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Good morning. Hope all is well with you and your families. For today’s Blue Springs Weather report, we will have another uneventful day. I will get to that discussion in a few minutes. But first, this.
Improvements to Blue Springs Weather
I have been considering some ideas to enhance your experience. My goal is to provide the best and most accurate weather forecasts for you. This also includes your community and the people of Jackson County, Missouri. As some of you know, this site has grown quite a bit on social media. It takes time to get a forecast out to you. Providing one day’s forecast requires much research and investigation. Additionally, it takes a lot of time and effort to monitor potential incoming severe weather events, whether they are winter or summer.
I would like to hear your thoughts at the possibility of adding a subscription service that will give some perks to those that want more. For instance, I was thinking of doing some sort of monthly podcast that provides you interviews from people on various weather topics and weather events and experiences. In addition to maybe discounts on possible custom merchandise and maybe some raw live video feeds, etc. I
would still provide your typical forecasts and such but those who pay a small monthly cost through Patreon would get the additional perks and merch access. I was thinking of the cost being about $3-5 per month per person give or take depending on what I make available. Please let me know either through the comments on this page or you can send me a private message or just comment on my social media platform. Anyways enough of that. Let’s get to the weather.
The Forecast
Looks like today will be about 67° F give or take by 2pm. Dew points will be in the 30s, maybe a little lower so the humidity will be very comfortable.
HRRR Temperature model for Blue Springs weather at 2pm CST.
Clear skies will be the dominating factor today. The pressure will be around 30.18” give or take. The Storm Prediction Center shows the possibility of non-severe thunderstorms over the next 24 hours, but models show no precipitation at this time.
Severe Weather Outlook
That is pretty much it for Blue Springs Weather. Pretty uneventful. Have a great day today. MP.
Here is the latest Tuesday Weather Forecast for Jackson County, Missouri. We will hit a low of 31° F by 7 a.m. We are under a freeze warning until 9 a.m. Tuesday morning.
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CDT TUESDAY...
* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 25 expected.
* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and central,
north central, northwest, and west central Missouri.
* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday.
* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other
sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
plumbing.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
HRRR Temperature for Tuesday morning at 7am CST.
The high for tomorrow will be around 61° F, give or take by 4 pm. The skies will be clear until about 4 pm. They will shift to overcast by midnight or early Wednesday morning.
HRRR Temperature by 4pm CSTHRRR Cloud Cover by 4pm CST
The good news is that Wednesday temperatures will be 75° F by 4 pm!
Here is the latest on this year’s severe weather forecast for spring and summer of 2025. Keep in mind this forecast is subject to change.
Key Points
Expect above-average tornado activity in spring due to La Niña.
Warmer temperatures and mixed precipitation, with potential for heavy rain.
Severe thunderstorms likely, with risks of strong winds, hail, and flooding.
Temperature and Precipitation
Spring and summer 2025 in Jackson County, Missouri, are forecasted to be warmer than normal, influenced by La Niña conditions. Precipitation will be mixed, with some areas potentially experiencing above-average rainfall, increasing the risk of flooding, especially from tropical systems.
Tornado and Severe Weather
Due to La Niña, tornado activity is expected to be above average during spring, with a higher frequency of severe thunderstorms bringing strong winds and large hail. Summer may see continued severe weather, exacerbated by warmer temperatures.
Comprehensive Weather Analysis for Jackson County, Missouri, Spring and Summer 2025
This report provides a detailed analysis of the severe weather forecast for Jackson County, Missouri, for the spring (March to May) and summer (June to August) of 2025, based on current climate predictions, historical patterns, and regional meteorological data. The analysis incorporates insights from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), Severe Weather Europe, local news reports, and other authoritative sources, ensuring a thorough understanding of potential severe weather events.
Temperature and Precipitation Outlook
The forecast indicates that spring and summer 2025 will be warmer than normal across Jackson County, Missouri, aligning with broader trends for the southern United States under La Niña conditions. The CPC’s seasonal outlook, updated as of February 2025, suggests a higher probability of above-average temperatures, particularly in the Southern Tier, which includes Missouri. This warming trend is attributed to the influence of La Niña, which shifts weather patterns to favor warmer conditions in the south.
Precipitation forecasts are mixed, with regional variations. The CPC’s spring forecast (March to May) shows an equal-to-higher probability of above-average precipitation in parts of the eastern United States, including the Southeast, where Jackson County, Missouri, is located. However, some areas, particularly the Southwest and Southern Plains, are expected to be drier, and the Southeast may experience localized heavy rain events, especially from tropical systems. For summer, the Almanac.com’s extended forecast suggests hotter and drier conditions, with potential for tropical storms in mid-July and hurricanes in late August, which could bring significant rainfall.
Tornado Activity and Severe Thunderstorms
Tornado activity is expected to be above average during the spring months, driven by La Niña conditions. Research from the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) and NOAA Climate.gov indicates that La Niña is linked to a higher frequency of tornadoes in the southern United States, particularly in spring, due to increased moisture and instability. This is supported by historical data showing that La Niña years often see more tornado outbreaks, with the southern Plains and Southeast, including Missouri, being particularly susceptible.
Severe thunderstorms are also likely to be more frequent, especially in spring and early summer, due to warmer temperatures and increased moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. These storms can bring strong winds, large hail, and heavy rain, increasing the risk of flash flooding. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) does not provide specific seasonal tornado forecasts for individual counties, but general patterns suggest an elevated risk for Jackson County, Missouri, given its location.
Regional Specifics and Local Considerations
Jackson County, Missouri, located in the southeastern part of the state, is particularly vulnerable to severe weather due to its coastal proximity and exposure to Gulf moisture. Local news reports, such as those from the Clarion Ledger, highlight that Mississippi will be warm in spring, with readiness advised for storms and severe weather. The NWS Jackson/Mississippi office, covering the region, provides current weather updates but lacks specific long-term forecasts for 2025. However, based on regional trends, the combination of warmer temperatures, increased tornado activity, and potential hurricane landfalls suggests a heightened severe weather risk.
Supporting Data and Tables
This table is derived from CPC seasonal outlooks, Severe Weather Europe forecasts, and historical La Niña impacts, providing a structured view of expected conditions.
Methodology and Sources
The analysis began with a web search for severe weather forecasts specific to Jackson County, Missouri, for spring and summer 2025, using platforms like the National Weather Service (NWS), CPC, and local news outlets. Initial searches revealed short-term forecasts for the city of Jackson, necessitating a focus on county-level data through CPC seasonal maps and regional forecasts. Additional searches targeted tornado activity under La Niña, and local meteorological reports, ensuring a comprehensive dataset. The CPC’s seasonal outlook for March to May 2025, accessed via CPC Seasonal Outlook, and Severe Weather Europe’s article on spring 2025, found at Spring 2025 Forecast, were pivotal. Local insights were supplemented by the Clarion Ledger’s report, available at Mississippi Spring Forecast, and historical tornado data from NOAA Climate.gov at Tornadoes and La Niña.
Conclusion
The severe weather forecast for Jackson County, Missouri, for spring and summer 2025 indicates a period of heightened risk, with above-average tornado activity in spring, warmer temperatures throughout, mixed precipitation with flooding potential, and increased hurricane risk in summer. Residents should prepare for these conditions by monitoring local weather updates, ensuring emergency plans are in place, and staying informed through NWS alerts and regional forecasts.
Brrr it is -5.2° F out. It feels like -5.2° F and the wind chill is -5.2° F. For those of you that are wondering about this statement. Wind chill and feels like is calculated and unreliable. The media uses it to dramatize and play on your mind. Is it cold? Yes. Can you get frost bite? Yes. We need to respect the weather and be smart about it. It is winter an we should dress for the environment. On another note. Media uses “Polar Vortex” to make things scary. Just a 10k word for a high pressure system coming in from Canada with wind. Just change the channel if they scream dramatic words.
On another note blizzard warning along the gulf of America. A combination of Tonga eruption in 2022 a pull on our planet from the large planets and the weak sun from Grand Solar Minimum. This is just a taste as we progress through the next 10+ years or so.
High of 15° F by 4pm. No precipitation expected. Windy. Dress accordingly. Take care. MP.
Staying ahead of the weather game can make all the difference in our daily lives. From planning outdoor activities to preparing for severe weather conditions, having access to accurate and reliable weather forecasts is crucial. But did you know that creating your own weather forecasts can take your preparedness to the next level?
Understanding the Basics of Weather Forecasting
Weather forecasting is the application of science and technology to predict atmospheric conditions for a given location and time. By collecting quantitative data about current weather conditions, land, and ocean, meteorologists use computer-based models to project how the atmosphere will change. However, human input is still required to pick the best possible model and interpret the results.
Benefits of Creating Your Own Weather Forecasts
Improved Accuracy: By understanding the local weather patterns and using data from personal weather stations, you can create forecasts that are tailored to your specific location.
Enhanced Preparedness: With your own weather forecasts, you can plan ahead for severe weather conditions, such as hurricanes, floods, or heatwaves.
Increased Safety: By having access to accurate and reliable weather forecasts, you can make informed decisions about outdoor activities, travel, and other plans.
Better Decision-Making: Your own weather forecasts can help you make informed decisions about agriculture, construction, or other weather-dependent activities.
Tools and Resources for Creating Your Own Weather Forecasts
Personal Weather Stations: Invest in a personal weather station that can provide you with real-time data on temperature, humidity, wind speed, and other weather conditions.
Weather Modeling Software: Utilize weather modeling software, such as the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, to create forecasts based on your local weather data.
Online Resources: Take advantage of online resources, such as weather forums and blogs, to stay up-to-date with the latest weather trends and forecasting techniques.
Conclusion
Creating your own weather forecasts can be a game-changer for individuals who want to stay ahead of the weather game. By understanding the basics of weather forecasting, utilizing the right tools and resources, and benefiting from improved accuracy and preparedness, you can take control of your weather forecasting needs. So why not give it a try? Start creating your own weather forecasts today and see the difference it can make in your life and you won’t be tied to dramatic media that elevates a minor event.
Good morning. High temperature for today is 35° F give or take. We ended up with a trace more of snow after 6am yesterday. We ended with an official 1.5” of additional snow accumulation for South Blue Springs over the past 48 hours. My measurements are based on 6am measurements every morning.
COOP REPORT 1/11/2025 6AM.
High: 34.0° F Low: 14.5° F Observed: 15.4° F Precipitation: Trace New Snow: Trace Total Snow: 6.4”
Skies will be dominated by clouds and you may catch the sunshine periodically. Windy today. Peaking to 31 mph by 1pm.
Precipitation is expected this evening with the possibility of a short bout of freezing rain to a mix of rain start time will be around 10 pm this evening. The good news is it looks to be short lived. It looks to end by midnight. Temperatures will be sitting at 32° F during this time. So if you are out and about, please drive carefully. Models sho none to a trace in ice accumulations.
WINTER WEATHER UPDATE as of 1/9/2024 at 5:20am. Models moved back an hour for start time. We are now at 8pm this evening. The NWS says mixed precipitation. HRRR shows straight snow. The WPC has shown a shift for chances of snow accumulations to 60% from 50% last night. Jumping down in the weeds for snow amounts. It looks like we could get up to 1.6-1.7 inches of snow over the evening hours. I do not know a stop time as of yet. That will have to wait till the evening.
For today’s temperature. Looks like we will hit a high of 33° F give or take by 2pm today. Winds will pick up a little today and peak to about 26 mph by 2pm. When the snow moves into the area, visibility will reduce significantly, not with blizzard winds like the other day. Skies will be mostly clear today until about 1pm. That is about it. Take care. MP
8pm CST start timeUp to 2 inches possible.Visibility will be reduced.
Good morning. I was contacted by a member of the community that they have not been getting my weather updates and wanted to get emails. I told them I would do my best to submit a blog post. So here we go.
Here is the 6am COOP Weather Observer Report for station 2SSE.
High: 20°F Low: 9° F Observed: 9° F
Liquid Precipitation Equivalent: 0.73” New Snow Measurements: 7.4” averaged due to drifting. Total New and old Snow: 8”
Today’s high will be 19° F give or take by 3pm. Looks like we should see a little bit of sunshine today, baring that fog doesn’t move into the area. Models don’t show fog at this time. The rest of the time we will be under an overcast. Dew points will be in the negative, meaning that the atmosphere will be very dry.
Someone asked about humidity yesterday during this snow event Dew Point. The higher the dew point the higher the moisture content in the air. So in the summer time I refer to the dew point a lot anything with a dew point of 55° F or higher will be humid and sticky. Wintertime normally has a low dew point, so the air is very dry.
Good morning. This Winter Weather Update is from the morning of January 6, 2024. If you are reading this a day later, it is old data and you need to go to my Facebook page or my most recent blog post if I have one.
I have been watching the models, and we may have some snow that can hinder driving and make roads slightly dangerous. The key to a safe drive is TIRES with GOOD tread! You will have issues getting around if your tires do not have good tread
Looking at the Weather Prediction Center we are looking at up to 40% change of snow accumulations at 4 inches or greater for the Jackson County area. The break down of snow amounts for Tuesday January 9, 2024 is this:
Precipitation Chances 1″ or greater of snow accumulation – 90% 2″ or greater of snow accumulation – 60% 4″ or greater of snow accumulation – 30%
Winter Weather Update from WPCWinter Weather Update for Snow amounts
Looking at the NAM model for snow amounts is the perfect esample why I don’t like snow amounts for the usual models I use for severe weather. They are shows 5+ inches of snow and all it does is give me a good belly laugh. These are the things that the Media are going to EAT up instead of heading over to the Weather Prediction Center and getting the correct model for snow amounts.
Severity will be minor according to the Severity index. But that ALL depends on your tire condition. I am sure the NWS will kick off a winter weather advisory / watch soon.
That is pretty much it for today. Stay away from the media for a bit. They are really going nuts out there with this stuff. I would go with the one that is less dramatic on their posts and television forecasts. Take care everyone and enjoy your weekend. I will keep you posted on social media or do another blog post if there are any more changes to this forecast.
