Tuesday Weather Forecast – November 21, 2023

HRRR Precipitation Type

Good morning. Here is the Tuesday weather forecast. The temperature is going to struggle to get above 40° F today. Highs will be about 43° F if it makes it. Clouds should begin to move out of the area by 1 pm today. We may see a short bout of rain by 11 am, but after that we should be done for the day.

Current temperature is sitting at 39° F. Skies are cloudy. Wind speeds at 4 mph out of the northwest. We received 0.25 inches of precipitation over the past 24 hours making the total over the past 48 hours at 1.07 inches of precipitation. No lightning strikes recorded.

That is about it for today. Take care. MP

Monday Weather Forecast – November 20, 2023

Good morning, here is the latest Monday weather forecast – November 20, 2023, hope your weekend was good and you got everything ready to go for Thanksgiving!

Rain will continue off and on throughout the day today and well into the evening. This system is just sitting over us and spinning. We will only reach to about 44° F by noon.

HRRR Temperature model the Monday weather forecast.
HRRR Temperature model the Monday weather forecast.

Currently we sit at 39°, with pressure at 29.91 inches of mercury. The AcuRite shows 0.48 inches of rain fall so far since midnight. We have a total of 0.76 inches of rain measured on AcuRite and 0.82 official inches of rain on the Status. Relative Humidity is at 95%. Winds at 9 mph from the NNE.

AcuRite Snapshot for current weather.

That is pretty much it for today. Take care and drive safely to work this morning. MP

Sunday Weather Forecast – November 19, 2023

Good morning everyone. We will get to the Sunday weather forecast shortly. I woke up this morning to view the security cameras, and we had a nice-sized buck pass through the neighborhood. I am pretty sure it was lost. It likely showed up due to it being hunting season. It was right about 4 am when it showed up.

I spent Saturday cleaning out the leaf-infested gutters and unclogging the downspouts. Did not take long at all. I’m almost done with the leaves on my property. I spent several hours cleaning up the pine needles from the large tree next door. I’m not too fond of pine trees. Their needles destroy ground nutrients if you don’t clean them up. They kill any vegetation around the area and destroy the soil’s PH. It hinders grass growth, too. To get back that grass, you have to either cut down the tree and/or replace the soil with good soil and plant sod or grass seed. The best solution is to get rid of the tree. They get pine cones and needles everywhere. I had one and got rid of it. The grass still does not grow right from it. Anyway, I digress. Let’s get on with the weather.

Sunday Weather Forecast

Tonday’s weather will be wet over the next 24 hours. Models are showing we could get a decent soaking, so if you were planning on doing any yard work, you have till about 2 pm to do that. It does show rain upon us by 3 pm today. You may hear a rumble or two of thunder while this system moves through the area. The Storm Prediction Center still shows just a chance of non-severe thunderstorms, which is to be expected since we are out of our peak season. Rain amounts are looking to be somewhere around half an inch to an inch for the Jackson County area. Rain amounts are much harder to get than snow amounts. We will reach to about 63° by 1 pm.

Sunday Weather Forecast from the Weather Prediction Center
Sunday Weather Forecast from the WPC

Current Weather

Our current temperature sits at 41° F. The barometric pressure is at 29.82 inches of mercury, humidity is at 73% Relative and skies are mostly clear since I see a few light clouds in the sky.

Space Weather

Sun activity is pretty minimal and quiet. We thought it was goung to go spotless for the first time in Solar Cycle 25, but that proved to be wrong and 3489 showed up. Looking at today’s image from Space Weather Live, we have two more sun spots that popped up ont he weatern hemisphere 2490 and 2491. That small coronal hole is slowly making its way acrossed the equator and is now passing through the eastern hemisphere. We do have an earth directed solar storm from a filliment on the 15th and should be here by Monday. We may have an increase of sunspot and solar activity.

That is pretty much it for today. Enjoy your day today.

Weather Forecast for Sunday, November 19, 2023

Good morning! I was poking around the models this morning on this bright, clear, and beautiful day. Our weather forecast for Sunday afternoon will be wet and rainy. According to the HRRR models, we will have a start time of about noon tomorrow with rain. It will be about 66°, and the temperature will begin to fall as this system passes through the area. By 6 pm, the temperature will be around 52°. By midnight Sunday into Monday, it will be about 45°. The rain looks to continue off and on throughout the afternoon and well into Monday morning.

Weather forecast from HRRR Precipitation Type
HRRR Precipitation Type at noon CST or 6 pm GMT.

Rain amounts up to midnight Monday morning show about 0.23 inches.

Weather Forecast for Precipitation amounts from HRRR models.
HRRR Precipitation totals as of midnight Monday morning.

The WPC shows that we may have some actual thunderstorms. But we are way outside the severe aspect for this, so there may be a rumble or two. The WPC looks similar to the HRRR report for rain amounts at 0.25 inches.

Weather forecast model for the Weather Prediction Center
WPC model for Nevember 19, 2023
Weather Forecast model for QPF from Weather Prediction Center.
WPC Model for QPF for November 18,2023

That is about it for our weather forecast for today. Enjoy your Saturday! You can look at my previous post here. MP

Friday Weather Forecast November 17, 2023 06:31 am

Good morning. Here is the latest Friday weather forecast for November 17, 2023. I hope all is well. We will be at a high of 53°, give or take, by 2 pm. There is no precipitation expected today. Skies will be clear to mostly clear today. Today will be your typical fall seasonal weather. We may start a little breezy this morning, but things will quickly calm down throughout the day. That is it for the Friday weather forecast.

Our current temperature is 38.3°, and the pressure is 30.1 inches of mercury. The skies are clear. Winds are calm to 5 mph out of the northwest at the moment. Pretty uneventful at the current time.

I am looking at the sunspot activity; we are getting very close to possibly seeing our first spotless sun since the last solar cycle. Spots are much more sparse than in my November 12th post about this. Solar Cycle 24. Our previous solar minimum froze over the Missouri River. According to Space Weather Live, We are down to one spot on the right side of the sun’s hemisphere. We have a small earth-facing coronal hole moving across our sun’s equator.

Suppose you are new to this site. I understand that my Facebook page and this website have a much different forecast than you are used to. I don’t believe in all the nonsense that the media has been hyping up to with all this nonsense talk about that double C word we won’t mention here. If you stick around, you will begin to see the absolute truth behind our weather and what is causing all the craziness.

That is about it for today’s post. Enjoy the rest of your day today.

Michael Pratt

Tuesday Forecast for November 14, 2023

Another mostly sunny to sunny day today. Temperatures reaching to about 66° give or take by 2pm CST or 8pm UTC. Pressure should start out high but it should be below 30 inches of mercury by late this afternoon.

HRRR model for temperature at 2 pm CST.

That is about it for today.

Michael Pratt

Sunday November 12, 2023 Weather Forecast

Good morning. This is the weather forecast and weather observations for today as of Sunday, November 12, 2023, as of 07:44 a.m. I am sitting here and looking outside; the sun shines, and the skies are clear. The temperature is at 38.4° and falling. The pressure is at 30.17 inches of mercury and steady.

I am looking at the light intensity chart over the past 31 days. We are still on a trending decline. What does this mean? It means we will continue to get colder.

Today’s Forecast. We may reach about 65° today; the dew point will only reach to about 40° by 6 pm. Winds may peak at about 19 to 20 mph or 17 knots by noon today.

Sunday Forecast HRRR Model at 3 pm CST 9pm UTC
HRRR Model at 3 pm CST 9pm UTC
HRRR Model Wind Gusts at noon CST or 6pm UTC.
HRRR Model Wind Gusts at noon CST or 6pm UTC.

According to Space Weather Live, the sun is still pretty sparse when it comes to sunspots. We do have a sunspot (3486) that popped up in the mid-part of the sun. Still do not see anything from the left. Sunspots look to be down from yesterday’s post of 6 sunspots. We only have 5 currently.

That is about it for the Sunday forecast today. Looks to be pretty uneventful from the weather.

Fall Temperatures Continue

Good morning everyone and Happy Veterans Day to my brothers and sisters in arms. It has been a while since I have posted anything to my site. Leaves continue to plague our areas and covering our yards. I spent a few hours yesterday cleaning the front yard of all the dreaded maple leaves. It looked nice yesterday but over night more had fallen and littered my yard.

Fall temperatures will continue. Today will be similar to yesterday, with a high of 56°, give or take, by 2 p.m according to HRRR 2m Temperature model. As I type this, the temperature is 40.1°. The barometric pressure is the highest I have seen on my AcuRite this month. It sits at 30.45 inches of pressure and steady. Last month on October 31st at 30.56 inches of pressure.

HRRR model for 2pm CST

The local media tells us that there is a chance of rain today with possible drizzle, but I beg to differ with Jackson County. Models for the HRRR Precipitation Type show that the rain will be way north of our county. High pressure continues to dominate

HRRT Precipitation Type for 11/11/2023 5 p.m. CST.

As for sunspot activity, we are still only seeing spots on the right side of the glob and nothing has been produced from the left side. If this persists we may see our first spotless sun since our solar maximum. A Coronal Mass Ejection from a filiment on our suns surface should hit our Earth today around 3 p.m. according to NOAA.

That is about it for today. Michael Pratt

Blue Springs Weather Update

The start time for today’s Blue Springs Weather is about 8 pm tonight. It starts with rain. By that time, the temperature will be around 46 degrees.

Blue Springs Weather HRRR precipitation type model at 8pm
HRRR model for 8pm CST
Blue Springs Weather HRRR model at 8 pm tonight.
HRRR temperature model at 8 pm

Today’s Blue Springs weather high will be around 50 degrees by 4 pm. Skies will be overcast all day today, and there may be a very short window of opportunity for some sunshine a couple of times today.

Blue Springs Weather HRRR model for high temperature at 4 pm.
HRRR high temperature model at 4 pm

That is about it for today. Short and sweet and to the point. I will post more on social media as things change. MP

Please consider subscribing to my weather research page called Project Stormfront.