Good morning. Looks like we will hit a high of about 67° by 2 pm.
Skies will be mostly clear to clear today. Pretty uneventful.
Simple and basic. take care!
Michael Pratt
Monday November 13, 20203 Another High Pressure Day
October 15th 2019 Forecast
Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Tuesday. It is a beautiful morning this morning. it is 4 weeks and 4 days till deer starts. I am 48 years old and have yet to experience this sport. I have been quail, rabbit and squirrel hunting, but never deer. I am doing that for the first time this year. Pretty excited about it. Just completed my hunter safety course yesterday, just need to get a few more things before the season starts. I am going with a coworker of mine that has hunted for years. He has about 3 and a half acres surrounded by large woods.
CURRENT CONDITIONS
Temperature is 61.7°. We had a high of 71.5 and a low of 37.1 last night. Relative humidity 90%. Barometric pressure 1008 and steady. Winds at 2 gusting to 6 out of the South. Dew point temperature of 57°. No precipitation to report. Skies are mostly cloudy. Feels like 62°.
FORECAST
Today, temperature will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 7%. Dew point temperature falling to upper 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to clear by 4pm.
Tonight temperatures will be in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear to mostly clear.
Wednesday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly cloudy by 10am clearing out, becoming clear by 4pm.
Wednesday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.
Thursday, temperature in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s by 4pm. Skies will be clear.
Thursday night temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly clear.
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
Convective outlook for today shows a chance of non severe thunderstorms in our area. Wednesday and Thursday show no chance of non severe or severe thunderstorms.
MODEL DISCUSSION
Model show a possible chance of Trace rain this morning. It should move out by 2pm today. The system set for Friday evening at 10pm should be fairly small. Another larger system will be in the area early Monday morning October 21st about 1am. Some of you may be wondering about Halloween. It does show Rain in the evening hours at about 7pm. Don’t freak out too quickly, as the models can change drastically up until then. This is just something to watch as we progress through the next couple of weeks.
That is pretty much it folks, have a great drive into work. Be careful. I will talk to you again this evening.
Monday October 7th 2019 Forecast
CURRENT CONDITIONS
Good morning Blue Springs, happy Monday. It crisp, clear, heavy dew, and fall is moving along. You can see Orion constellation high in the sky this morning. It is cold enough that you can see your breath. Current temperature is 46.9°. We had a high of 61.4 and a low of 45.1. Relative humidity is 99%. Dew point temperature is 44°. Barometric pressure is 1022(30.18 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0 gusting to 2 out of the South. We had Trace precipitation over the past 24 hours. Skies are clear. Feels like 43°.
FORECAST
Temperature today will reach into the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.
Tonight, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s to low 40s by 4 a.m. Tuesday. Skies will be clear.
Tuesday, temperatures will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low to mid 40s. Skies will be clear.
Tuesday night, temperatures will be in the low 50s. Chance of rain 4%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.
Wednesday, temperatures in the low 70s. Chance of rain 14%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be partly cloudy.
Wednesday night, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 68%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be partly cloudy.
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
Convective outlook for today and tomorrow shows no severe or non-severe thunderstorms in our area. Wednesday, however, our area has a chance of non severe thunderstorms.
MODEL DISCUSSION
Looks like Wednesday will bring us another round of rain and the afternoon to evening hours. I am not really sure about a start time because both the simulated reflectivity and the precipitation accumulation on the same model are not jiving. I will get a more accurate time frame as we draw closer to Wednesday. Another round of rain will approaches early Thursday morning around 1am and continuing into the late morning at this time. Friday morning we’ll start our cold front moving in. By 7am. We will have temperatures in the upper 30s. As we progress through the weekend, Saturday morning at 7am we will be in the low 30s. Sunday will start increasing temperature back up to the upper 30s by 7am. Will dip again into the upper 30s Wednesday morning October 16th by 7am. Again on October 22nd we will be in the upper 30s by 7am.
That is pretty much it for today, enjoy your day today, be safe. We are pretty uneventful at least until Wednesday.
Sunday October 6th 2019 Forecast
CURRENT CONDITIONS
Good morning Blue Springs! Crisp morning this morning. Definitely like jacket weather at least in the morning. The only precipitation that we had was yesterday . We had 3 tenths of an inch . Some of you may have had more and various other locations since it was heavier in areas. Current temperature is 46.6°. We had a high of 69.6 and a low of 46.6 as of right now. Relative humidity is 98%. Barometric pressure is 1016(30.00 inches) and Rising. Winds are at 0. Dew point temperature is 44°. Skies are clear. Feels like 45°.
FORECAST
Today, temperature will be in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 5%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy by 4pm today.
Tonight, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Shifting to the low forties by 4am Monday morning. Skies will be clear.
Monday, temperatures will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperatures will be in the low 40s by 4pm. Skies will be clear.
Monday night, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 40s by 4am Tuesday morning. Skies will be clear.
Tuesday temperatures will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear.
Tuesday night, temperatures will be in the low 50s. Chance of rain 6%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
Convective Outlook shows no chance of thunderstorms or severe weather over the next three days.
MODEL DISCUSSION
Looking at models, are next chance of weather will be Thursday evening October 10th. Start time looks to be about 7pm right on top of us. We’ll find out more about it as the week progresses. That system will bring in colder temperatures on Saturday morning to the upper 30s. There is a insignificant chance of Trace precipitation at around 10am today and 10am tomorrow. I would not count on it, but it is just something to know as you go about your day today.
Thursday October 3rd 2019 Forecast
Good morning Blue Springs! Nice crisp morning this morning. Current temperature is 53.6°. Our Max temperature was 86.2° and min temperature was 53.6°. Relative humidity 95%. Barometric pressure 1018(30.06 inches) and rising. Winds at 0 gusting to 6 out of the South Southeast. Dew point temperature 52°. Lightning strikes detected since midnight 1. Lightning detected over the past Forty-Eight hours 23. Skies are cloudy. Between the .04 inches of rain we had yesterday morning and .76 inches of rain we had over night it was a total of .80 inches since 6am yesterday. Feels like 52.
Today, temperature will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s. Skies will be partly cloudy shifting to mostly clear by 4 p.m. this afternoon.
Tonight, temperatures will be in the low 50s possibly in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature upper 40s. Skies will be mostly clear.
Friday, temperature will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Sky is mostly clear.
Friday night, temperature in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 12%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be mostly cloudy.
Saturday, temperatures in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 66%. Dew point temperature in the upper 50s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain likely ending after 1 pm.
Saturday night, temperature will be in upper 40s to low 50s. Chance of rain 9%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Sky’s mostly clear.
Convective Outlook for today there is no chance of severe weather or non severe thunderstorms. Friday we have chance of non severe thunderstorms. Saturday we have a marginal chance of severe thunderstorms.
Models show today between 8am and 1pm another round of rain, but models are inconsistant with each other. I would just have an umbrella handy in case. The NAM model shows Saturday rain and thunderstorms possble between 7am and 1pm. Rain amounts do not look like much. .10 inches to as high as .30 inches or so between the NAM model and what the National Weather Service says.