October 21st 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! It is Monday. Rain has moved out. Skies are clear. Everything is wet from the system that move through. Pretty sure it was a quiet night, and just rain unless I slept through it all.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 49.8°. We had a high of 65.3 and a low of 42.5 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 99%. Barometric pressure is 997(29.44 inches) and falling. Winds are at 2 gusting to 7 out of the Southwest. Dew point temperature is 49°. We received .66 inches of rain with a pH of 8. We had 125 lightning strikes over the past 24 hours. 36 of those lightning strikes were received after midnight last night. Feels like 49°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear shifting to mostly cloudy by 1pm.Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s shifting to the low 30s by 4am. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to clear by 1am Tuesday morning.Tuesday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low-to-mid 30s. Skies will be clear.Tuesday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the mid-30s. Skies will be clear.Wednesday, temperatures in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s shifting to the low 40s by 4pm. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly cloudy.Wednesday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 17%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be cloudy to mostly cloudy.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms over the next three days.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Our next chance of weather will be on Wednesday October 23rd, but I’m thinking that it’s not going to produce anything because precipitation and simulated reflection do not match. We will have to wait until we get closer to that day to see if it’s going to do anything or not. Timeframe shows about 7am ending about 4pm. But with the inconsistencies at this time, it may be nothing. October 24th at 7 a.m. looks like a possible chance of rain, but again don’t know the details until we get to that point.Then there is October 29th into 30th, snow chances or still in that forecast. The system starts off as rain. In some areas ice, shifting to snow on the backside of the system. I would say the snow shift will start about 7am Wednesday morning.Models are still changing constantly, but our snow chances look promising for the end of October. Have a good day and be safe.

October 20, 2019

October 20th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! It is a beautiful morning. Cuz I went out to check the rain gauge, I looked to the skies. Wow those stars are bright in that clear sky! If some of you don’t have anything to do, go out and purchase a cheap bag of dog food, and head out to dogtoberfest. Hundreds of dogs and their owners walking around, with neat events and vendors. My family and I try and go to it every year. You can find the details on Facebook just dogtoberfest 2019. It starts about noon.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Current temperature is 43.7°. We had a high of 52.4 and a low of 43.6 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 99%. Barometric pressure 1008(29.77 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0. Dew point temperature 42°. Feels like 41°. Skies are clear. We had .21 inches of rain. Total rain for the month is 1.99 inches. We are on the track for Octobers normal of 3.16. We still have a snow normal of .02 inches to fill. We may get that before the month is over with the way things are looking in the forecast. We are currently under a dense fog advisory until 11am this morning so be careful driving.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 35%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be partly cloudy, shifting to mostly cloudy by 4pm. Rain likely in the evening hours.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 81%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s shifting to the low 40s by 4am Monday. Skies will be cloudy, shifting to partly cloudy by 4am Monday. Rain likely.

Monday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear to partly cloudy by 4pm.

Monday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Tuesday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Tuesday night, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective outlook for today has been upgraded, with a marginal chance of severe thunderstorms. Monday and Tuesday have no chance of thunderstorms, severe or non severe.

MODEL DISCUSSUSION

Looking at models today, start time for this evenings weather will be around 7pm for Jackson County and about 10pm or so for Blue Springs. Looks like it may start off as a Trace and then increase from there. In time will be about 4am Monday maybe a little after for the major part of the rain. It may missed or sprinkle after that for a short time. Thursday October 24th is going to be a very wet day. This system will start off as Trace rain by 10pm on Wednesday, then increase as the hours progress. Stop time will be around 10pm Thursday evening give or take. I’ll have more details about that as we progressed through the week. That snow I was talking about yesterday has been removed from the forecast at this time. That does not mean that it won’t come back through the models. We will just have to keep an eye on it as the days progress. As for October 30th and 31st, that too will be a wet day through the evening hours of Halloween. Snow has been removed at this time, but it is still too early to tell. Currently it shows snow in Kansas west of Johnson County.

That is pretty much it for today. Have a have a wonderful day at worship if that’s what you do, if not, enjoy your day! God bless you.

October 19, 2019October 20, 2019

October 19th Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Not sure what was going on last night. All of a sudden this page was not available under my pages manager app, but I could get to it through the web. I got up this morning and still was not able to get to it through my app on my phone. I had to actually reboot my phone just to get just page back on my app. It was the weirdest thing. Anyway, enough of that.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 52.2°. We had a high of 68.3 and a low of 51.9 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 84%. Barometric pressure 1005 and steady. Winds at 0 gusting to 4 out of the South. Dew point temperature 47°. Skies are mostly cloudy. No precipitation to report. Feels like 51°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature in the low 60s. Chance of rain 80%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be cloudy shifting the partly cloudy by 4pm. Rain likely.Tonight, temperatures in the mid to upper 40s. Chance of rain 80%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear.Sunday, temperatures in the low 70s. Chance of rain 10%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be partly cloudy shifting 2 mostly cloudy by 4pm.Sunday night, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 54%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be cloudy Shifting the partly cloudy by 4am. Rain likely.Monday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s dropping to the upper 30s by 4pm. Skies will be partly cloudy.Monday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 5%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows today and tomorrow with a Chance of non severe thunderstorms. Monday has chance of non severe or severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Looking at models, rain is currently approaching, and should be here in the next half hour or so. Rain should stop or be on its way out by about 11 this morning. The smaller system on Sunday should be here around 4 or 5pm. It should be on its way out after 1am Monday morning. Another system will be in our area on Thursday October 24th around 10am.There’s another system on Monday October 28th after noon or so. This is the system to watch. As a currently shows 4 inches of snow in our area by 7pm! It is kind of funny though, how these models are acting, the newest run shows nothing! This is one day that has peaked my interest to definately watch! Imagine snow on the ground on Halloween!

October 18, 2019October 18, 2019

October 18th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! It’s Friday! It is a mild morning this morning. Skies are clear. No precipitation to report.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Current temperature is 49.8°. We had a high of 65.6 and a low of 39.6 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 88%. Dew point temperature 1009(29.80 inches) and steady. Winds are at 1 gusting to 7 out of the South. Dew point temperature 44°. Feels like 46°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tonight, temperatures will be in the low 50s. Chance of rain 68%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 50s. Skies will be clear shifting to cloudy after 1am.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 42%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 50s shifting to upper 40s by 4pm. Skies will be cloudy shifting to mostly clear by 4pm. Rain likely early morning.

Saturday night temperatures in the mid to upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday, temperatures in the low 70s. Chance of rain 13%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s by 4pm. Skies will be partly cloudy.

Sunday night temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 40%. Dew point temperature in the Epi 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy. Rain likely.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows today and Sunday with a Chance of non severe thunderstorms. Saturday has no chance of non severe or severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models have slightly changed as far as time frame is concerned. Start time has been pushed forward to 7am Saturday morning. Should be out of the area by 1pm. The second system will arrive about 9pm or so Sunday night. System should be out by early Monday about 1am or so. Temperatures may be just slightly above your normal seasonal temperature as this warm front passes through. Our next major system will be the morning of Thursday October 24th. The next one will be the morning of Friday November 1st.

We have a cold front moving in on the morning of Friday October 25th, where temperatures will be in the low to mid 30s. It will last through Saturday with morning temperatures in 30s. Another cold front moves in on Wednesday October 30th, with temperatures in the low 30s and highs in the upper 40s. This will last through Sunday November 3rd.

That’s pretty much it for today. Pretty uneventful.

October 17, 2019

October 17th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Thursday. Another clear crisp morning. Heavy Dew on the grass and rain gauge. No precipitation to report. The Moon and the constellation Orion is high in the sky. Saturday to Monday will be wet so if you have to mow the grass today and tomorrow will be the best time to do so.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 39.1°. We had a high of 55.4 and a low of 38.1 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 99%. Barometric pressure 1015(29.97 inches) and steady. When’s at 0 gusting to 2 out of the west southwest. Dew point temperature is 37°. Feels like 34°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy by 4am.

Friday, temperatures in the low 70s. Chance of rain 4%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to clear by 4pm.

Friday night, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 55%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will shift to mostly cloudy to cloudy by 1am. Rain possible.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 24%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s shifting to upper 40s by 4pm. Skies will shift to mostly clear by 10am.

Saturday night, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 3%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies are clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective outlook for today shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms. Friday into Saturday we have a chance of non severe thunderstorms. Saturday there is no chance of non severe or severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Currently models show a start time for precipitation about 1am Saturday morning. It should come to an end about 9am. The GFS model chose a start time around 2am in the morning, and continuing up until 4pm. Will get a more accurate time frame the day before or the day of. Another round of rain is possible starting around 4pm Sunday, ending by 1am Monday. Looks like we will have a cold front come in on October 25th. It will be 38° by 7am.
It looks like towards the end of the month, there is a substantial cold front moving in causing temperatures in the morning hours to be in the upper 30s. Temperatures will drop into the low 30s by October 29th with 40s during the day. October 30 drops into the twenties in the morning. Then low 30s in the morning of October 31st and temperatures in the upper 40s during the day into the evening.

Remember I talked about October 20th having snow? It is no longer in the forecast. Once again that’s tells you how quickly models can change from day-to-day. This gives you a good idea from a news media standpoint, that models are not reliable, until about the day of. Taking this into consideration, the hype of the weather from the media can be ignored. You do not need to have a degree to look at weather models. Maybe in the near future I will do a video series on how you can do your own predictions and weather readings so you too can be set free from the weather media hype. It is truly really easy to do.

That is about it today. Have a safe trip to work. Enjoy your Thursday.

October 16, 2019October 16, 2019

October 16th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Have you ever had one of those nights where your brain does not want to shut off? That is what happened to me last night. I did use some of that time to pray for those that reached out to me yesterday. I feel like I’ve been up all night. Does not help that you get up every morning at 4:30. The way I see it, I can either focus on the fact that I was up all night and be miserable today, or have an attitude of this too shall pass. I’m going to choose the second option.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Another crisp morning. Light dew on the grass, and a little on the rain gauge. Skies are partly cloudy. No precipitation report. Current temperature 37.9°. We had a high of 64.7 and a low of 37.6 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 90%. Barometric pressure 1019 and steady. Winds are at 0 gusting to 2 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature is 32°. Feels like 32°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures are going to struggle. We will only reach into the upper 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy shifting to mostly clear by 4pm.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

Thursday, temperatures will be back up into the upper 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

Thursday night, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the mid to upper 40s. Skies will be clear shifting to partly cloudy by 4am.

Friday temperatures will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be partly cloudy shifting to mostly clear after morning.

Friday night, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 43%. Dew point temperature upper 40s. Skies will be clear shifting to partly cloudy to cloudy.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms over the next two days. Friday into Saturday shows a chance of non severe thunderstorms in our area.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models show a chance of trace rain tomorrow morming around 7am in our area. This may or may not happen. Friday evening around 10pm another system shows up, continues off and on through the night, ending about 10am Saturday morning. Another system pops in Tuesday October 20th at roughly 10pm. Another low temperature system arrives around 7am on Monday October 28th. Temperatures appear to be in the mid-thirties. Wednesday October 30th at 1am is something to keep an eye on, as temperatures will plummet to the low 20s. If this happens, October will have its first hard freeze for the year. October 31st does not show any precipitation at this time, and shows temperatures in the upper 40s by 7pm.

That is pretty much it for today. Have a safe trip to work. Praying for all who reached out to me last night. May God bless you tremendously, and encourage you, and empower you, and increase your faith, and show you he is still there.

October 15, 2019October 15, 2019

October 15th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Tuesday. It is a beautiful morning this morning. it is 4 weeks and 4 days till deer starts. I am 48 years old and have yet to experience this sport. I have been quail, rabbit and squirrel hunting, but never deer. I am doing that for the first time this year. Pretty excited about it. Just completed my hunter safety course yesterday, just need to get a few more things before the season starts. I am going with a coworker of mine that has hunted for years. He has about 3 and a half acres surrounded by large woods.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 61.7°. We had a high of 71.5 and a low of 37.1 last night. Relative humidity 90%. Barometric pressure 1008 and steady. Winds at 2 gusting to 6 out of the South. Dew point temperature of 57°. No precipitation to report. Skies are mostly cloudy. Feels like 62°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 7%. Dew point temperature falling to upper 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to clear by 4pm.

Tonight temperatures will be in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear to mostly clear.

Wednesday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly cloudy by 10am clearing out, becoming clear by 4pm.

Wednesday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

Thursday, temperature in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s by 4pm. Skies will be clear.

Thursday night temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be mostly clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective outlook for today shows a chance of non severe thunderstorms in our area. Wednesday and Thursday show no chance of non severe or severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Model show a possible chance of Trace rain this morning. It should move out by 2pm today. The system set for Friday evening at 10pm should be fairly small. Another larger system will be in the area early Monday morning October 21st about 1am. Some of you may be wondering about Halloween. It does show Rain in the evening hours at about 7pm. Don’t freak out too quickly, as the models can change drastically up until then. This is just something to watch as we progress through the next couple of weeks.

That is pretty much it folks, have a great drive into work. Be careful. I will talk to you again this evening.

October 14, 2019

October 14th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Columbus Day! The weekend was a great! After spending time with my Savior at worship yesterday morning, I spent the day with my wife and our grandson while our son and daughter-in-law spent the day celebrating their anniversary. We had a blast! We drove out to Kansas, to Deanna Rose children’s farmstead. We saw a bunch of farm animals. We ate kettle corn. We fed goats, chickens. We rode a horse drawn wagon. We had Taco Bell for lunch. Freddy’s for dinner. The night before my wife and I went to Liberty corn maze with our youth group. We had about 67 people total. We had a devotion, ate pizza, I got lost in the corn maze! I was so exhausted from the weekend, I went to bed at 8:30 last night. It was a good exhaustion though. Got my first QC report from the National Weather Service from September’s weather reports, and there was no problems with any of the reports. It is now on its way up to the Climate Center to be archived and a final QC.

CURRENT WEATHER

Skies are clear, no precipitation report. There’s heavy dew on the rain gauge. Temperature is 38.0°. We had a high of 64.7 and a low of 37.5. Relative humidity is 96%. Barometric pressure is 1014(29.94 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0. Dew point temperature 34°. Feels like 32°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tonight temperatures will be in the low 50s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 50s. Skies will be clear to mostly cloudy to cloudy.

Tuesday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 13%. Dew point temperature dropping to the upper 30s by 4pm. Skies will shift from partly cloudy to mostly clear to clear. Rain possible, but not likely. Time frame about 4pm or so.

Tuesday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Wednesday, temperatures in the mid to Upper 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

Wednesday night temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook for today shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms. Tomorrow shows a chance of non severe thunderstorms. Wednesday shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models today are all over the place and inconsistent. Two out of the three models that I look at, show no possibility of rain for Tuesday. The third one still shows rain on Tuesday afternoon about 4pm. Friday evening about 10pm give or take is our next major rain event. It will last till about 10am Saturday morning, but won’t have a significant amount. Another larger system will be upon us on Sunday morning early. It will continue into Monday morning October 21st. We’ll have more details as we draw closer to these particular days. Right now it’s just too far to get granular in the details.

That is about it for today. If your employer gives you the day off on Columbus Day like mine, enjoy your day. If not, for those of you that are driving to work, be careful.

October 14, 2019

October 14th 2019 Forecast

CURRENT WEATHER

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tonight temperatures will be in the low 50s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 50s. Skies will be clear to mostly cloudy to cloudy.

Tuesday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Wednesday, temperatures in the mid to Upper 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

Wednesday night temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

MODEL DISCUSSION

That is about it for today. If your employer gives you the day off on Columbus Day like mine, enjoy your day. If not, for those of you that are driving to work, be careful.

October 13, 2019October 13, 2019

October 13th Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Sunday. Another cool crisp morning this morning. As I walked out to check the rain gauge, the Moon is high in the West. It is peaceful and quiet outside the winds are at a dead standstill.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 39.3°. We had high of 64.8 in a low of 30.6. Relative humidity 87%. Barometric pressure 1011(29.85 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0 gusting to 2 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature is 34°. Skies are clear. No precipitation report. Feels like 34°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature low 30s. Skies will be clear.Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.Columbus Day, temperature will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s to low 50s. Skies will be clear.Monday night, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 13%. Dew point temperature in the mid-50s. Skies will be mostly clear turning partly cloudy by 4am Tuesday morningTuesday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 10%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s by 4pm. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to clear by 4pm.Tuesday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms today. Tomorrow and Tuesday show a chance of non severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Models are showing possible precipitation Tuesday morning around 7am. The next system will be Friday October 18th, starting around 4pm ending on Saturday morning early. Another larger system Sunday morning starting around 1am, lasting throughout the day an ending Tuesday morning around 1am. Our next cold front will arrive on Wednesday October 23rd with temperatures in the mid to upper 30s by 7am.That is pretty much it for today folks. Enjoy your time of worship today if that is what you do on Sundays.