Tag: rain

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November 2nd 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs, I hope and pray that everyone had a good Friday evening, and that you all had a good night’s sleep. Jack Frost came and visited us last night, as we have some light frost on the grass.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is at 35.1. We had a high of 54.1 and a low of 29.5. Relative humidity is 89%. Barometric pressure is 1024(30.24 inches) and steady. Winds are 0 gusting to 4 out of the Southwest. Dew point temperature is 30°. Skies are clear. No precipitation to report. Feels like 29°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature in the low 50s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper twenties. Skies will be clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s to upper 30s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Sunday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear.

Monday, temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Chance of precipitation 2%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly cloudy.

Monday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 5%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly cloudy.

MODEL DISCUSSION

This weekend will be beautiful, with no precipitation. Monday morning at about 4am, we may have a small bout of precipitation move in. Models right now show no signs of precipitation, but there will be some clouds hovering about that could bring some. What system should be out by 10am. Jackson County could get clipped by another small system passing through on Tuesday morning at 1am November 5th. This may not produce anything but it is just something to know. Tuesday night into Wednesday morning could bring us some precipitation in the form of rain. This system should be out by 7am Thursday morning. A larger system will be passing through on Sunday November 10th after about 2pm. Bringing rain throughout the day and evening hours. The back side of the system could bring some ice and snow around 10pm on November 11th. The system should be out before 4am Tuesday November 12th.

That’s pretty much it for today. The weekends going to be nice to be able to get the yard mowed and do whatever else. Enjoy your weekend and talk to you soon.

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November 1st 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Friday! Happy November! Wow seems like it was just July! Time is shooting by like a rocket ship! Before we know it it will be 2020! So we had about 20 or 30 trick or treaters, and that left us with a bowl full of candy that we dont want. My grandson came over and we gave him half the bowl but we still have another half! So my youngest is taking it to work to get it out of here. If it stays here, it will get eaten by us and I dont want to! Skies are clear and it is a crisp morning this morning. I still have a little snow left in my backyard.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Current temperature is 30.1. We had a high of 40.1 and a low of 24.0. Relative humidity 76%. Barometric pressure 1020(30.12 inches) and steady. Winds at 2 gusting to 6 out of the South. Dewpoint temperature 21°. Skies are clear. No precipitation report. Temperature feels like 24°.

For the month of October, we had an average maximum temperature of 62°. We had an average minimum temperature of 42° and we had an average observed temperature of 46°. We had a total of 3.25 in of precipitation for the month. Total amount of snow for the month is 1.9 inches which puts us above the normal average for the month of .02 inches.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the 50s. Chance of precipitation 3%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s to low 30s. Skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 3%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

Saturday night, temperatures in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Sunday night temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Looking at models oh, not much happening over the weekend except for a possible trace of precipitation tonight around 9pm, but it might not be anyting at all. Our next system should be here early morning Wednesday around 4am November 6th bringing just rain at this time. Thursday November 7th as well with some rain, possibly ice on the northern part of Jackson County moving into all of Jackson County by 1pm. Ice accumulations will be enough to be annoying on the streets, at .04 inches.

That’s pretty much it for today. Enjoy your day today and be safe driving to and from work.

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October 29th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Tuesday. First round of snow has gone and passed with no snow accumulation. We had a mix of snow sleet and rain all at one time. We had a total of .27 inches of precipitation.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is sitting just barely above freezing at 32.6°. We had high of 41.0 and a low of 32.4. Relative humidity 97%. Barometric pressure 1021(30.15 inches) and rising. Winds at 2 gusting to 2 out of the West Northwest. Dew point temperature is 31°. Feels like 27°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 15%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 84%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Snow amount predictions for tonight by the NWS is approximately .6 inches.

Wednesday, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 77%. Dew point temperature low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Snow amount predictions for tonight by the NWS approximately .3 inches.

Wednesday night, temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 67%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be cloudy.

Thursday, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 14%. Dew point temperature in the low 20s. Skies will be partly cloudy but mostly clear by 4pm.

Thursday night, temperatures in the low 20s. Chance of precipitation 5%. Dew point temperature in the low 20s. Skies will be clear.

SNOW PROBABLILITY

The weather prediction center currently predicts the probability of snow at least 4 inches or more at a 10% probability in our area for Wednesday into Thursday.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models are showing a possible chance for Trace precipitation (rain) off and on throughout the day with no major accumulations. According to the rapid refresh(RAP) model, it shows snow starting in about midnight Wednesday and ending by 1am Thursday October 31st. Snow amounts are still questionable. They’re showing snow amounts from 3 to 4.6 inches. I am not sure where the National Weather Service gets their information. It could be the European model at this time, but I am not sure.

That is pretty much it for today. Hopefully by this afternoon late we will get a pretty good idea of what’s going to happen. Hopefully models will start to cooperate. So far I have not been impressed.

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October 28th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Monday. I hope and pray that your weekend was blessed and free of all drama. Hope you got those winter coats dust It Off and those gloves and stocking caps pulled out ready for this week’s winter temperatures. I don’t see any rain as of right now. I will have to check before 6am report time for the National Weather Service.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Current temperature 42.1°. We had a high of 59.8 and a low of 39.5 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 81%. Barometric pressure 1017(30.03 inches) and steady. Winds at 2 gusting to 5 out of the West Northwest. Dew point temperature at 35°. Feels like 36°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the low 40s possibly into the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 55%. Dew point temperature in the mid-to-low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Rain possible.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s. Chance of precipitation 13%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s to upper 20s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy.

Tuesday, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 10%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly cloudy with parts being partly cloudy.

Tuesday night, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 67%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

Wednesday, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 66%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

Wednesday night, temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s. Chance of precipitation 26%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be cloudy.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Current models show a misty drizzly day today. With measurable amounts happening around 3pm or so. Rain will continue into the evening hours. By about 10pm we will receive rain snow mix. The system should be out by midnight or so. Snow amounts overnight about 1 in according to the models. Snow will start back up by 4am on Halloween, increasing snow amounts to 1.9 inches total over those couple of days. That would be a more accurate reading 12 inches that GFS is predicting. Regardless we will have some measurable amount of snow. As we draw closer to Halloween we will get a more favorable amount of snow totals. As for the ice possibilities looks like we may get a trace in Jackson County area, not sure if it will be in Blue Springs or not around 10am Tuesday.

That is about it for today, be safe driving to and from work. Till next time.

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October 26th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Beautiful sky. If you go outside this morning, look to the north high in the sky you will see Orion. If you turn around to the South, look high in the sky and you will see the Big Dipper. It is chilly this morning. There is heavy dew on the rain gauge.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 35.4°. We had a high of 52.7 and a low of 35.4. Relative humidity 97%. Barometric pressure 1014(29.94 inches) and falling. Winds are at 0 gusting to 1 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature is 33°. Feels like 30°. No precipitation to report.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 4%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Sunday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of raining 2%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be mostly clear shifting to mostly cloudy by 1am.

Monday, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 37%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

Monday night temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 50%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy to mostly cloudy.

MODEL DISCISSION

Current model show rain after 7pm Sunday night continuing into the morning around 7am Monday. Another round starting Monday between 7 and 10pm and rolling out by about 7am Tuesday morning. Our snow chances I’ve been pushed forward a little, with snow starting about 1 am Wednesday morning and continuing true Halloween and ending by early Friday morning. Snow amounts will be measurable. I just don’t trust the amounts that the models are talking about. Regardless I am pretty sure trick or treaters are going to be in snow boots and heavy coats and gloves. Temperatures for Halloween will be in the 20s in the evening at this time.

As for the cold front, it will arrive by 10am Monday morning. Temperatures will continue to fall throughout the week next week. By Friday morning, temperatures will be in the upper teens. Looks like average temperatures will be in the low 40s at the beginning of November as we progress into winter.

That is pretty much it for today. Enjoy your weekend. You may want to get prepared for snow by getting your shovels ready and ice melt.

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October 24th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs. Happy Thursday. Hope and pray everyone had a blessed evening and woke up this morning refreshed full of energy.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 42°. We had a high of 69 and a low of 42 over the past 24 hours. Skies are mostly cloudy. No precipitation report. Relative humidity 83%. Barometric pressure 1023( 30.21 inches) and rising. Winds at 2 gusting to 4 out of the north-northwest. Dew point temperature 36°. Feels like 37°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures will struggle to get to the upper 40s. Chance of rain 17%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s by 4pm. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain possible.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 18%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain possible.

Friday, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 4%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

Friday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 27%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s to low 40s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Saturday night temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 15%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of non severe or severe thunderstorms over the next three days.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Model show rain possible after 10pm tonight, ending by 7 or 8am Friday morning. Another round of rain possible by 7am Saturday morning, Ending by 4pm that afternoon. Rain amounts for both days are less than a .10 inches over a 6 hour accumulation time frame, which tells me it’s not going to be too heavy. Sunday morning at 10am has a trace of rain possible. As for snow, there is still a possible chance around 7pm or there after on Monday evening. Snow amounts have been reduced to a Trace to even no snow at all depending on which method you use. If you have been following my page for any length of time you notice that the initial amounts were huge and then it reduces down and stabilizes to a more accurate amount. This was why we should never go crazy when the weather media says something is going to happen a week out and they say it’s going to be terrible. Always wait within a 24-hour time span and you should get a good idea of what’s going to happen. Even then, it could change at a moment’s notice. Especially in the winter time and the fall. I am not sure why, but it seems that weather changes more frequently than it does in the summer and spring.

That is about it. Have a safe trip to and from work, and enjoy your day. As always, I’m available to chat if you are having a bad day I actually enjoy talking with you all.

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October 23rd 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Hope this blog post finds you well.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature 46.2°. We had a high of 58.7 and a low of 42.4 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 71%. Barometric pressure 1011(29.85 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0 gusting to 6 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature 35°. Skies are clear. No precipitation to report. Feels like 40°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s the low 40s by 4pm. Skies will be mostly clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 6%. Dew point temperature low 40s. Skies will be partly cloudy 2 mostly cloudy by 4am.

Thursday, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 28%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Rain possible.

Thursday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 25%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Rain possible.

Friday, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear to clear by 4pm.

Friday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 5%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of severe thunderstorms or non severe thunderstorms over the next three days.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Thursday October 24th at about noon or 1pm we have a system moving in bringing some rain. Looks like to be out of the area by Friday morning. We will find out more probably by tomorrow afternoon.

Snow is still in the forecast for Monday October 28th starting about 10pm. Snow amounts look to be one to two tenths of an inch at this time from the 4 to 5 inches that popped up a couple of days ago. Every now and then that snow prediction disappears but then comes back in the next round of forecast data.

That is pretty much it for today. Have a great day today and be safe driving to and from work.

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October 20th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! It is a beautiful morning. Cuz I went out to check the rain gauge, I looked to the skies. Wow those stars are bright in that clear sky! If some of you don’t have anything to do, go out and purchase a cheap bag of dog food, and head out to dogtoberfest. Hundreds of dogs and their owners walking around, with neat events and vendors. My family and I try and go to it every year. You can find the details on Facebook just dogtoberfest 2019. It starts about noon.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Current temperature is 43.7°. We had a high of 52.4 and a low of 43.6 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 99%. Barometric pressure 1008(29.77 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0. Dew point temperature 42°. Feels like 41°. Skies are clear. We had .21 inches of rain. Total rain for the month is 1.99 inches. We are on the track for Octobers normal of 3.16. We still have a snow normal of .02 inches to fill. We may get that before the month is over with the way things are looking in the forecast. We are currently under a dense fog advisory until 11am this morning so be careful driving.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 35%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be partly cloudy, shifting to mostly cloudy by 4pm. Rain likely in the evening hours.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 81%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s shifting to the low 40s by 4am Monday. Skies will be cloudy, shifting to partly cloudy by 4am Monday. Rain likely.

Monday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear to partly cloudy by 4pm.

Monday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Tuesday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Tuesday night, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective outlook for today has been upgraded, with a marginal chance of severe thunderstorms. Monday and Tuesday have no chance of thunderstorms, severe or non severe.

MODEL DISCUSSUSION

Looking at models today, start time for this evenings weather will be around 7pm for Jackson County and about 10pm or so for Blue Springs. Looks like it may start off as a Trace and then increase from there. In time will be about 4am Monday maybe a little after for the major part of the rain. It may missed or sprinkle after that for a short time. Thursday October 24th is going to be a very wet day. This system will start off as Trace rain by 10pm on Wednesday, then increase as the hours progress. Stop time will be around 10pm Thursday evening give or take. I’ll have more details about that as we progressed through the week. That snow I was talking about yesterday has been removed from the forecast at this time. That does not mean that it won’t come back through the models. We will just have to keep an eye on it as the days progress. As for October 30th and 31st, that too will be a wet day through the evening hours of Halloween. Snow has been removed at this time, but it is still too early to tell. Currently it shows snow in Kansas west of Johnson County.

That is pretty much it for today. Have a have a wonderful day at worship if that’s what you do, if not, enjoy your day! God bless you.