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Blue Springs Weather Experience: Your Feedback Needed

Good morning. Hope all is well with you and your families. For today’s Blue Springs Weather report, we will have another uneventful day. I will get to that discussion in a few minutes. But first, this.

Improvements to Blue Springs Weather

I have been considering some ideas to enhance your experience. My goal is to provide the best and most accurate weather forecasts for you. This also includes your community and the people of Jackson County, Missouri. As some of you know, this site has grown quite a bit on social media. It takes time to get a forecast out to you. Providing one day’s forecast requires much research and investigation. Additionally, it takes a lot of time and effort to monitor potential incoming severe weather events, whether they are winter or summer.

I would like to hear your thoughts at the possibility of adding a subscription service that will give some perks to those that want more. For instance, I was thinking of doing some sort of monthly podcast that provides you interviews from people on various weather topics and weather events and experiences. In addition to maybe discounts on possible custom merchandise and maybe some raw live video feeds, etc. I

would still provide your typical forecasts and such but those who pay a small monthly cost through Patreon would get the additional perks and merch access. I was thinking of the cost being about $3-5 per month per person give or take depending on what I make available. Please let me know either through the comments on this page or you can send me a private message or just comment on my social media platform. Anyways enough of that. Let’s get to the weather.

The Forecast

Looks like today will be about 67° F give or take by 2pm. Dew points will be in the 30s, maybe a little lower so the humidity will be very comfortable.

HRRR Temperature model for Blue Springs weather at 2pm CST.
HRRR Temperature model for Blue Springs weather at 2pm CST.

Clear skies will be the dominating factor today. The pressure will be around 30.18” give or take. The Storm Prediction Center shows the possibility of non-severe thunderstorms over the next 24 hours, but models show no precipitation at this time.

Severe Weather Outlook
Severe Weather Outlook

That is pretty much it for Blue Springs Weather. Pretty uneventful. Have a great day today. MP.

Wednesday Weather Forecast : Rain

Good evening everyone, looks like we may see some scattered rains between 10-11am. Some parts of Jackson County may not see any what the HRRR models are showing.

HRRR Precipitation type April 9, 2025 at 10am CST
HRRR Precipitation type April 9, 2025 at 11am CST

Temperatures look to hit a high of 74° F give or take by 3pm. Skies will be mostly dominated by overcast and clouds with the possibility of some sunshine and some point throughout the day.

HRRR Temperature April 9, 2025 at 3pm CST

The Storm Prediction Center has been pretty dull over the past week or so with nothing severe threatening our area. It has been a pretty hum drum week.

That is it for tonight. Take care, MP

What to Expect: Tuesday’s Freeze Warning & Warm Wednesday Ahead

Here is the latest Tuesday Weather Forecast for Jackson County, Missouri. We will hit a low of 31° F by 7 a.m. We are under a freeze warning until 9 a.m. Tuesday morning.

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 25 expected.

* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and central,
  north central, northwest, and west central Missouri.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Tuesday Weather Forecast at 7am
HRRR Temperature for Tuesday morning at 7am CST.

The high for tomorrow will be around 61° F, give or take by 4 pm. The skies will be clear until about 4 pm. They will shift to overcast by midnight or early Wednesday morning.

The good news is that Wednesday temperatures will be 75° F by 4 pm!

Tuesday Weather Forecast at 4pm
HRRR Temperature for Wednesday at 4pm

That is pretty much it for today. MP

Monday Forecast – April 7, 2025

Good morning. Looks like we have frost on the vegetation. Hope you covered your sensitive plants. Looks like we will have a high of 55° F by 2 pm.

HRRR Temperature model April 7, 2025 at 2pm CST.

It is a little breezy today. Peak winds are at 27 kts or 31 mph by 9 am this morning. It will calm down as the day progresses.

HRRR Wind Gust mode for April 7, 2025 at 9am CST

Clear skies will dominate today. So all in all, a little cool but sunny and dry. Take care everyone. Please consider subscribing to my site. MP

Cold Nights Ahead: Blue Springs Weather April 2025

Here is the latest Blue Springs weather Forecast for April 6, 2025, over the next few days. Continue to keep those sensitive plants covered at night. Winter still holds on. Tomorrow morning, we will have a low of 38° F by 4 a.m., and on Tuesday, we will have a low of 28° F by 7 a.m.

HRRR Temperature model on April 7, 2025
HRRR Temperature model on April 7, 2025 at 4 am CST.
Blue Springs Weather HRRR Temperature model for Tuesday, April 8, 2025
HRRR Temperature model for Tuesday, April 8, 2025 at 7 am CST.

The good news is that the Climate Prediction Center shows an above-normal temperature trend next week.

Blue Springs Weather Climate Prediction Center Outlook
Climate Prediction Center Outlook for April 12-16 as of April 6, 2025

We do not have any other events going on over the next couple of days. Our next rain possibility looks to be early Wednesday morning, but it looks to be short lived. I do not see any snow events in our long range forecast. That is about it for today. Feel free to check out my other posts on my webpage. MP

Blue Springs Weather Forecast – Saturday April 5th, 2025

Good morning everyone, here is the latest Blue Springs Weather forecast. Today will be another wet day today. Rain’s beginning by about 11am. some rail may be heavy at times. Keep in mind there may areas of Jackson County, Missouri that may not see anything. This system splits the country diagonally. The good news is there is no more snow in the forecast for this weekend.

HRRR precipitation type model at 11am CST.

Temperatures today will only reach to about 44° F give or take by 3pm. Winter continues to try and hang on. Make sure you cover, or bring in your temperature sensitive plants over the next couple of days, before this evening . Tomorrow we will wake up to 33° F give or take for .Sunday and similar temperatures for about 2 or3 days. By Wednesday we will start a little warming trend. With highs of about 73° F according to the GFS model.

HRRR Temperature model at 3pm CST.
HRRR Temperature model on Sunday at 7am CST.
GFS Temperature model on Wednesday April 9, 2025 at 4pm CST.

We will start the morning off with some windy conditions by 8am. peek gusts at 32kts or 37mph. The winds will die down soon after that.

HRRR Wind Gust model at 8am CST.

As for any severe weather coming our way, it is null and void of anything over the next 3 days according to the Storm Prediction Center. In fact, there is nothing significant all the way out to the next 4-8 days.

That is about it for the Blue Springs Weather forecast. Take care. MP.

Marginal chance of severe weather Saturday into Sunday

66° F by 5 pm. The SPC still shows a marginal chance of severe weather. Storm start time looks to be around 4am Sunday morning. Strength wise it looks to be a strong thunderstorm. Models are not showing any severe level systems but cannot rule it out. Tornadoes not so much, but keep in mind, tornadoes can happen anywhere at any time and any season. MP

Severe Weather Forecast for Spring Summer 2025

Here is the latest on this year’s severe weather forecast for spring and summer of 2025. Keep in mind this forecast is subject to change.

Key Points

  • Expect above-average tornado activity in spring due to La Niña.
  • Warmer temperatures and mixed precipitation, with potential for heavy rain.
  • Severe thunderstorms likely, with risks of strong winds, hail, and flooding.

Temperature and Precipitation

Spring and summer 2025 in Jackson County, Missouri, are forecasted to be warmer than normal, influenced by La Niña conditions. Precipitation will be mixed, with some areas potentially experiencing above-average rainfall, increasing the risk of flooding, especially from tropical systems.

Tornado and Severe Weather

Due to La Niña, tornado activity is expected to be above average during spring, with a higher frequency of severe thunderstorms bringing strong winds and large hail. Summer may see continued severe weather, exacerbated by warmer temperatures.

Comprehensive Weather Analysis for Jackson County, Missouri, Spring and Summer 2025

This report provides a detailed analysis of the severe weather forecast for Jackson County, Missouri, for the spring (March to May) and summer (June to August) of 2025, based on current climate predictions, historical patterns, and regional meteorological data. The analysis incorporates insights from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), Severe Weather Europe, local news reports, and other authoritative sources, ensuring a thorough understanding of potential severe weather events.

Temperature and Precipitation Outlook

The forecast indicates that spring and summer 2025 will be warmer than normal across Jackson County, Missouri, aligning with broader trends for the southern United States under La Niña conditions. The CPC’s seasonal outlook, updated as of February 2025, suggests a higher probability of above-average temperatures, particularly in the Southern Tier, which includes Missouri. This warming trend is attributed to the influence of La Niña, which shifts weather patterns to favor warmer conditions in the south.

Precipitation forecasts are mixed, with regional variations. The CPC’s spring forecast (March to May) shows an equal-to-higher probability of above-average precipitation in parts of the eastern United States, including the Southeast, where Jackson County, Missouri, is located. However, some areas, particularly the Southwest and Southern Plains, are expected to be drier, and the Southeast may experience localized heavy rain events, especially from tropical systems. For summer, the Almanac.com’s extended forecast suggests hotter and drier conditions, with potential for tropical storms in mid-July and hurricanes in late August, which could bring significant rainfall.

Tornado Activity and Severe Thunderstorms

Tornado activity is expected to be above average during the spring months, driven by La Niña conditions. Research from the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) and NOAA Climate.gov indicates that La Niña is linked to a higher frequency of tornadoes in the southern United States, particularly in spring, due to increased moisture and instability. This is supported by historical data showing that La Niña years often see more tornado outbreaks, with the southern Plains and Southeast, including Missouri, being particularly susceptible.

Severe thunderstorms are also likely to be more frequent, especially in spring and early summer, due to warmer temperatures and increased moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. These storms can bring strong winds, large hail, and heavy rain, increasing the risk of flash flooding. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) does not provide specific seasonal tornado forecasts for individual counties, but general patterns suggest an elevated risk for Jackson County, Missouri, given its location.

Regional Specifics and Local Considerations

Jackson County, Missouri, located in the southeastern part of the state, is particularly vulnerable to severe weather due to its coastal proximity and exposure to Gulf moisture. Local news reports, such as those from the Clarion Ledger, highlight that Mississippi will be warm in spring, with readiness advised for storms and severe weather. The NWS Jackson/Mississippi office, covering the region, provides current weather updates but lacks specific long-term forecasts for 2025. However, based on regional trends, the combination of warmer temperatures, increased tornado activity, and potential hurricane landfalls suggests a heightened severe weather risk.

Supporting Data and Tables

This table is derived from CPC seasonal outlooks, Severe Weather Europe forecasts, and historical La Niña impacts, providing a structured view of expected conditions.

Methodology and Sources

The analysis began with a web search for severe weather forecasts specific to Jackson County, Missouri, for spring and summer 2025, using platforms like the National Weather Service (NWS), CPC, and local news outlets. Initial searches revealed short-term forecasts for the city of Jackson, necessitating a focus on county-level data through CPC seasonal maps and regional forecasts. Additional searches targeted tornado activity under La Niña, and local meteorological reports, ensuring a comprehensive dataset. The CPC’s seasonal outlook for March to May 2025, accessed via CPC Seasonal Outlook, and Severe Weather Europe’s article on spring 2025, found at Spring 2025 Forecast, were pivotal. Local insights were supplemented by the Clarion Ledger’s report, available at Mississippi Spring Forecast, and historical tornado data from NOAA Climate.gov at Tornadoes and La Niña.

Conclusion

The severe weather forecast for Jackson County, Missouri, for spring and summer 2025 indicates a period of heightened risk, with above-average tornado activity in spring, warmer temperatures throughout, mixed precipitation with flooding potential, and increased hurricane risk in summer. Residents should prepare for these conditions by monitoring local weather updates, ensuring emergency plans are in place, and staying informed through NWS alerts and regional forecasts.

Key Citations

Snow Is Not Over Yet

Even though we have a warming period, snow. has not left just yet. If this holds out we could see more significant snow up through March 11th. Keep in mind March still has an average snowfall of 1.7” of accumulation. #BlueSpringsWX

Saturday January 11, 2025 Forecast

Good morning. High temperature for today is 35° F give or take. We ended up with a trace more of snow after 6am yesterday. We ended with an official 1.5” of additional snow accumulation for South Blue Springs over the past 48 hours. My measurements are based on 6am measurements every morning.

COOP REPORT 1/11/2025 6AM.

High: 34.0° F
Low: 14.5° F
Observed: 15.4° F
Precipitation: Trace
New Snow: Trace
Total Snow: 6.4”

Skies will be dominated by clouds and you may catch the sunshine periodically. Windy today. Peaking to 31 mph by 1pm.

Precipitation is expected this evening with the possibility of a short bout of freezing rain to a mix of rain start time will be around 10 pm this evening. The good news is it looks to be short lived. It looks to end by midnight. Temperatures will be sitting at 32° F during this time. So if you are out and about, please drive carefully. Models sho none to a trace in ice accumulations.

That is about it for today. MP