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Good morning. Hope all is well with you and your families. For today’s Blue Springs Weather report, we will have another uneventful day. I will get to that discussion in a few minutes. But first, this.
Improvements to Blue Springs Weather
I have been considering some ideas to enhance your experience. My goal is to provide the best and most accurate weather forecasts for you. This also includes your community and the people of Jackson County, Missouri. As some of you know, this site has grown quite a bit on social media. It takes time to get a forecast out to you. Providing one day’s forecast requires much research and investigation. Additionally, it takes a lot of time and effort to monitor potential incoming severe weather events, whether they are winter or summer.
I would like to hear your thoughts at the possibility of adding a subscription service that will give some perks to those that want more. For instance, I was thinking of doing some sort of monthly podcast that provides you interviews from people on various weather topics and weather events and experiences. In addition to maybe discounts on possible custom merchandise and maybe some raw live video feeds, etc. I
would still provide your typical forecasts and such but those who pay a small monthly cost through Patreon would get the additional perks and merch access. I was thinking of the cost being about $3-5 per month per person give or take depending on what I make available. Please let me know either through the comments on this page or you can send me a private message or just comment on my social media platform. Anyways enough of that. Let’s get to the weather.
The Forecast
Looks like today will be about 67° F give or take by 2pm. Dew points will be in the 30s, maybe a little lower so the humidity will be very comfortable.
HRRR Temperature model for Blue Springs weather at 2pm CST.
Clear skies will be the dominating factor today. The pressure will be around 30.18” give or take. The Storm Prediction Center shows the possibility of non-severe thunderstorms over the next 24 hours, but models show no precipitation at this time.
Severe Weather Outlook
That is pretty much it for Blue Springs Weather. Pretty uneventful. Have a great day today. MP.
Good evening everyone, looks like we may see some scattered rains between 10-11am. Some parts of Jackson County may not see any what the HRRR models are showing.
HRRR Precipitation type April 9, 2025 at 10am CSTHRRR Precipitation type April 9, 2025 at 11am CST
Temperatures look to hit a high of 74° F give or take by 3pm. Skies will be mostly dominated by overcast and clouds with the possibility of some sunshine and some point throughout the day.
HRRR Temperature April 9, 2025 at 3pm CST
The Storm Prediction Center has been pretty dull over the past week or so with nothing severe threatening our area. It has been a pretty hum drum week.
Here is the latest Tuesday Weather Forecast for Jackson County, Missouri. We will hit a low of 31° F by 7 a.m. We are under a freeze warning until 9 a.m. Tuesday morning.
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CDT TUESDAY...
* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 25 expected.
* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and central,
north central, northwest, and west central Missouri.
* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday.
* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other
sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
plumbing.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
HRRR Temperature for Tuesday morning at 7am CST.
The high for tomorrow will be around 61° F, give or take by 4 pm. The skies will be clear until about 4 pm. They will shift to overcast by midnight or early Wednesday morning.
HRRR Temperature by 4pm CSTHRRR Cloud Cover by 4pm CST
The good news is that Wednesday temperatures will be 75° F by 4 pm!
Here is the latest Blue Springs weather Forecast for April 6, 2025, over the next few days. Continue to keep those sensitive plants covered at night. Winter still holds on. Tomorrow morning, we will have a low of 38° F by 4 a.m., and on Tuesday, we will have a low of 28° F by 7 a.m.
HRRR Temperature model on April 7, 2025 at 4 am CST.HRRR Temperature model for Tuesday, April 8, 2025 at 7 am CST.
The good news is that the Climate Prediction Center shows an above-normal temperature trend next week.
Climate Prediction Center Outlook for April 12-16 as of April 6, 2025
We do not have any other events going on over the next couple of days. Our next rain possibility looks to be early Wednesday morning, but it looks to be short lived. I do not see any snow events in our long range forecast. That is about it for today. Feel free to check out my other posts on my webpage. MP
Here is the latest on this year’s severe weather forecast for spring and summer of 2025. Keep in mind this forecast is subject to change.
Key Points
Expect above-average tornado activity in spring due to La Niña.
Warmer temperatures and mixed precipitation, with potential for heavy rain.
Severe thunderstorms likely, with risks of strong winds, hail, and flooding.
Temperature and Precipitation
Spring and summer 2025 in Jackson County, Missouri, are forecasted to be warmer than normal, influenced by La Niña conditions. Precipitation will be mixed, with some areas potentially experiencing above-average rainfall, increasing the risk of flooding, especially from tropical systems.
Tornado and Severe Weather
Due to La Niña, tornado activity is expected to be above average during spring, with a higher frequency of severe thunderstorms bringing strong winds and large hail. Summer may see continued severe weather, exacerbated by warmer temperatures.
Comprehensive Weather Analysis for Jackson County, Missouri, Spring and Summer 2025
This report provides a detailed analysis of the severe weather forecast for Jackson County, Missouri, for the spring (March to May) and summer (June to August) of 2025, based on current climate predictions, historical patterns, and regional meteorological data. The analysis incorporates insights from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), Severe Weather Europe, local news reports, and other authoritative sources, ensuring a thorough understanding of potential severe weather events.
Temperature and Precipitation Outlook
The forecast indicates that spring and summer 2025 will be warmer than normal across Jackson County, Missouri, aligning with broader trends for the southern United States under La Niña conditions. The CPC’s seasonal outlook, updated as of February 2025, suggests a higher probability of above-average temperatures, particularly in the Southern Tier, which includes Missouri. This warming trend is attributed to the influence of La Niña, which shifts weather patterns to favor warmer conditions in the south.
Precipitation forecasts are mixed, with regional variations. The CPC’s spring forecast (March to May) shows an equal-to-higher probability of above-average precipitation in parts of the eastern United States, including the Southeast, where Jackson County, Missouri, is located. However, some areas, particularly the Southwest and Southern Plains, are expected to be drier, and the Southeast may experience localized heavy rain events, especially from tropical systems. For summer, the Almanac.com’s extended forecast suggests hotter and drier conditions, with potential for tropical storms in mid-July and hurricanes in late August, which could bring significant rainfall.
Tornado Activity and Severe Thunderstorms
Tornado activity is expected to be above average during the spring months, driven by La Niña conditions. Research from the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) and NOAA Climate.gov indicates that La Niña is linked to a higher frequency of tornadoes in the southern United States, particularly in spring, due to increased moisture and instability. This is supported by historical data showing that La Niña years often see more tornado outbreaks, with the southern Plains and Southeast, including Missouri, being particularly susceptible.
Severe thunderstorms are also likely to be more frequent, especially in spring and early summer, due to warmer temperatures and increased moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. These storms can bring strong winds, large hail, and heavy rain, increasing the risk of flash flooding. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) does not provide specific seasonal tornado forecasts for individual counties, but general patterns suggest an elevated risk for Jackson County, Missouri, given its location.
Regional Specifics and Local Considerations
Jackson County, Missouri, located in the southeastern part of the state, is particularly vulnerable to severe weather due to its coastal proximity and exposure to Gulf moisture. Local news reports, such as those from the Clarion Ledger, highlight that Mississippi will be warm in spring, with readiness advised for storms and severe weather. The NWS Jackson/Mississippi office, covering the region, provides current weather updates but lacks specific long-term forecasts for 2025. However, based on regional trends, the combination of warmer temperatures, increased tornado activity, and potential hurricane landfalls suggests a heightened severe weather risk.
Supporting Data and Tables
This table is derived from CPC seasonal outlooks, Severe Weather Europe forecasts, and historical La Niña impacts, providing a structured view of expected conditions.
Methodology and Sources
The analysis began with a web search for severe weather forecasts specific to Jackson County, Missouri, for spring and summer 2025, using platforms like the National Weather Service (NWS), CPC, and local news outlets. Initial searches revealed short-term forecasts for the city of Jackson, necessitating a focus on county-level data through CPC seasonal maps and regional forecasts. Additional searches targeted tornado activity under La Niña, and local meteorological reports, ensuring a comprehensive dataset. The CPC’s seasonal outlook for March to May 2025, accessed via CPC Seasonal Outlook, and Severe Weather Europe’s article on spring 2025, found at Spring 2025 Forecast, were pivotal. Local insights were supplemented by the Clarion Ledger’s report, available at Mississippi Spring Forecast, and historical tornado data from NOAA Climate.gov at Tornadoes and La Niña.
Conclusion
The severe weather forecast for Jackson County, Missouri, for spring and summer 2025 indicates a period of heightened risk, with above-average tornado activity in spring, warmer temperatures throughout, mixed precipitation with flooding potential, and increased hurricane risk in summer. Residents should prepare for these conditions by monitoring local weather updates, ensuring emergency plans are in place, and staying informed through NWS alerts and regional forecasts.
Brrr it is -5.2° F out. It feels like -5.2° F and the wind chill is -5.2° F. For those of you that are wondering about this statement. Wind chill and feels like is calculated and unreliable. The media uses it to dramatize and play on your mind. Is it cold? Yes. Can you get frost bite? Yes. We need to respect the weather and be smart about it. It is winter an we should dress for the environment. On another note. Media uses “Polar Vortex” to make things scary. Just a 10k word for a high pressure system coming in from Canada with wind. Just change the channel if they scream dramatic words.
On another note blizzard warning along the gulf of America. A combination of Tonga eruption in 2022 a pull on our planet from the large planets and the weak sun from Grand Solar Minimum. This is just a taste as we progress through the next 10+ years or so.
High of 15° F by 4pm. No precipitation expected. Windy. Dress accordingly. Take care. MP.
Good morning. This Winter Weather Update is from the morning of January 6, 2024. If you are reading this a day later, it is old data and you need to go to my Facebook page or my most recent blog post if I have one.
I have been watching the models, and we may have some snow that can hinder driving and make roads slightly dangerous. The key to a safe drive is TIRES with GOOD tread! You will have issues getting around if your tires do not have good tread
Looking at the Weather Prediction Center we are looking at up to 40% change of snow accumulations at 4 inches or greater for the Jackson County area. The break down of snow amounts for Tuesday January 9, 2024 is this:
Precipitation Chances 1″ or greater of snow accumulation – 90% 2″ or greater of snow accumulation – 60% 4″ or greater of snow accumulation – 30%
Winter Weather Update from WPCWinter Weather Update for Snow amounts
Looking at the NAM model for snow amounts is the perfect esample why I don’t like snow amounts for the usual models I use for severe weather. They are shows 5+ inches of snow and all it does is give me a good belly laugh. These are the things that the Media are going to EAT up instead of heading over to the Weather Prediction Center and getting the correct model for snow amounts.
Severity will be minor according to the Severity index. But that ALL depends on your tire condition. I am sure the NWS will kick off a winter weather advisory / watch soon.
That is pretty much it for today. Stay away from the media for a bit. They are really going nuts out there with this stuff. I would go with the one that is less dramatic on their posts and television forecasts. Take care everyone and enjoy your weekend. I will keep you posted on social media or do another blog post if there are any more changes to this forecast.
Here is the latest Blue Springs weather and forecast. Good morning. The weather for Blue Springs Saturday snow did not happen like it was discussed on my previous post. Enjoy the sunshine. We will shift to an overcast starting at 1 pm. Winds will be a little calmer today. We will have a peak wind gust at 18 miles per hour by 10 am.
Blue Springs Weather HRRR average cloud cover model at 1 pm CST.Blue Springs Weather HRRR Wind Gust model at 10 am CST
We are not expecting any precipitation at this time. The temperature will hit a high of 45° F.
There’s not a whole lot going on today. Enjoy your Sunday! MP
Good morning. Here is the Sunday weather forecast, but first, our current weather conditions. I hope everyone has had a great weekend. We had some rain over the past 24 hours. It measured at 0.08 inches of rain. The temperature was at 32° F this morning at 6 am. It is now 30° F. Skies are cloudy, and winds are calm as I look out at the windmill in our backyard. The most breeze we have dealt with is nine miles per hour out of the WSW. Pressure is sitting at 29.91 inches of mercury.
Current Weather
Here is the latest Sunday weather forecast. I was looking at the HRRR Precipitation type. I see a small low-pressure system that will be moving through the area. It will bring some possible rain. The pressure will dip to about 29.70 inches of mercury by 8 pm this evening. We may get a few sprinkles or two in the evening, but our chances will increase by midnight tonight into Monday.
HRRR Precipitation Type for 2 am UTC or 8 pm CST
Sunday Weather Forecast
Our Temperature will reach a high of 46° F by 2 pm. We may get some peak throughs of sunshine, but overcast will prevail later today.
Lots of exciting events have occurred from our active sun. I don’t downplay that people got hurt from a 7.6 magnitude earthquake. I prayed yesterday for quick recovery and safety in the Philippines. The sun has a tremendous impact on our planet’s environment and weather. Just like the sun is a type of Christ in the Bible, which affects our climate, God controls our temperature and environment, and it is God that provides the signs from heaven to reveal the events. That is about it. Take care. MP