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Good evening everyone, looks like we may see some scattered rains between 10-11am. Some parts of Jackson County may not see any what the HRRR models are showing.
HRRR Precipitation type April 9, 2025 at 10am CSTHRRR Precipitation type April 9, 2025 at 11am CST
Temperatures look to hit a high of 74° F give or take by 3pm. Skies will be mostly dominated by overcast and clouds with the possibility of some sunshine and some point throughout the day.
HRRR Temperature April 9, 2025 at 3pm CST
The Storm Prediction Center has been pretty dull over the past week or so with nothing severe threatening our area. It has been a pretty hum drum week.
Here is the latest Blue Springs weather Forecast for April 6, 2025, over the next few days. Continue to keep those sensitive plants covered at night. Winter still holds on. Tomorrow morning, we will have a low of 38° F by 4 a.m., and on Tuesday, we will have a low of 28° F by 7 a.m.
HRRR Temperature model on April 7, 2025 at 4 am CST.HRRR Temperature model for Tuesday, April 8, 2025 at 7 am CST.
The good news is that the Climate Prediction Center shows an above-normal temperature trend next week.
Climate Prediction Center Outlook for April 12-16 as of April 6, 2025
We do not have any other events going on over the next couple of days. Our next rain possibility looks to be early Wednesday morning, but it looks to be short lived. I do not see any snow events in our long range forecast. That is about it for today. Feel free to check out my other posts on my webpage. MP
Here is the latest on this year’s severe weather forecast for spring and summer of 2025. Keep in mind this forecast is subject to change.
Key Points
Expect above-average tornado activity in spring due to La Niña.
Warmer temperatures and mixed precipitation, with potential for heavy rain.
Severe thunderstorms likely, with risks of strong winds, hail, and flooding.
Temperature and Precipitation
Spring and summer 2025 in Jackson County, Missouri, are forecasted to be warmer than normal, influenced by La Niña conditions. Precipitation will be mixed, with some areas potentially experiencing above-average rainfall, increasing the risk of flooding, especially from tropical systems.
Tornado and Severe Weather
Due to La Niña, tornado activity is expected to be above average during spring, with a higher frequency of severe thunderstorms bringing strong winds and large hail. Summer may see continued severe weather, exacerbated by warmer temperatures.
Comprehensive Weather Analysis for Jackson County, Missouri, Spring and Summer 2025
This report provides a detailed analysis of the severe weather forecast for Jackson County, Missouri, for the spring (March to May) and summer (June to August) of 2025, based on current climate predictions, historical patterns, and regional meteorological data. The analysis incorporates insights from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), Severe Weather Europe, local news reports, and other authoritative sources, ensuring a thorough understanding of potential severe weather events.
Temperature and Precipitation Outlook
The forecast indicates that spring and summer 2025 will be warmer than normal across Jackson County, Missouri, aligning with broader trends for the southern United States under La Niña conditions. The CPC’s seasonal outlook, updated as of February 2025, suggests a higher probability of above-average temperatures, particularly in the Southern Tier, which includes Missouri. This warming trend is attributed to the influence of La Niña, which shifts weather patterns to favor warmer conditions in the south.
Precipitation forecasts are mixed, with regional variations. The CPC’s spring forecast (March to May) shows an equal-to-higher probability of above-average precipitation in parts of the eastern United States, including the Southeast, where Jackson County, Missouri, is located. However, some areas, particularly the Southwest and Southern Plains, are expected to be drier, and the Southeast may experience localized heavy rain events, especially from tropical systems. For summer, the Almanac.com’s extended forecast suggests hotter and drier conditions, with potential for tropical storms in mid-July and hurricanes in late August, which could bring significant rainfall.
Tornado Activity and Severe Thunderstorms
Tornado activity is expected to be above average during the spring months, driven by La Niña conditions. Research from the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) and NOAA Climate.gov indicates that La Niña is linked to a higher frequency of tornadoes in the southern United States, particularly in spring, due to increased moisture and instability. This is supported by historical data showing that La Niña years often see more tornado outbreaks, with the southern Plains and Southeast, including Missouri, being particularly susceptible.
Severe thunderstorms are also likely to be more frequent, especially in spring and early summer, due to warmer temperatures and increased moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. These storms can bring strong winds, large hail, and heavy rain, increasing the risk of flash flooding. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) does not provide specific seasonal tornado forecasts for individual counties, but general patterns suggest an elevated risk for Jackson County, Missouri, given its location.
Regional Specifics and Local Considerations
Jackson County, Missouri, located in the southeastern part of the state, is particularly vulnerable to severe weather due to its coastal proximity and exposure to Gulf moisture. Local news reports, such as those from the Clarion Ledger, highlight that Mississippi will be warm in spring, with readiness advised for storms and severe weather. The NWS Jackson/Mississippi office, covering the region, provides current weather updates but lacks specific long-term forecasts for 2025. However, based on regional trends, the combination of warmer temperatures, increased tornado activity, and potential hurricane landfalls suggests a heightened severe weather risk.
Supporting Data and Tables
This table is derived from CPC seasonal outlooks, Severe Weather Europe forecasts, and historical La Niña impacts, providing a structured view of expected conditions.
Methodology and Sources
The analysis began with a web search for severe weather forecasts specific to Jackson County, Missouri, for spring and summer 2025, using platforms like the National Weather Service (NWS), CPC, and local news outlets. Initial searches revealed short-term forecasts for the city of Jackson, necessitating a focus on county-level data through CPC seasonal maps and regional forecasts. Additional searches targeted tornado activity under La Niña, and local meteorological reports, ensuring a comprehensive dataset. The CPC’s seasonal outlook for March to May 2025, accessed via CPC Seasonal Outlook, and Severe Weather Europe’s article on spring 2025, found at Spring 2025 Forecast, were pivotal. Local insights were supplemented by the Clarion Ledger’s report, available at Mississippi Spring Forecast, and historical tornado data from NOAA Climate.gov at Tornadoes and La Niña.
Conclusion
The severe weather forecast for Jackson County, Missouri, for spring and summer 2025 indicates a period of heightened risk, with above-average tornado activity in spring, warmer temperatures throughout, mixed precipitation with flooding potential, and increased hurricane risk in summer. Residents should prepare for these conditions by monitoring local weather updates, ensuring emergency plans are in place, and staying informed through NWS alerts and regional forecasts.
Even though we have a warming period, snow. has not left just yet. If this holds out we could see more significant snow up through March 11th. Keep in mind March still has an average snowfall of 1.7” of accumulation. #BlueSpringsWX
Brrr it is -5.2° F out. It feels like -5.2° F and the wind chill is -5.2° F. For those of you that are wondering about this statement. Wind chill and feels like is calculated and unreliable. The media uses it to dramatize and play on your mind. Is it cold? Yes. Can you get frost bite? Yes. We need to respect the weather and be smart about it. It is winter an we should dress for the environment. On another note. Media uses “Polar Vortex” to make things scary. Just a 10k word for a high pressure system coming in from Canada with wind. Just change the channel if they scream dramatic words.
On another note blizzard warning along the gulf of America. A combination of Tonga eruption in 2022 a pull on our planet from the large planets and the weak sun from Grand Solar Minimum. This is just a taste as we progress through the next 10+ years or so.
High of 15° F by 4pm. No precipitation expected. Windy. Dress accordingly. Take care. MP.
Staying ahead of the weather game can make all the difference in our daily lives. From planning outdoor activities to preparing for severe weather conditions, having access to accurate and reliable weather forecasts is crucial. But did you know that creating your own weather forecasts can take your preparedness to the next level?
Understanding the Basics of Weather Forecasting
Weather forecasting is the application of science and technology to predict atmospheric conditions for a given location and time. By collecting quantitative data about current weather conditions, land, and ocean, meteorologists use computer-based models to project how the atmosphere will change. However, human input is still required to pick the best possible model and interpret the results.
Benefits of Creating Your Own Weather Forecasts
Improved Accuracy: By understanding the local weather patterns and using data from personal weather stations, you can create forecasts that are tailored to your specific location.
Enhanced Preparedness: With your own weather forecasts, you can plan ahead for severe weather conditions, such as hurricanes, floods, or heatwaves.
Increased Safety: By having access to accurate and reliable weather forecasts, you can make informed decisions about outdoor activities, travel, and other plans.
Better Decision-Making: Your own weather forecasts can help you make informed decisions about agriculture, construction, or other weather-dependent activities.
Tools and Resources for Creating Your Own Weather Forecasts
Personal Weather Stations: Invest in a personal weather station that can provide you with real-time data on temperature, humidity, wind speed, and other weather conditions.
Weather Modeling Software: Utilize weather modeling software, such as the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, to create forecasts based on your local weather data.
Online Resources: Take advantage of online resources, such as weather forums and blogs, to stay up-to-date with the latest weather trends and forecasting techniques.
Conclusion
Creating your own weather forecasts can be a game-changer for individuals who want to stay ahead of the weather game. By understanding the basics of weather forecasting, utilizing the right tools and resources, and benefiting from improved accuracy and preparedness, you can take control of your weather forecasting needs. So why not give it a try? Start creating your own weather forecasts today and see the difference it can make in your life and you won’t be tied to dramatic media that elevates a minor event.
Good morning. High temperature for today is 35° F give or take. We ended up with a trace more of snow after 6am yesterday. We ended with an official 1.5” of additional snow accumulation for South Blue Springs over the past 48 hours. My measurements are based on 6am measurements every morning.
COOP REPORT 1/11/2025 6AM.
High: 34.0° F Low: 14.5° F Observed: 15.4° F Precipitation: Trace New Snow: Trace Total Snow: 6.4”
Skies will be dominated by clouds and you may catch the sunshine periodically. Windy today. Peaking to 31 mph by 1pm.
Precipitation is expected this evening with the possibility of a short bout of freezing rain to a mix of rain start time will be around 10 pm this evening. The good news is it looks to be short lived. It looks to end by midnight. Temperatures will be sitting at 32° F during this time. So if you are out and about, please drive carefully. Models sho none to a trace in ice accumulations.
BRRRR. Drip them faucets tonight. We will hit a low at 7am with a low of -2° F.
Clouds will dominate the evening hours with some periods of mostly clear skies. No precipitation is expected.
Meanwhile over the past two days the sun has caused a lot of activity on our planet. We have FOUR coronal holes on the sun that have cause TWO earthquakes on TWO days. One in Nepal at a 7.1, and one in El Salvador at 6.2.
That is about it for tonight. Have a good evening. MP
Good morning. I was contacted by a member of the community that they have not been getting my weather updates and wanted to get emails. I told them I would do my best to submit a blog post. So here we go.
Here is the 6am COOP Weather Observer Report for station 2SSE.
High: 20°F Low: 9° F Observed: 9° F
Liquid Precipitation Equivalent: 0.73” New Snow Measurements: 7.4” averaged due to drifting. Total New and old Snow: 8”
Today’s high will be 19° F give or take by 3pm. Looks like we should see a little bit of sunshine today, baring that fog doesn’t move into the area. Models don’t show fog at this time. The rest of the time we will be under an overcast. Dew points will be in the negative, meaning that the atmosphere will be very dry.
Someone asked about humidity yesterday during this snow event Dew Point. The higher the dew point the higher the moisture content in the air. So in the summer time I refer to the dew point a lot anything with a dew point of 55° F or higher will be humid and sticky. Wintertime normally has a low dew point, so the air is very dry.
