Tag: Thursday Forecast

Posted on

Blue Springs Weather Update

The start time for today’s Blue Springs Weather is about 8 pm tonight. It starts with rain. By that time, the temperature will be around 46 degrees.

Blue Springs Weather HRRR precipitation type model at 8pm
HRRR model for 8pm CST
Blue Springs Weather HRRR model at 8 pm tonight.
HRRR temperature model at 8 pm

Today’s Blue Springs weather high will be around 50 degrees by 4 pm. Skies will be overcast all day today, and there may be a very short window of opportunity for some sunshine a couple of times today.

Blue Springs Weather HRRR model for high temperature at 4 pm.
HRRR high temperature model at 4 pm

That is about it for today. Short and sweet and to the point. I will post more on social media as things change. MP

Please consider subscribing to my weather research page called Project Stormfront.

Posted on

October 31st 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Thursday. I guess we can officially call Halloween a white Halloween! Please be careful driving to work this morning. I’ve heard reports of ice on roadways and bridges. I will be praying for all of safe passage to and from work this morning tonight.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Observed temperature 24.9°. We had a high of 34 and a low of 24.9. Relative humidity 97%. Barometric pressure 1020 and steady. Winds at 0 gusting to 2 out of the West Northwest. Dew point temperature 24°. Feels like 24°. Skies are mostly clear. We had 1.8 inches snow. Liquid equivalent is .20 inches with a pH of 7.

FORECAST

Halloween, temperature in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 1%. Dew point temperature in the low twenties. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

Halloween night, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the low twenties. Skies will be clear.

Friday, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of precipitation 5%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear to mostly clear.

Friday night, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation is 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

Saturday night, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be clear.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Looking at models our next chance of precipitation will be Monday evening November 4th approximately 10pm. The form of precipitation is just rain. The next round will be Wednesday November 6th at about 1am in the morning, with just rain. Another round of precipitation in the form of rain on Saturday November 9th at about 4pm.

A warm front will pass through Monday November 4th making temperatures in the upper 50s possibly into the 60s by 4pm. Another warm front on Monday November 11th. Temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s and it will continue into November 12th. Don’t bank on this as models change often.

Other than that this weekend should be pretty quiet. Halloween should be business as usual, just make sure you bundle up your kids.

Posted on

October 24th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs. Happy Thursday. Hope and pray everyone had a blessed evening and woke up this morning refreshed full of energy.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 42°. We had a high of 69 and a low of 42 over the past 24 hours. Skies are mostly cloudy. No precipitation report. Relative humidity 83%. Barometric pressure 1023( 30.21 inches) and rising. Winds at 2 gusting to 4 out of the north-northwest. Dew point temperature 36°. Feels like 37°.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures will struggle to get to the upper 40s. Chance of rain 17%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s by 4pm. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain possible.

Tonight, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 18%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain possible.

Friday, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 4%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly clear to clear.

Friday night, temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be clear.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 27%. Dew point temperature in the upper 30s to low 40s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Saturday night temperatures in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 15%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective Outlook shows no chance of non severe or severe thunderstorms over the next three days.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Model show rain possible after 10pm tonight, ending by 7 or 8am Friday morning. Another round of rain possible by 7am Saturday morning, Ending by 4pm that afternoon. Rain amounts for both days are less than a .10 inches over a 6 hour accumulation time frame, which tells me it’s not going to be too heavy. Sunday morning at 10am has a trace of rain possible. As for snow, there is still a possible chance around 7pm or there after on Monday evening. Snow amounts have been reduced to a Trace to even no snow at all depending on which method you use. If you have been following my page for any length of time you notice that the initial amounts were huge and then it reduces down and stabilizes to a more accurate amount. This was why we should never go crazy when the weather media says something is going to happen a week out and they say it’s going to be terrible. Always wait within a 24-hour time span and you should get a good idea of what’s going to happen. Even then, it could change at a moment’s notice. Especially in the winter time and the fall. I am not sure why, but it seems that weather changes more frequently than it does in the summer and spring.

That is about it. Have a safe trip to and from work, and enjoy your day. As always, I’m available to chat if you are having a bad day I actually enjoy talking with you all.

Posted on

October 17th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Thursday. Another clear crisp morning. Heavy Dew on the grass and rain gauge. No precipitation to report. The Moon and the constellation Orion is high in the sky. Saturday to Monday will be wet so if you have to mow the grass today and tomorrow will be the best time to do so.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 39.1°. We had a high of 55.4 and a low of 38.1 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity 99%. Barometric pressure 1015(29.97 inches) and steady. When’s at 0 gusting to 2 out of the west southwest. Dew point temperature is 37°. Feels like 34°.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy by 4am.

Friday, temperatures in the low 70s. Chance of rain 4%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to clear by 4pm.

Friday night, temperatures in the low 50s. Chance of rain 55%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will shift to mostly cloudy to cloudy by 1am. Rain possible.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 24%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s shifting to upper 40s by 4pm. Skies will shift to mostly clear by 10am.

Saturday night, temperatures in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 3%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Skies are clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Convective outlook for today shows no chance of severe or non severe thunderstorms. Friday into Saturday we have a chance of non severe thunderstorms. Saturday there is no chance of non severe or severe thunderstorms.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Currently models show a start time for precipitation about 1am Saturday morning. It should come to an end about 9am. The GFS model chose a start time around 2am in the morning, and continuing up until 4pm. Will get a more accurate time frame the day before or the day of. Another round of rain is possible starting around 4pm Sunday, ending by 1am Monday. Looks like we will have a cold front come in on October 25th. It will be 38° by 7am.
It looks like towards the end of the month, there is a substantial cold front moving in causing temperatures in the morning hours to be in the upper 30s. Temperatures will drop into the low 30s by October 29th with 40s during the day. October 30 drops into the twenties in the morning. Then low 30s in the morning of October 31st and temperatures in the upper 40s during the day into the evening.

Remember I talked about October 20th having snow? It is no longer in the forecast. Once again that’s tells you how quickly models can change from day-to-day. This gives you a good idea from a news media standpoint, that models are not reliable, until about the day of. Taking this into consideration, the hype of the weather from the media can be ignored. You do not need to have a degree to look at weather models. Maybe in the near future I will do a video series on how you can do your own predictions and weather readings so you too can be set free from the weather media hype. It is truly really easy to do.

That is about it today. Have a safe trip to work. Enjoy your Thursday.

Posted on

October 10th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Thursday. It is a little wet currently. We are in a break area and the rain will be starting back up here soon hopefully after 6 a.m. because I don’t want to have to go out and measure another round of precipitation for my morning post for the National Weather Service. Don’t let this warm weather fool you, by 4pm, temperatures will drop from 69 and really start tanking after dark. It will be about 39 degrees or so by 5am Friday. Temperatures will only reach up into the upper to mid 40s. Friday evening into Saturday reaching low 30s by 7am.

CURRENT CONDITIONS

Temperature is 59.9°. We had a high of 61.8 and a low of 52.4 over the past 24 hours. Relative humidity is 99%. Barometric pressure is 1005(29.68 inches) and falling. Dew point temperature is 58 degrees. Winds are at 4 gusting to 10 out of the east Southeast. We have had 235 lightning strikes today from that system. Skies are cloudy. We have had .78 inches since yesterday. We had .25 inches yesterday. The pH was 8. Today was .53 inches with a pH of 9.

FORECAST

Today, temperature will be in the low 70s. Chance of rain 74%. Dew point temperature in the upper 60s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy.

Tonight, temperature will be in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 31%. Dew point temperature will drop to upper 30s by 4am Friday morning. Skies will shift from Cloudy to partly cloudy.

Friday, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 23%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 20s by 4pm. Skies will shift from mostly cloudy to partly cloudy to mostly clear.

Friday night, temperatures will be in the low 30s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper twenties. Skies will be clear.

Saturday temperatures will be in the 60s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s by 4pm. Skies will be clear.

Saturday night, temperatures will be in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 0%. Dew point temperature in the mid to upper 30s. Skies will be clear.

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Today’s convective Outlook, shows most of Jackson County under a marginal chance of severe weather. The southeast corner will be under a slight chance severe weather. Day 2 and day 3 have no chance of severe or non severe weather.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Today’s models show rain throughout the day today off and on. Systems should move out by 4pm tonight. Interesting to note, looks like Kansas make it a little bit of snow. I don’t think this system will be long-lived enough to reach into Jackson County, but it is something to watch. It is still about a day or two out. Pretty sure it will change quite a bit as we approach Friday.

That is pretty much it for today. Have a safe have a safe trip to work. You may. You may want a light jacket for tonight for tonight. Be safe driving home.

Posted on

Thursday October 3rd 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Nice crisp morning this morning. Current temperature is 53.6°. Our Max temperature was 86.2° and min temperature was 53.6°. Relative humidity 95%. Barometric pressure 1018(30.06 inches) and rising. Winds at 0 gusting to 6 out of the South Southeast. Dew point temperature 52°. Lightning strikes detected since midnight 1. Lightning detected over the past Forty-Eight hours 23. Skies are cloudy. Between the .04 inches of rain we had yesterday morning and .76 inches of rain we had over night it was a total of .80 inches since 6am yesterday. Feels like 52.

Today, temperature will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 11%. Dew point temperature will be in the upper 40s. Skies will be partly cloudy shifting to mostly clear by 4 p.m. this afternoon.

Tonight, temperatures will be in the low 50s possibly in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 1%. Dew point temperature upper 40s. Skies will be mostly clear.

Friday, temperature will be in the low 60s. Chance of rain 2%. Dew point temperature in the upper 40s. Sky is mostly clear.

Friday night, temperature in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 12%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Skies will be mostly cloudy.

Saturday, temperatures in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 66%. Dew point temperature in the upper 50s. Skies will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Rain likely ending after 1 pm.

Saturday night, temperature will be in upper 40s to low 50s. Chance of rain 9%. Dew point temperature in the low 50s. Sky’s mostly clear.

Convective Outlook for today there is no chance of severe weather or non severe thunderstorms. Friday we have chance of non severe thunderstorms. Saturday we have a marginal chance of severe thunderstorms.

Models show today between 8am and 1pm another round of rain, but models are inconsistant with each other. I would just have an umbrella handy in case. The NAM model shows Saturday rain and thunderstorms possble between 7am and 1pm. Rain amounts do not look like much. .10 inches to as high as .30 inches or so between the NAM model and what the National Weather Service says.

Posted on

Time to Get Back to Normal

Hope everyone enjoyed the nice 58 degree weather today. We are about to get back to our normal winter cold as the temperatures start to tank. Saturday morning may be in the single digits with the windchill, but we will be drying out. Sunday will be struggling to 40 degrees. The models show no precipitation up through the weekend.

Over the past 24 hours or so we have received 1.12 inches. It was breezy today. The most wind we received today was 22 mph.

Currently we are at 38 degrees and falling. Pressure 1002 and rising. Humidity is at 91% and rising. Winds are out of the west at 7 mph. Windchill at 31 degrees.