Tuesday January 9, 2024 – Winter Weather Update

Good morning. This Winter Weather Update is from the morning of January 6, 2024. If you are reading this a day later, it is old data and you need to go to my Facebook page or my most recent blog post if I have one.

I have been watching the models, and we may have some snow that can hinder driving and make roads slightly dangerous. The key to a safe drive is TIRES with GOOD tread! You will have issues getting around if your tires do not have good tread

Looking at the Weather Prediction Center we are looking at up to 40% change of snow accumulations at 4 inches or greater for the Jackson County area. The break down of snow amounts for Tuesday January 9, 2024 is this:

Precipitation Chances
1″ or greater of snow accumulation – 90%
2″ or greater of snow accumulation – 60%
4″ or greater of snow accumulation – 30%

Winter Weather Update for 4 inches of snow or greater from WPC — Winter Weather Update from WPC

Winter Weather Update Snow amounts from WPC — Winter Weather Update from WPC

Looking at the NAM model for snow amounts is the perfect esample why I don’t like snow amounts for the usual models I use for severe weather. They are shows 5+ inches of snow and all it does is give me a good belly laugh. These are the things that the Media are going to EAT up instead of heading over to the Weather Prediction Center and getting the correct model for snow amounts.

Winter Weather Snow amounts from NAM Model

Severity will be minor according to the Severity index. But that ALL depends on your tire condition. I am sure the NWS will kick off a winter weather advisory / watch soon.

That is pretty much it for today. Stay away from the media for a bit. They are really going nuts out there with this stuff. I would go with the one that is less dramatic on their posts and television forecasts. Take care everyone and enjoy your weekend. I will keep you posted on social media or do another blog post if there are any more changes to this forecast.

December 10, 2023December 10, 2023

Sunday Blue Springs Weather Forecast

Here is the latest Blue Springs weather and forecast. Good morning. The weather for Blue Springs Saturday snow did not happen like it was discussed on my previous post. Enjoy the sunshine. We will shift to an overcast starting at 1 pm. Winds will be a little calmer today. We will have a peak wind gust at 18 miles per hour by 10 am.

Blue Springs Weather HRRR average cloud cover model at 1 pm CST.

Weather for Blue Springs Mo. HRRR Wind Gust model at 10 am CST — Blue Springs Weather HRRR average cloud cover model at 1 pm CST.

We are not expecting any precipitation at this time. The temperature will hit a high of 45° F.

There’s not a whole lot going on today. Enjoy your Sunday! MP

National Weather Service of Pleasent Hill

October 27, 2019

October 27th 2019 Forecast

Good morning Blue Springs! Happy Sunday.Heavy dew on the rain gauge this morning. We had the fireplace cleaned out and the chimney checked over yesterday. Change my wife’s oil. Got the generator out and tested it, added some fuel stabilizer to the fuel. Put up a few Halloween decorations. Though I think they will be buried in the snow on the 31st. We may end up with candy left over, if we ever get any trick-or-treaters. It is going to be a very cold day on the 31st.

CURRENT TEMPERATURE

Current temperature 40.8°. We had a high of 58 and a low of 35.8 over the past 24 hours. Barometric pressure is 1009 and Rising. Relative humidity 99%. Winds are at 0 gusting to 2 out of the south-southwest. Dew point temperature 38°. Feels like 36°. No precipitation to report.

FORECAST

Today, temperatures will be in the upper 50s. Chance of precipitation 3%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s. Skies will be clear.

Tonight, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 17%. Dew point temperature in the low 40s to upper 30s. Skies will shift to mostly cloudy to cloudy.

Monday, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 33%. Dew point temperature low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

Monday night, temperatures in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 52%. Possible rain snow mix. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy shifting to partly cloudy by morning.

Tuesday, temperatures in the low 40s. Chance of precipitation 16%. Dew point temperature in the upper 20s. Skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy.

Tuesday evening, temperatures in the low 30s. Chance of precipitation 49%. Dew point temperature in the low 30s. Skies will be cloudy.

MODEL DISCUSSION

Lots of things going on in the models this coming week. Starting with tonight we have a small system that will be coming in by about 9pm bringing some Trace rain, increasing throughout the day Monday and into Tuesday morning. There could be a possible rain snow mix around 10pm Monday. The entire system should end by about 4am Tuesday morning. Another system kicks back up about 1am Wednesday morning, with a possible mix of rain and snow starting off. Then a bout of ice at about 10pm Wednesday night then shifting over to snow throughout the day Halloween. It also looks like temperatures will not reach above upper thirties throughout the day. Temperatures really start to tank as the sun goes down, with temperatures dipping to the low 20s. Snow accumulations are still pretty weird and I don’t trust them. Once again they are showing 6 to 7 inches of snow in our area. It is still really too far out anyways. models are staying pretty consistent that we are going to get some snow.

I would at least have some calcium chloride and your snow shovel and or snowblower ready and easily accessed. If you have a fireplace make sure you got plenty of wood, because it looks like we will be in winter temperatures sooner than expected.

have a great day of worship if that’s what you do. Enjoy your day today and be careful.

January 15, 2019January 15, 2019

Warm, Cold, Rain, Snow in The Same Week!

The past few days have been quite the interesting events. We ended up with about 8.9 inches of snowfall on Friday/Saturday this past weekend. It was a difficult prediction even for a weather enthusiast like myself, but I will have to admit that this past storm was pretty impressive! Our atmosphere was saturated with moisture and caused big fat snow to fall and to accumulate on our trees and power lines. This became a problem for us as the weight of the snow would cause tree limbs and entire trees to fall and a lot of people lost power. Some won’t have power back till Thursday. Just in time for another round of snow to accumulate in our area.

Our next round of systems will be another interesting set up.

1. Tuesday will be mid to upper 40’s. but may not be able to be high enough to melt a whole lot of the snow. That is the system coming up from southwest.

2. Wednesday afternoon we have another 60% chance of precipitation and the temperature will barely be above freezing at 33 degrees. This will occur well into Thursday

3. Friday evening into Saturday is the next system. Starting off with rain at 38 degrees. The temperature will tank once this system starts and by Saturday morning at about 1am the rain will transition to snow stopping about noon or a little after. Temperatures will continue to drop throughout the weekend and by 8am Sunday will be at -4 degrees if everything plays out. Temperatures will climb back up to the 30s by Monday afternoon.

I will keep an eye on this system and the models as the week progresses and will update with any changes that may occur. If you end up going to the Chief’s game make sure you bundle up in layers to keep warm! GO CHIEFS!