Tag: Severe Weather

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Blue Springs Weather: Threat Upgrade

SPC Outlook

Blue Springs Weather is going to get pretty active tonight. I wanted to update you all on the upcoming storms we will encounter tonight. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded us to Slight from Marginal. The more severe storms will be located more south, starting at the southern edge of Bates County, where they fall under an enhanced chance.

Blue Springs Severe Weather Forecast

Today we will be dealing with bouts of rain throughout the day and into the evening hours. Normally our temperatures will drop by the time evening hits us. This is not going to be the case today. Temperatures will be going up and the drop after midnight tonight. It is till a little bit early to the max temperature but it looks like we could be at 57° give or take by 10 pm.

  • Blue Springs Weather HRRR Model at 10pm
  • Blue Springs Weather Wind Gust Model

The threats we will be dealing with tonight will be damaging winds at a 15% chance, and large hail at 5%. Although our tornado chances are less than 2%, I am not going to rule out a possiblity of a spin up. We are still early in the game. This is all because we hit solar maximum with the current sun cycle. I am thinking things are going to start winding back down as be progress into spring and summer and the sun will go quiet again over the next year as we progress into another solar minimum. All a part of our transition into a Grand Solar Minimum.

That is about it for today on the forecast. I will update more on social media as things change. On another quick note I have been digging into solar intensity and temperature and found some interesting things. I will post that write up on my Weather Research site later. Take care everyone. MP.

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Current Weather Observations and Forecast, Severe Storms Likely

Sounding for January 2, 2023

Good morning. I hope those of you that are off in observance of the New Year is doing well. Here is the latest Blue Springs Weather to include Jackson County Weather. It is pretty foggy out. According to the HRRR, visibility will begin to open up by about 4 pm this afternoon. According to the National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill, we are under a dense fog until noon today.

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* WHAT...Visibility one quarter to one half mile in dense fog.

* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and
  central, north central, northeast, northwest and west central
  Missouri.

* WHEN...Until noon CST today.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

Here is the latest reading from my Acurite Atlas for Blue Springs Weather. Current temperature 41.5 degrees. He have had a low of 37.9 degrees today. Barometric pressure at 29.95 inches and steady. Relative humidity at 98%. Winds are at 6 mph from the NE. Dew point at 43 degrees. Skies are cloudy. Foggy with a visual range of 0.10 miles. We had some drizzle early this morning about 5am from the fog moving into the area.

Looking at today’s forecast, we are still under a marginal chance of severe weather today according to the Storm Prediction Center. According to all the convective models. I would say that the critical time range for severe weather is between 7 pm and 2 am Wednesday morning. CAPEs seem to be just above 1000. Looking at sounding models for our area, they show the possiblity of a marginal tornado, though the Storm Prediction Center shows a very low chance of this. Tornados can happen at any time of the year and any point, it is just that they are less likly in the winter and fall time frame. Dew points will be around 60 and below during that window so there is some moisture in the air that will provide plenty of moisture for possbile severe thunderstorms.

That is about it for today. God should make it somewhat interesting this evening. I will keep an eye on things and update you with Blue Springs Weather as I see any changes. Take care everyone and be safe this evening. MP