October 20th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! It is a beautiful morning. Cuz I went out to check the rain gauge, I looked to the skies. Wow those stars are bright in that clear sky! If some of you don’t have anything to do, go out and purchase a cheap bag of dog food, and head out to dogtoberfest. Hundreds of dogs and their owners walking around, with neat events and vendors. My family and I try and go to it every year. You can find the details on Facebook just dogtoberfest 2019. It starts about noon.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Current temperature is 43.7°. We had a high of 52.4 and a low of 43.6 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 99%. Barometric pressure 1008(29.77 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0. Dew point temperature 42°. Feels like 41°. Skies are clear. We had .21 inches of rain. Total rain for the month is 1.99 inches. We are on the track for Octobers normal of 3.16. We still have a snow normal of .02 inches to fill. We may get that before the month is over with the way things are looking in the forecast. We are currently under a dense fog advisory until 11am this morning so be careful driving.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 35%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be partly cloudy, shifting to mostly cloudy by 4pm. Rain likely in the evening hours.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 81%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s shifting to the low 40s by 4am Monday. Skies will be cloudy, shifting to partly cloudy by 4am Monday. Rain likely.

Monday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear to partly cloudy by 4pm.

Monday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Tuesday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Tuesday night, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective outlook for today has been upgraded, with a marginal chance of severe thunderstorms. Monday and Tuesday have no chance of thunderstorms, severe or non severe.

MODEL DISCUSSUSION

Looking at models today, start time for this evenings weather will be around 7pm for Jackson County and about 10pm or so for Blue Springs. Looks like it may start off as a Trace and then increase from there. In time will be about 4am Monday maybe a little after for the major part of the rain. It may missed or sprinkle after that for a short time. Thursday October 24th is going to be a very wet day. This system will start off as Trace rain by 10pm on Wednesday, then increase as the hours progress. Stop time will be around 10pm Thursday evening give or take. I’ll have more details about that as we progressed through the week. That snow I was talking about yesterday has been removed from the forecast at this time. That does not mean that it won’t come back through the models. We will just have to keep an eye on it as the days progress. As for October 30th and 31st, that too will be a wet day through the evening hours of Halloween. Snow has been removed at this time, but it is still too early to tell. Currently it shows snow in Kansas west of Johnson County.

That is pretty much it for today. Have a have a wonderful day at worship if that’s what you do, if not, enjoy your day! God bless you.

October 19, 2019October 20, 2019

October 19th Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Not sure what was going on last night. All of a sudden this page was not available under my pages manager app, but I could get to it through the web. I got up this morning and still was not able to get to it through my app on my phone. I had to actually reboot my phone just to get just page back on my app. It was the weirdest thing. Anyway, enough of that.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 52.2°. We had a high of 68.3 and a low of 51.9 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 84%. Barometric pressure 1005 and steady. Winds at 0 gusting to 4 out of the South. Dew point temperature 47°. Skies are mostly cloudy. No precipitation to report. Feels like 51°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature in the low 60s. Chance of rain 80%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be cloudy shifting the partly cloudy by 4pm. Rain likely.Tonight, temperatures in the mid to upper 40s. Chance of rain 80%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear.Sunday, temperatures in the low 70s. Chance of rain 10%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be partly cloudy shifting 2 mostly cloudy by 4pm.Sunday night, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 54%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be cloudy Shifting the partly cloudy by 4am. Rain likely.Monday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s dropping to the upper 30s by 4pm. Skies will be partly cloudy.Monday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 5%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows today and tomorrow with a Chance of non severe thunderstorms. Monday has chance of non severe or severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Looking at models, rain is currently approaching, and should be here in the next half hour or so. Rain should stop or be on its way out by about 11 this morning. The smaller system on Sunday should be here around 4 or 5pm. It should be on its way out after 1am Monday morning. Another system will be in our area on Thursday October 24th around 10am.There’s another system on Monday October 28th after noon or so. This is the system to watch. As a currently shows 4 inches of snow in our area by 7pm! It is kind of funny though, how these models are acting, the newest run shows nothing! This is one day that has peaked my interest to definately watch! Imagine snow on the ground on Halloween!

October 10, 2019

October 10th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Thursday. It is a little wet currently. We are in a break area and the rain will be starting back up here soon hopefully after 6 a.m. because I don’t want to have to go out and measure another round of precipitation for my morning post for the National Weather Service. Don’t let this warm weather fool you, by 4pm, temperatures will drop from 69 and really start tanking after dark. It will be about 39 degrees or so by 5am Friday. Temperatures will only reach up into the upper to mid 40s. Friday evening into Saturday reaching low 30s by 7am.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 59.9°. We had a high of 61.8 and a low of 52.4 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity is 99%. Barometric pressure is 1005(29.68 inches) and falling. Dew point temperature is 58 degrees. Winds are at 4 gusting to 10 out of the east Southeast. We have had 235 lightning strikes today from that system. Skies are cloudy. We have had .78 inches since yesterday. We had .25 inches yesterday. The pH was 8. Today was .53 inches with a pH of 9.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 74%. Dew point temperature in the upper 60s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy.

Tonight, temperature will be in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 31%. Dew point temperature will drop to upper 30s by 4am Friday morning. Skies will shift from Cloudy to partly cloudy.

Friday, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 23%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 20s by 4pm. Skies will shift from mostly cloudy to partly cloudy to mostly clear.

Friday night, temperatures will be in the low 30s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper twenties. Skies will be clear.

Saturday temperatures will be in the 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s by 4pm. Skies will be clear.

Saturday night, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the mid to upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Today’s convective Outlook, shows most of Jackson County under a marginal chance of severe weather. The southeast corner will be under a slight chance severe weather. Day 2 and day 3 have no chance of severe or non severe weather.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Today’s models show rain throughout the day today off and on. Systems should move out by 4pm tonight. Interesting to note, looks like Kansas make it a little bit of snow. I don’t think this system will be long-lived enough to reach into Jackson County, but it is something to watch. It is still about a day or two out. Pretty sure it will change quite a bit as we approach Friday.

That is pretty much it for today. Have a safe have a safe trip to work. You may. You may want a light jacket for tonight for tonight. Be safe driving home.

January 15, 2019January 15, 2019

Warm, Cold, Rain, Snow in The Same Week!

The past few days have been quite the interesting events. We ended up with about 8.9 inches of snowfall on Friday/Saturday this past weekend. It was a difficult prediction even for a weather enthusiast like myself, but I will have to admit that this past storm was pretty impressive! Our atmosphere was saturated with moisture and caused big fat snow to fall and to accumulate on our trees and power lines. This became a problem for us as the weight of the snow would cause tree limbs and entire trees to fall and a lot of people lost power. Some won’t have power back till Thursday. Just in time for another round of snow to accumulate in our area.

Our next round of systems will be another interesting set up.

1. Tuesday will be mid to upper 40’s. but may not be able to be high enough to melt a whole lot of the snow. That is the system coming up from southwest.

2. Wednesday afternoon we have another 60% chance of precipitation and the temperature will barely be above freezing at 33 degrees. This will occur well into Thursday

3. Friday evening into Saturday is the next system. Starting off with rain at 38 degrees. The temperature will tank once this system starts and by Saturday morning at about 1am the rain will transition to snow stopping about noon or a little after. Temperatures will continue to drop throughout the weekend and by 8am Sunday will be at -4 degrees if everything plays out. Temperatures will climb back up to the 30s by Monday afternoon.

I will keep an eye on this system and the models as the week progresses and will update with any changes that may occur. If you end up going to the Chief’s game make sure you bundle up in layers to keep warm! GO CHIEFS!