Tuesday Weather Forecast – Next Weather Event on Thursday

HRRR Temperature model November 28, 2023

Here is the latest Tuesday Weather Forecast. Looking at the long-range GFS models, our next event is Thursday. The start time is about noon and ends at 6 pm on Thursday. Precipitation amounts are minimal, according to the GFS. It shows 0.39 inches of rain when all is said and done.

GFS model for Tuesday weather forecast
GFS Precipitation Type model for Thursday, November 30, 2023
GFS Precipitation model after rain event on Thursday.

Today, we will hit a high of about 42° F by 3 pm. Skies will be mostly clear to clear and there may be a point in the day we encounter an overcast.

HRRR Temperature model at 3pm CST.

That is about it for today. MP

Tuesday Weather Forecast – November 21, 2023

HRRR Precipitation Type

Good morning. Here is the Tuesday weather forecast. The temperature is going to struggle to get above 40° F today. Highs will be about 43° F if it makes it. Clouds should begin to move out of the area by 1 pm today. We may see a short bout of rain by 11 am, but after that we should be done for the day.

Current temperature is sitting at 39° F. Skies are cloudy. Wind speeds at 4 mph out of the northwest. We received 0.25 inches of precipitation over the past 24 hours making the total over the past 48 hours at 1.07 inches of precipitation. No lightning strikes recorded.

That is about it for today. Take care. MP

Tuesday Forecast for November 14, 2023

Another mostly sunny to sunny day today. Temperatures reaching to about 66° give or take by 2pm CST or 8pm UTC. Pressure should start out high but it should be below 30 inches of mercury by late this afternoon.

HRRR model for temperature at 2 pm CST.

That is about it for today.

Michael Pratt

Blue Springs Weather Winter Thunderstorms?

Good morning Blue Springs and Jackson County! Blue Springs Weather will be enjoyable today. We have some spring activity going on today. It could bring us some severe weather. If any severe weather happens today, it will be between 5 and 9 am this morning and again between 6 pm and 5 pm. Those are the times when the Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) is the most. We already had a few drops of rain this morning, giving us a trace for this morning’s COOP report.

Current Blue Springs Weather Conditions

We are currently at 59.5° and 79% relative humidity. The barometric pressure is 29.4 inches and steady. Winds are at 4 mph from the WSW. The dew point is at 55°. Pretty close to the minimum required moisture.

Blue Springs Weather HRRR Forecast map.
HRRR Blue Springs Weather Forecast Map

For western Jackson County, we will start the main system at about 6 am, give or take. 7 am for the rest of the county. The system will be around till about 2 pm, and a second round will come into the area from about 3 pm to 4 pm. Both rounds have the possibility of Supercell capability. We are still early in the season for this sort of Blue Springs weather, so these may be weak, severe thunderstorms.

That is about it for today. Take care, everyone.

Blue Springs Weather Convective Forecast
Storm Prediction Center Blue Springs Weather Convective Weather Outlook

My extended forecast gives more for the rest of the week. I cannot wait till we head into spring. I am curious if this cooler weather will hang on even though we are sitting at a solar maximum. Only time will tell.

Please make sure you shoot over to my weather research page and see what kind of research I am diving into,

BLUE SPRINGS WEATHER: December 20, 2022

Here is the latest Blue Springs weather update for Thursday into Friday. The wind will be here by Midnight Thursday morning. Wind Gusts will peak at 37 mph by 9 am. Snow drifting will be an issue in some areas. Temperatures will shift quickly to zero by 6 am. Temperatures will continue to drop and be below zero at -6 degrees by 10 am.

The Weather Prediction Center still shows up to a 40% chance for snow amounts 4 inches and the greater. I still think we will not get past 3 inches.

If you are traveling you are in the last few hours till the point of no return. Probably not a good idea to risk it at all. Snow amounts are still 2 inches guaranteed then up to another inch or so for a total of 3 inches and some change.

That is about it so far, till next time. MP.

I’m

November 5th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs and all who follow. I pray that everyone had a good night sleep and a great evening last night. Skies are clear in the constellation Orion is high in the beautiful night sky.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 35.4. We had a high of 51.5 and a low of 35.4 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity is 89%. Barometric pressure 1023(30.21 inches) and rising. Winds are at 0. Dew point temperature is 30°. Feels like 30°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature in the low 50s. Chance of precipitation 1%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

Wednesday, temperatures in e 60s. Chance of precipitation 12%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly clear to mostly cloudy by 3pm.

Wednesday night, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 51%. Dew point temperatures in the upper 40s dropping to the low 30s by 3am. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain likely.

Thursday, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 12%. Dew point temperature in the upper teens. Skies will be cloudy Shifting the partly cloudy to mostly clear by 3pm.

Thursday night, temperatures in the low 20s. Chance of precipitation 1%. Dew point temperature in the upper teens. Skies will be clear.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Looking at models for Wednesday at 6pm, looks like the system will start out scattered was rain and build up from there. It will continue off and on throughout Thursday. It will end about 3am early Thursday morning. The system will bring in cold dry air from the north. It will cause temperatures to struggle. Looks like eyes will be below 40 most of the day. As evening approaches, temperatures will drop Thursday into Friday. Temperatures will be as low as 24 degrees give or take. If you remember I talked about Veterans Day being possible snow and ice oh, that has since disappeared over the past couple of days. It is looking like the weekend is going to be fairly nice without any precipitation. This Saturday looks to be in the upper 50s. Lows will be in the upper 30s. Sunday’s high will be in the upper 30s. Sunday into Monday will be in the low 20s possibly into the teens. That is the only thing that we have to deal with over the weekend at this time.

That is pretty much it for today. Have a safe trip to and from work. Take care of yourselves.

October 29th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Tuesday. First round of snow has gone and passed with no snow accumulation. We had a mix of snow sleet and rain all at one time. We had a total of .27 inches of precipitation.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is sitting just barely above freezing at 32.6°. We had high of 41.0 and a low of 32.4. Relative humidity 97%. Barometric pressure 1021(30.15 inches) and rising. Winds at 2 gusting to 2 out of the West Northwest. Dew point temperature is 31°. Feels like 27°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 15%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 84%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Snow amount predictions for tonight by the NWS is approximately .6 inches.

Wednesday, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 77%. Dew point temperature low 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Snow amount predictions for tonight by the NWS approximately .3 inches.

Wednesday night, temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 67%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be cloudy.

Thursday, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 14%. Dew point temperature in the low 20s. Skies will be partly cloudy but mostly clear by 4pm.

Thursday night, temperatures in the low 20s. Chance of precipitation 5%. Dew point temperature in the low 20s. Skies will be clear.

SNOW PROBABLILITY

The weather prediction center currently predicts the probability of snow at least 4 inches or more at a 10% probability in our area for Wednesday into Thursday.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models are showing a possible chance for Trace precipitation (rain) off and on throughout the day with no major accumulations. According to the rapid refresh(RAP) model, it shows snow starting in about midnight Wednesday and ending by 1am Thursday October 31st. Snow amounts are still questionable. They’re showing snow amounts from 3 to 4.6 inches. I am not sure where the National Weather Service gets their information. It could be the European model at this time, but I am not sure.

That is pretty much it for today. Hopefully by this afternoon late we will get a pretty good idea of what’s going to happen. Hopefully models will start to cooperate. So far I have not been impressed.

October 22nd 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Tuesday. Beautiful morning this morning. Skies are clear. I stood outside for a few minutes to see if I could see any orionid meteors, but got too cold and came in. We still have snow in the forecast. It did disappear one run, but came back. Snow amounts are starting to reduce substantially.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 44.6°. We had a high of 56.7 and 44.2 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 70%. Barometric pressure 1010(29.83 inches) and steady. Winds at 4 gusting to 9 out of the Southwest. Dew point temperature 33°. Feels like 38°. Skies are clear. No precipitation to report.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.Tonight, temperatures in the low to mid 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear to mostly clear.Wednesday, temperatures in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy.Wednesday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 6%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s to upper 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy.Thursday, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 27%. Dew point temperature in the upper to lower 30s. Skies will be cloudy. Rain possible.Thursday night, temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s. Chance of rain 12%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy partly cloudy by 1am.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms over the next three days.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Our next system for rain will be Thursday morning possibly. Start time approximately 7am continuing through the evening till about 7am Friday morning. Not sure about rain amounts at this time. It does look like we might get a trace at this time but that may change over the next 48 hours. The snow is still in the forecast at this time. It starts off as rain and then shifts over to snow about 4am Wednesday morning October 30th. It ends about 10am Wednesday morning. Depending on which method you use for the model snow amounts equal to .9 to 1.7 inches.That is pretty much it for today. Hope you have a great day and be careful driving to and from work. Until next time!

October 15th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Tuesday. It is a beautiful morning this morning. it is 4 weeks and 4 days till deer starts. I am 48 years old and have yet to experience this sport. I have been quail, rabbit and squirrel hunting, but never deer. I am doing that for the first time this year. Pretty excited about it. Just completed my hunter safety course yesterday, just need to get a few more things before the season starts. I am going with a coworker of mine that has hunted for years. He has about 3 and a half acres surrounded by large woods.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 61.7°. We had a high of 71.5 and a low of 37.1 last night. Relative humidity 90%. Barometric pressure 1008 and steady. Winds at 2 gusting to 6 out of the South. Dew point temperature of 57°. No precipitation to report. Skies are mostly cloudy. Feels like 62°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 7%. Dew point temperature falling to upper 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to clear by 4pm.

Tonight temperatures will be in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear to mostly clear.

Wednesday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly cloudy by 10am clearing out, becoming clear by 4pm.

Wednesday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

Thursday, temperature in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s by 4pm. Skies will be clear.

Thursday night temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective outlook for today shows a chance of non severe thunderstorms in our area. Wednesday and Thursday show no chance of non severe or severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Model show a possible chance of Trace rain this morning. It should move out by 2pm today. The system set for Friday evening at 10pm should be fairly small. Another larger system will be in the area early Monday morning October 21st about 1am. Some of you may be wondering about Halloween. It does show Rain in the evening hours at about 7pm. Don’t freak out too quickly, as the models can change drastically up until then. This is just something to watch as we progress through the next couple of weeks.

Tuesday morning 7am.

Saturday morning 4am.

Sunday evening into Monday morning.

That is pretty much it folks, have a great drive into work. Be careful. I will talk to you again this evening.

October 8th 2019 Forecast

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Good morning Blue Springs! Another crisp morning this morning. Skies look beautiful, the stars are bright in the sky. Current temperature is 46.2°. We had a high of 71.8 and a low of 45.1. Relative humidity 93%. Barometric pressure 1018(30.06 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0. Dew point temperature at 42°. No precipitation to report. Feels like 42°.

FORECAST

Today, we will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature upper 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tonight, temperatures will be in the low 50s. Chance of rain 4%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear shifting to partly cloudy by 4am Wednesday morning.

Wednesday, temperatures in the low 70s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s ending in low 50s by 4pm. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to partly cloudy by 4pm.

Wednesday night, temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 61%. Rain likely. Dew point temperature in the low 50s shifting to Upper 50s by 4am Thursday morning. Skies will be partly cloudy shifting to mostly cloudy.

Thursday, temperatures will be in the low-to-mid 70s. Chance of rain 71%. Rain likely. Dew point temperature increasing from the upper 50s to the low 60s by 4pm. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy.

Thursday evening, temperatures will be in the mid-40s. Chance of rain 66%. Rain likely. Dew point temperature in the low 60s shifting to the low 50s by 1am Friday morning. Skies will be cloudy.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective outlook for today shows no chance of severe weather or non severe weather. Tomorrow convective Outlook shows a chance of non severe thunderstorms. Thursday we have a marginal chance of severe thunderstorms in the Jackson County area.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Current models for Today Show a system moving in about 4pm on Wednesday. The system will continue through Thursday and Friday bringing rain. This system will bring a cold front through by Friday morning at 7am bringing the temperatures to approximately 36 degrees. This cold front will cause temperatures to struggle. High temperatures for Friday will be in the upper 40s to low 50s give or take. Saturday morning will be in the low 30s. Temperatures will reach back into the upper 50s to low 60s. Sunday morning will be in the upper 30s to low 40s by 7am. Looks like the snow is going to stay Way north of us. In fact, I wouldn’t even count on it being in our state let alone Kansas, unless something changes.

That’s pretty much it for today. Have a safe trip to work, and enjoy your day.