Significant Snow, Accumulations, and Sub Zero Temperatures

Good evening everyone,

Our current Blue Springs weather is as follows; Temperature is at 27.2 degrees, dew point at 25 degrees, and relative humidity 86% . Barometric pressure is at 30.09 inches and steady. Winds are at 6 mph out of the NW.

We may see significant snow possibilities on Wednesday the 25th, with a current start time of 6 am. Mind you; this is still a way out. It looks like snow amounts may be about 2-3 inches, give or take, according to the GFS.

Even though the GFS snow amounts show 2 + inches for the area, I do not think we will hit that unless something changes. We have about a 70% chance of snow amounts to 1 inch or more, and it drops significantly after that.

The next thing we have coming in will be January 30th. We will end up in sub-zero temperatures with a low of -1 at 6 am. So this coming week is going to be interesting. I will keep an eye on the systems and let you all know of any updates worth reporting. That is about it. Take care. MP

January 20, 2023January 20, 2023

Significant Winter Weather Change Round Three

Good morning, It looks like our accumulation of snow has moved far north along the edge of our county. According to the Weather Prediction Center the snow has completely shifted to a mix for Saturday and if there is any accumulation it may be around vegetation, but with what the WPC showing , don’t hold your breath on anything hindering driving unless you live along the northern edge of Jackson County.

Today’s high will only be 36 degrees give or take by 3pm today. Take care.

January 18, 2023January 18, 2023

Significant Snow Weekend. Get Ready To Shovel Chiefs Kingdom?

Good evening. It has been a while since I brought you an update. With the Chiefs and Eagles (Both my favorites) playing this weekend We may be dealing with some snow during the Chiefs game. In all reality, I want to see the Chiefs play the Eagles this season in the Super Bowl because I believe that would be a great game to watch. The 49ers is going to be a tough hurdle for all the teams playing. So I am not sure if the Eagles will make it, but they have in the past. We will just have to wait and see. Go, Chiefs, and fly Eagles fly!

Here is Blue Springs Weather this evening. So we have been dealing with a wet day today for most of the day and into the evening. According to the Acurite Atlas, We are currently sitting at 34.7 degrees as of 7:28 pm this evening. The current pressure sits at 29.62 inches. Winds are South at 6 mph. Relative humidity at 96% and dew point at 36 degrees. According to the Accurite rain gauge, we received 0.6 inches of precipitation at this time. No lightning strikes were recorded.

Blue Springs Forecast reveals a couple of things. Snow and rain. We may be dealing with snow first thing in the morning at about 7 am, with heavy snow possible by 8 am. The WPC shows no accumulation, but it may be focused on mostly vegetation if it does accumulate. I cannot rule it completely out.

It looks like we will be dealing with some Snow starting at about 3 pm Saturday, according to the GFS. Keep in mind this weather forecast can change. According to GFS, snow amounts are sitting at about 1.7 inches. Don’t hold to that since this is the GFS and can over-emphasize things. I will have a better update

January 2, 2023January 2, 2023

Current Weather Observations and Forecast, Severe Storms Likely

Good morning. I hope those of you that are off in observance of the New Year is doing well. Here is the latest Blue Springs Weather to include Jackson County Weather. It is pretty foggy out. According to the HRRR, visibility will begin to open up by about 4 pm this afternoon. According to the National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill, we are under a dense fog until noon today.

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* WHAT...Visibility one quarter to one half mile in dense fog.

* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and
  central, north central, northeast, northwest and west central
  Missouri.

* WHEN...Until noon CST today.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

Here is the latest reading from my Acurite Atlas for Blue Springs Weather. Current temperature 41.5 degrees. He have had a low of 37.9 degrees today. Barometric pressure at 29.95 inches and steady. Relative humidity at 98%. Winds are at 6 mph from the NE. Dew point at 43 degrees. Skies are cloudy. Foggy with a visual range of 0.10 miles. We had some drizzle early this morning about 5am from the fog moving into the area.

Looking at today’s forecast, we are still under a marginal chance of severe weather today according to the Storm Prediction Center. According to all the convective models. I would say that the critical time range for severe weather is between 7 pm and 2 am Wednesday morning. CAPEs seem to be just above 1000. Looking at sounding models for our area, they show the possiblity of a marginal tornado, though the Storm Prediction Center shows a very low chance of this. Tornados can happen at any time of the year and any point, it is just that they are less likly in the winter and fall time frame. Dew points will be around 60 and below during that window so there is some moisture in the air that will provide plenty of moisture for possbile severe thunderstorms.

That is about it for today. God should make it somewhat interesting this evening. I will keep an eye on things and update you with Blue Springs Weather as I see any changes. Take care everyone and be safe this evening. MP

December 23, 2022December 23, 2022

Winter Snow Spring Temperatures

Good evening. Here I sit, checking out the weather to see when we will be out of this crazy Arctic freeze. I was encouraged to see that the last half of next week will be spring-like weather. We will talk about that here in a few moments. For now, let’s take a look at our current conditions.

Current Conditions

Tonight’s observation as of 9:27 pm shows the current temperature of 6 degrees with a pressure of 30.45 inches and steady. Likely some of you may be dealing with some pain. Winds are at 15 mph NNW and breezy. The relative humidity is 64%, with a dew point of -2 degrees. The air is very dry. In fact, the static is ridiculous in my home. The skies are clear.

[wunderground location=”Blue Springs, MO”]

We have a chance of snow on Monday at midnight. Snow amounts, according to GFS, may be up to 0.4 inches of accumulation

We will soon begin to thaw out finally. I am about tired of the snow and cold weather. We will begin to warm up on Wednesday with temps about 51 degrees. Thursday is the warmest, with the temperature in the week at 66 degrees, give or take by 3 pm. Winds should begin to die down over the next couple of hours.

That is about it for now. Take care. MP

December 19, 2022December 19, 2022

Winter Weather Update – December 19 2022

Wow. I am going to have a lot to write about today. If this system holds out, we will see some significant snow amounts. Keep in mind this is STILL TOO EARLY! So as you read this PLEASE keep that in mind and don’t run out and yell the sky is falling! This is something that I am keeping an eye on throughout the week, and as always please make sure your poke your head in on other pages. I know I do a lot of poking with them and there are certain topics that I am dogmatic about, but they still do the best that they can with a much bigger area that they cover. I only cover one county, and that is why I am so accurate. So with that lets talk about some weather. Keep in mind all that I am about to write about is subject to change very quickly.

TEMPERATURES

Thursday temperatures is going be bitterly cold. On Thursday December 22nd at 3 am the temperatures for Jackson County will be about 33 degrees. By 6 am Thursday morning we will hit 9-10 degrees. By 6 pm on Thursday we will be at -2 degrees. By 6 am on Friday December 23rd we will be at -3. By 6 pm on Friday will be at 4 degrees. See the slide show below on the time line of temperatures.

WINDS

Notice the isobars (lines), those lines being close together means it will be windy. So from Wednesday night at 9 pm till about Christmas make sure you dress in layers. Please do not allow your kids to run around in shorts. Please parent your kids. If this holds out we will see snow drifts and likely very low visibility.

SNOW AMOUNTS

Snow amounts are still up in the air, but this what we have so far. NAM shows 3 inches of snow and RAP Shows about 2 inces of snow. GFS shows about both show about 3.7 inches of snow. ECWMF shows over 6 inches of snow. Then we have the WPC which is most of the time the most accurate. Hopefully it will change, but at this time the WPC says there is a 70-90% change of snow amounts of 4 inches and greater. When you shift to snow amounts based on percentile, there is a 95% chance that all of Jackson County will have 6-8 inches of snow.

So we will just have to wait and see as we move forward. If anything changes I will let you know. MP

December 18, 2022December 18, 2022

Morning Observations / Forecast December 18 2022

Good morning. We have winter weather approaching us over the next 24 hours or so. Today’s observation as of 07:24 am shows the current temperature of 12 degrees with a pressure of 30.31 inches and steady. Winds are at zero. The relative humidity is 82%, with a dew point of 10 degrees. The air is arid. The skies are clear. I reported a trace of snow from the very light spitting of flurries yesterday with no accumulation.

Today’s Forecast is pretty uneventful. The temperature today will be a high of 37 degrees, give or take, by 3 pm. Winds will be calm today and less than ten miles per hour. Skies will clear up until about 4 pm and shift to overcast.

Here is an update on the winter weather approaching us this week. It looks like there may be two rounds of snow this week. The first round looks to arrive around 6 am for GFS, 7 am for RAP, and 9 am for NAM Monday, and it seems like straight snow with no transitions. Snow amounts show about a 50 percent chance of 1 inch or greater. Based on the WPC and the model’s accuracy, my determination is that it will be less than an inch unless something changes. The National Weather Service says 1 inch for the Blue Springs area. Some parts of Jackson County may see 1 inch of snow. The start time depends on which long-range model you look at. We will find a better accurate start time this evening as HRRR comes into view for tomorrow morning.

WPC Snow Probabilities for Jackson County and Blue Springs area.

The temperature looks to reach about 38 degrees by 3 pm Monday. So there is a good chance that the snow will be mostly melted by the end of the day on Monday if it holds out. The GFS model shows a slightly lower temperature at 34 degrees. Again, we will get a better and more accurate reading this evening. Keep watching Facebook.

December 17, 2022December 17, 2022

Morning Observations / Forecast December 17 2022

Good morning. Today’s observation as of 8:10 am shows the current temperature of 21 degrees with a pressure of 30.01 inches and steady. Winds are out of the ESE at 4 mph. Relative humidity at 65% with a dew point of 14 degrees. The air is pretty dry. The skies are overcast.

The forecast for today. We will reach about 31 degrees give or take by 2 pm today and will begin to drop by 4 pm today. By 3 am in the morning temperatures will increase to about 37 degrees as the cold front moves through the area and rain begins at this time.

The precipitation starts out as rain but then by 6 am Monday morning rain will shift to snow.

HRRR Precipitation Type shifting to snow by 6 am

As for accumulation, it looks to not be much according to the Weather Prediction Center. We have a 5-10% chance of snow amounts of one inch or greater by noon Monday.

WPC Snow Accumulation probabilities at 5-10% at One Inch or Greater

By 6 pm Monday evening the chances increase slightly to ten to twenty percent chance of snow amounts one inch or greater.

WPC Snow Accumulation probabilities at 10-20% at One Inch or Greater

That is pretty much it for today. Be careful driving Monday. Take care. MP

November 9, 2019

November 9th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! I pray that your evening was blessed. It is a crisp clear morning this morning. Skies are clear. No precipitation to report. This weekend maybe a good weekend to put up your Christmas lights. Do some yard work, or spend some time outside enjoying the beautiful fall colors. Come Monday temperatures will be a shocker. Highs will be in the low 30s. Dew point temperatures will be in the low single digits. So very dry. Time to break out the hand lotion, or the humidifier so we don’t all flake away. This is the time of the year that I can’t stand. My legs get so bad and dried out.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 36.6°. We had a high of 41.5 and a low of 18.5 over the past 24 hours. Barometric pressure is 1013( 29.91 inches) and falling. Relative humidity is 72%. Winds are at 2 guesting to seven out of the West. Dew point temperature is 27°. Feels like 29°. Skies are clear. No precipitation to report.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of precipitation 1%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear to mostly clear.

Sunday night, temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 21%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s to Upper 20s by 3am. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Snow possible after midnight.

Monday, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 7%. Dew point temperature in the upper teens to single digits. Skies will be cloudy to mostly cloudy.

Monday night, temperatures in the low teens. Chance of precipitation 2%. Dew point temperature in the low single digits. Skies will be clear.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Looking at models for this weekend oh, there is nothing going on. Monday however, is a different story. System should start moving in by about midnight Monday morning, then really transition into a snow by 6am. Snow amounts can be up to a tenth of an inch. In some areas of Jackson County you may not get anything at all. It just all depends on where the system lands. Should have a fairly accurate forecast within about 12 to 24 hours before. Temperatures will definitely be much colder indefinitely the coldest for the entire season.

Opening day of deer season on Saturday November 16th it will be wet. Looking at our state overall it looks to be pretty scattered. As far as Jackson County is concerned, we will be getting some rain that morning. Temperatures will be in the low 50s on Saturday. Sunday it will be in the upper 40s. Not sure if deer are going to be active that weekend or not. Hopefully those temperatures will drop a little more.

That is pretty much it for today, may your weekend be a blessing. Be careful this weekend if you are going to be in the yard or on the roof.

November 8, 2019

November 8th 2019 Frosty Forecast

Happy Friday everyone! Jack Frost came by this morning. The grass is crunchy, and sparkled with frost. It is pretty cold outside. Skies are clear. No precipitation to report.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is at 19.4°. We had a high of 37.0 and a low of 19.3. Relative humidity 90%. Barometric pressure 1028 (30.36 inches) and steady. Winds are at 0. Dew point temperature at 14°. Feels like 12°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper teens. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Saturday, temperatures in the low 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

Saturday night, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

Sunday, temperatures will be in the low 50s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Sunday night, temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 31%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s to low 20s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly cloudy.

MODEL DISCUSSION

There is still a possible chance for snow Monday. Current models do not show any sort of accumulation at this time. We will have more information as we progress into the weekend. the GFS model shows possible freezing rain as well. Other than that there is nothing past Monday. We will just have to wait and see more details by Sunday.

Have a good day everyone! Be safe.