Ice Ice Baby – Possible Significant Impact

I put ice twice in the title because we may have a possibility of two rounds of ice over a week and a half time frame. It has been a while since we have dealt with any ice. We will talk about that shortly. Here is our current Blue Springs Weather. As of 7:50 pm, the temperature is at 30.2°. Pressure is sitting at 30.02 inches and steady. Winds are out of the NNW at 9 mph. The relative humidity is at 81%. The dew point is at 27°. The skies are hazy.

Cold and Breezy

Make sure you dress for the environment tomorrow. The winds will be about 15 mph tomorrow, right at kick-off.

Conclusion

Tomorrow evening we will be getting it. If you are coming up from the South from the Adrian area and 49 highway, you will be dealing with some tomorrow morning around 8 am. Jackson County will be dealing with ice tomorrow night with a start time of 7 pm and will move north, where the rest of the county will be covered by 8 pm. Tomorrow temperature will be around 22° give or take, by 4 pm.

In the second round, if it holds out, is on Wednesday February 8th and it may be more debilitating. The Ice accumulation amounts may be as high as 0.21 inches for Jackson County. That is enough ice to cause serious driving issues, fallen trees, and power outages. Keep in mind that this particular time is a week and a half out, and it will have plenty of time to change.

That is pretty much it for today. Take care, everyone, and be safe tomorrow. MP.

November 1, 2019

November 1st 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Friday! Happy November! Wow seems like it was just July! Time is shooting by like a rocket ship! Before we know it it will be 2020! So we had about 20 or 30 trick or treaters, and that left us with a bowl full of candy that we dont want. My grandson came over and we gave him half the bowl but we still have another half! So my youngest is taking it to work to get it out of here. If it stays here, it will get eaten by us and I dont want to! Skies are clear and it is a crisp morning this morning. I still have a little snow left in my backyard.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Current temperature is 30.1. We had a high of 40.1 and a low of 24.0. Relative humidity 76%. Barometric pressure 1020(30.12 inches) and steady. Winds at 2 gusting to 6 out of the South. Dewpoint temperature 21°. Skies are clear. No precipitation report. Temperature feels like 24°.

For the month of October, we had an average maximum temperature of 62°. We had an average minimum temperature of 42° and we had an average observed temperature of 46°. We had a total of 3.25 in of precipitation for the month. Total amount of snow for the month is 1.9 inches which puts us above the normal average for the month of .02 inches.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the 50s. Chance of precipitation 3%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s to low 30s. Skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 3%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

Saturday night, temperatures in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Sunday night temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Looking at models oh, not much happening over the weekend except for a possible trace of precipitation tonight around 9pm, but it might not be anyting at all. Our next system should be here early morning Wednesday around 4am November 6th bringing just rain at this time. Thursday November 7th as well with some rain, possibly ice on the northern part of Jackson County moving into all of Jackson County by 1pm. Ice accumulations will be enough to be annoying on the streets, at .04 inches.

That’s pretty much it for today. Enjoy your day today and be safe driving to and from work.

October 29, 2019

October 29th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Tuesday. First round of snow has gone and passed with no snow accumulation. We had a mix of snow sleet and rain all at one time. We had a total of .27 inches of precipitation.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is sitting just barely above freezing at 32.6°. We had high of 41.0 and a low of 32.4. Relative humidity 97%. Barometric pressure 1021(30.15 inches) and rising. Winds at 2 gusting to 2 out of the West Northwest. Dew point temperature is 31°. Feels like 27°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 15%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 84%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Snow amount predictions for tonight by the NWS is approximately .6 inches.

Wednesday, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 77%. Dew point temperature low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Snow amount predictions for tonight by the NWS approximately .3 inches.

Wednesday night, temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 67%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be cloudy.

Thursday, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 14%. Dew point temperature in the low 20s. Skies will be partly cloudy but mostly clear by 4pm.

Thursday night, temperatures in the low 20s. Chance of precipitation 5%. Dew point temperature in the low 20s. Skies will be clear.

SNOW PROBABLILITY

The weather prediction center currently predicts the probability of snow at least 4 inches or more at a 10% probability in our area for Wednesday into Thursday.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models are showing a possible chance for Trace precipitation (rain) off and on throughout the day with no major accumulations. According to the rapid refresh(RAP) model, it shows snow starting in about midnight Wednesday and ending by 1am Thursday October 31st. Snow amounts are still questionable. They’re showing snow amounts from 3 to 4.6 inches. I am not sure where the National Weather Service gets their information. It could be the European model at this time, but I am not sure.

That is pretty much it for today. Hopefully by this afternoon late we will get a pretty good idea of what’s going to happen. Hopefully models will start to cooperate. So far I have not been impressed.

October 28, 2019

October 28th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Monday. I hope and pray that your weekend was blessed and free of all drama. Hope you got those winter coats dust It Off and those gloves and stocking caps pulled out ready for this week’s winter temperatures. I don’t see any rain as of right now. I will have to check before 6am report time for the National Weather Service.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Current temperature 42.1°. We had a high of 59.8 and a low of 39.5 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 81%. Barometric pressure 1017(30.03 inches) and steady. Winds at 2 gusting to 5 out of the West Northwest. Dew point temperature at 35°. Feels like 36°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the low 40s possibly into the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 55%. Dew point temperature in the mid-to-low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Rain possible.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s. Chance of precipitation 13%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s to upper 20s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy.

Tuesday, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 10%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly cloudy with parts being partly cloudy.

Tuesday night, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 67%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

Wednesday, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 66%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

Wednesday night, temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s. Chance of precipitation 26%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be cloudy.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Current models show a misty drizzly day today. With measurable amounts happening around 3pm or so. Rain will continue into the evening hours. By about 10pm we will receive rain snow mix. The system should be out by midnight or so. Snow amounts overnight about 1 in according to the models. Snow will start back up by 4am on Halloween, increasing snow amounts to 1.9 inches total over those couple of days. That would be a more accurate reading 12 inches that GFS is predicting. Regardless we will have some measurable amount of snow. As we draw closer to Halloween we will get a more favorable amount of snow totals. As for the ice possibilities looks like we may get a trace in Jackson County area, not sure if it will be in Blue Springs or not around 10am Tuesday.

That is about it for today, be safe driving to and from work. Till next time.

October 27, 2019

October 27th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Sunday.Heavy dew on the rain gauge this morning. We had the fireplace cleaned out and the chimney checked over yesterday. Change my wife’s oil. Got the generator out and tested it, added some fuel stabilizer to the fuel. Put up a few Halloween decorations. Though I think they will be buried in the snow on the 31st. We may end up with candy left over, if we ever get any trick-or-treaters. It is going to be a very cold day on the 31st.

CURRENT TEMPERATURE

Current temperature 40.8°. We had a high of 58 and a low of 35.8 over the past 24 hours. Barometric pressure is 1009 and Rising. Relative humidity 99%. Winds are at 0 gusting to 2 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature 38°. Feels like 36°. No precipitation to report.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Chance of precipitation 3%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 17%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s to upper 30s. Skies will shift to mostly cloudy to cloudy.

Monday, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 33%. Dew point temperature low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

Monday night, temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 52%. Possible rain snow mix. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to partly cloudy by morning.

Tuesday, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 16%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy.

Tuesday evening, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 49%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Lots of things going on in the models this coming week. Starting with tonight we have a small system that will be coming in by about 9pm bringing some Trace rain, increasing throughout the day Monday and into Tuesday morning. There could be a possible rain snow mix around 10pm Monday. The entire system should end by about 4am Tuesday morning. Another system kicks back up about 1am Wednesday morning, with a possible mix of rain and snow starting off. Then a bout of ice at about 10pm Wednesday night then shifting over to snow throughout the day Halloween. It also looks like temperatures will not reach above upper thirties throughout the day. Temperatures really start to tank as the sun goes down, with temperatures dipping to the low 20s. Snow accumulations are still pretty weird and I don’t trust them. Once again they are showing 6 to 7 inches of snow in our area. It is still really too far out anyways. models are staying pretty consistent that we are going to get some snow.

I would at least have some calcium chloride and your snow shovel and or snowblower ready and easily accessed. If you have a fireplace make sure you got plenty of wood, because it looks like we will be in winter temperatures sooner than expected.

have a great day of worship if that’s what you do. Enjoy your day today and be careful.