October 9th 2019 Forecast

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Happy Wednesday Blue Springs! It’s hump day! Temperature at 52.6°. We had a high of 75 and a low of 44.1. Relative humidity 84%. Barometric pressure 1012 and steady. Winds at 2 gusting to 4 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature at 45°. Skies are clear. No precipitation to report. Feels like 47°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 54%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 50s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain likely after 10am.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 83%. Dew point temperatures in the upper 50s. Skies will be mostly cloudy. Rain likely.

Thursday, temperatures in the low 70s. Chance of rain 80%. Dew point temperature in the low 60s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain likely.

Thursday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 56%. Dew point temperatures in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain likely.

Friday, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 24%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy shifting to mostly clear by 4pm.

Friday night, temperatures in the low 30s. Cold. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Today, convective Outlook shows a marginal chance of severe weather for our area. Tomorrow shows the marginal chance of severe weather for our area. Day 3 shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models of changed since yesterday. Start time for rain will be around 1 to 2pm. Looks like simulated reflectivity and precipitation accumulation are just slightly off that is why I’m putting a range. Another model shows the start time about 4pm rain and thunderstorms will continue off and on throughout the evening , Thursday, and part of Friday. Temperature will drop substantially by 7pm Thursday. No will hit about 35 maybe a little lower, give or take by 4am Friday morning. Saturday morning by 7am, temperatures will be in the low 30s.

That’s pretty much it. Take your rain gear with you, be safe driving to and from work.

Wednesday October 3rd 2019 Forecast

Current conditions. Temperature is 73.2°. We had a high of 87.6° and a low of 69.9°. Relative humidity 86%. Barometric pressure 1011(29.85 inches) and steady. Winds at 0 gusting to 2 out of the South Southeast. Dew point temperature 68°. Humid. Skies are cloudy. Feels like 80°.

Temperature today will be in the low 80s. Chance of rain 77%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 70s. Humid. Skies will be cloudy.

Tonight temperature will be in the low to mid 50s. Chance of rain 86%. Dew point temperature will drop from 70s to the low 50s by 4 AM. Skies will be cloudy to mostly cloudy. National Weather Service says rain amounts after 1 a.m. will be about a half an inch or a little more.

Thursday temperature will be in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 3%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to partly cloudy.

Thursday night temperatures will be in the low 50s. Chance of rain 3%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s. Skies will be partly cloudy.

Friday temperatures will be in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy.

Friday night temperatures will be in the upper 50s to low 60s. Chance of rain 23%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 50s. Skies will be mostly cloudy.

Models currently show scattered showers starting about 9 or 10 a.m. roughly. The main system will begin between 4 p.m. and 7 p.m. or so. Models are fairly consistent with each other.

Today convective Outlook gives us a marginal chance of severe weather. With a 5% chance of high winds and large hail. Less than 2% of tornadoes. Tomorrow convective Outlook shows very Southern edge of our County with a Chance of non severe thunderstorms. Friday shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms.

Wednesday Forecast Will Bring Rain

Good morning and Merry Christmas Blue Springs! I hope this post finds you well. Last night I explained that the Wednesday forecast will be some significant weather that will bring much needed rain.  The models are are really coming together and the forecast is predicting up to an inch and a half of rain over Wednesday and Thursday which is a good thing since we have been lacking any precipitation here in beautiful Blue Springs!

Last night we had .01″ of rain and it came and went.  If you blinked you would have missed it, but at least some precipitation is better than none although a good ole fashioned white Christmas would have been great.

The window of opportunity for moderate to heavy rainfall will be Wednesday night into early Thursday. Rain should end by Thursday afternoon and start to dry back out. There is no sign of snow because of the warm temperatures. Following Thursday afternoon it will become breezy with 25-30 mph winds with temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s! It will be a beautiful day continuing through this weekend with another chance of precipitation Monday into Tuesday.