.

[wunderground location=”Blue Springs, MO”]

We have a chance of snow on Monday at midnight. Snow amounts, according to GFS, may be up to 0.4 inches of accumulation

We will soon begin to thaw out finally. I am about tired of the snow and cold weather. We will begin to warm up on Wednesday with temps about 51 degrees. Thursday is the warmest, with the temperature in the week at 66 degrees, give or take by 3 pm. Winds should begin to die down over the next couple of hours.

That is about it for now. Take care. MP

December 19, 2022December 19, 2022

Winter Weather Update – December 19 2022

Wow. I am going to have a lot to write about today. If this system holds out, we will see some significant snow amounts. Keep in mind this is STILL TOO EARLY! So as you read this PLEASE keep that in mind and don’t run out and yell the sky is falling! This is something that I am keeping an eye on throughout the week, and as always please make sure your poke your head in on other pages. I know I do a lot of poking with them and there are certain topics that I am dogmatic about, but they still do the best that they can with a much bigger area that they cover. I only cover one county, and that is why I am so accurate. So with that lets talk about some weather. Keep in mind all that I am about to write about is subject to change very quickly.

TEMPERATURES

Thursday temperatures is going be bitterly cold. On Thursday December 22nd at 3 am the temperatures for Jackson County will be about 33 degrees. By 6 am Thursday morning we will hit 9-10 degrees. By 6 pm on Thursday we will be at -2 degrees. By 6 am on Friday December 23rd we will be at -3. By 6 pm on Friday will be at 4 degrees. See the slide show below on the time line of temperatures.

WINDS

Notice the isobars (lines), those lines being close together means it will be windy. So from Wednesday night at 9 pm till about Christmas make sure you dress in layers. Please do not allow your kids to run around in shorts. Please parent your kids. If this holds out we will see snow drifts and likely very low visibility.

SNOW AMOUNTS

Snow amounts are still up in the air, but this what we have so far. NAM shows 3 inches of snow and RAP Shows about 2 inces of snow. GFS shows about both show about 3.7 inches of snow. ECWMF shows over 6 inches of snow. Then we have the WPC which is most of the time the most accurate. Hopefully it will change, but at this time the WPC says there is a 70-90% change of snow amounts of 4 inches and greater. When you shift to snow amounts based on percentile, there is a 95% chance that all of Jackson County will have 6-8 inches of snow.

So we will just have to wait and see as we move forward. If anything changes I will let you know. MP

December 18, 2022December 18, 2022

Morning Observations / Forecast December 18 2022

Good morning. We have winter weather approaching us over the next 24 hours or so. Today’s observation as of 07:24 am shows the current temperature of 12 degrees with a pressure of 30.31 inches and steady. Winds are at zero. The relative humidity is 82%, with a dew point of 10 degrees. The air is arid. The skies are clear. I reported a trace of snow from the very light spitting of flurries yesterday with no accumulation.

Today’s Forecast is pretty uneventful. The temperature today will be a high of 37 degrees, give or take, by 3 pm. Winds will be calm today and less than ten miles per hour. Skies will clear up until about 4 pm and shift to overcast.

Here is an update on the winter weather approaching us this week. It looks like there may be two rounds of snow this week. The first round looks to arrive around 6 am for GFS, 7 am for RAP, and 9 am for NAM Monday, and it seems like straight snow with no transitions. Snow amounts show about a 50 percent chance of 1 inch or greater. Based on the WPC and the model’s accuracy, my determination is that it will be less than an inch unless something changes. The National Weather Service says 1 inch for the Blue Springs area. Some parts of Jackson County may see 1 inch of snow. The start time depends on which long-range model you look at. We will find a better accurate start time this evening as HRRR comes into view for tomorrow morning.

WPC Snow Probabilities for Jackson County and Blue Springs area.

The temperature looks to reach about 38 degrees by 3 pm Monday. So there is a good chance that the snow will be mostly melted by the end of the day on Monday if it holds out. The GFS model shows a slightly lower temperature at 34 degrees. Again, we will get a better and more accurate reading this evening. Keep watching Facebook.

December 17, 2022December 17, 2022

Morning Observations / Forecast December 17 2022

Good morning. Today’s observation as of 8:10 am shows the current temperature of 21 degrees with a pressure of 30.01 inches and steady. Winds are out of the ESE at 4 mph. Relative humidity at 65% with a dew point of 14 degrees. The air is pretty dry. The skies are overcast.

The forecast for today. We will reach about 31 degrees give or take by 2 pm today and will begin to drop by 4 pm today. By 3 am in the morning temperatures will increase to about 37 degrees as the cold front moves through the area and rain begins at this time.

The precipitation starts out as rain but then by 6 am Monday morning rain will shift to snow.

HRRR Precipitation Type shifting to snow by 6 am

As for accumulation, it looks to not be much according to the Weather Prediction Center. We have a 5-10% chance of snow amounts of one inch or greater by noon Monday.

WPC Snow Accumulation probabilities at 5-10% at One Inch or Greater

By 6 pm Monday evening the chances increase slightly to ten to twenty percent chance of snow amounts one inch or greater.

WPC Snow Accumulation probabilities at 10-20% at One Inch or Greater

That is pretty much it for today. Be careful driving Monday. Take care. MP

December 16, 2022December 16, 2022

Morning Observations / Forecast December 16 2022

Good morning. Today’s observation as of 6:21 am shows the current temperature of 22 degrees with a pressure of 29.87 inches. Winds are out of the NW at 10 mph. Relative humidity at 67% with a dew point of 16 degrees. Skies are clear.

For today’s forcast the wind gusts will peak to about 26 knots or about 30 mph give or take by noon today.

HRRR Windgust at noon on December 16, 2022

Dress accordingly and no I am not going to post anything about wind chill or feels like temperature. It is way over rated and it is a relative “calculation”. One of these days I am going to write a post on why you should not rely on Wind Chill and Feels Like Temperatures. Believe it or knot the National Weather Service had to “modify” the formula for wind chill because it was too high. Well how does one know that a feels like temperature or a wind chill calculation is too high? I have read that there were several research articles on this particular topic that forced this to be changed. I have not been able to find those articles just yet. I have not thoroughly searched the web either. I just need to set aside some time one morning to do some searching. I know these were done before 2001 according to what I have found.

The temperature will be around 31 degrees give or take for a high today by 11am this morning so again, dress accordingly.

As for cloud cover, we will begin to shift to overcast by 11am today give or take. Temperatures will begin to drop about that time and by 10 pm, temperatures will be around 26 degrees or so and falling.

That is pretty much it for today. Not a whole lot going on. Happy Friday everyone. MP

December 2, 2022January 2, 2023

Morning Observations – December 2, 2022 – Wind

Wind problem today. We are under a wind advisory today. According to the Acurite Atlas, we are gusting at 16mph here at the ground level. We hit 20mph at about 5:23 am. Barometric pressure is at 29.86 inches with a temperature of 44 degrees and rising. The Dew point is at 37 degrees which is our current high. The radar is looking really clean and clear. Skies are mostly clear with small clouds sprinkled throughout. The National Weather Service has the entire county under a Wind advisory starting at 9 am till midnight tonight. They say we will have sustained winds from 20-30 mph and wind gusts up to 50mph.